Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:27:16

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 5.1

30-Day Momentum

9
-2.3%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,656.71
Current Value
$9,434.13
Period P&L
$-222.57
Max Drawdown
-14.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
2 / 8
Best Trade
+1.61%
Worst Trade
-3.06%
Avg Trade Return
-0.23%
Avg Hold Time
23.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$183,226.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-222.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$-222.57
Gross Return
-2.30%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,656.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:20pm ET $627.73 15 $9,415.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:45pm ET $626.97 15 $9,404.55 $9,645.30 $-11.40
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:05am ET $633.09 15 $9,496.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $613.73 15 $9,205.95 $9,354.90 $-290.40
(-3.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $602.54 15 $9,038.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:35am ET $606.81 15 $9,102.15 $9,418.95 +$64.05
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $611.30 15 $9,169.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $607.90 15 $9,118.50 $9,367.95 $-51.00
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $605.22 15 $9,078.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $605.22 15 $9,078.23 $9,367.80 $-0.15
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $603.41 15 $9,051.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 1:50pm ET $602.55 15 $9,038.25 $9,354.83 $-12.97
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:20pm ET $612.25 15 $9,183.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $611.02 15 $9,165.23 $9,336.31 $-18.52
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $637.83 14 $8,929.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $648.10 14 $9,073.40 $9,480.09 +$143.78
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 2:30pm ET $652.27 14 $9,131.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $649.79 14 $9,097.02 $9,445.33 $-34.76
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $659.28 14 $9,229.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $658.48 14 $9,218.72 $9,434.13 $-11.20
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,434.13
Net Profit/Loss: $-565.87
Total Return: -5.66%
Back to Grace Crossover