Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:30:19

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

25
+4.7%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 30.7 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,175.30
Current Value
$7,189.83
Period P&L
$14.53
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+8.03%
Worst Trade
-4.82%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$125,962.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$14.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$14.53
Gross Return
+0.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $7,175.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:10pm ET $69.56 101 $7,025.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:05pm ET $70.05 101 $7,075.05 $7,080.36 +$50.00
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $72.63 97 $7,044.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:10am ET $72.56 97 $7,038.32 $7,074.05 $-6.31
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:50pm ET $71.32 99 $7,060.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 1:30pm ET $71.13 99 $7,041.38 $7,054.75 $-19.30
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $69.11 102 $7,048.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $68.90 102 $7,027.73 $7,033.77 $-20.98
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $71.55 98 $7,011.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $71.45 98 $7,002.09 $7,023.96 $-9.81
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $71.02 98 $6,959.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $67.60 98 $6,624.80 $6,688.80 $-335.16
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $68.09 98 $6,672.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $69.36 98 $6,797.37 $6,813.35 +$124.55
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $71.33 95 $6,776.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:35am ET $77.07 95 $7,321.18 $7,357.70 +$544.35
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $78.50 93 $7,300.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $76.70 93 $7,133.10 $7,189.83 $-167.87
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,189.83
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,810.17
Total Return: -28.10%
Back to Grace Crossover