Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 19:25:29

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

68
+14.5%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
5.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 78.6 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+65 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,801.62
Current Value
$8,761.98
Period P&L
$960.30
Max Drawdown
-26.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
4 / 8
Best Trade
+7.41%
Worst Trade
-2.24%
Avg Trade Return
+0.84%
Avg Hold Time
22.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$202,714.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$960.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$960.30
Gross Return
+12.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $7,801.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $356.64 22 $7,846.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:50am ET $350.35 22 $7,707.70 $7,824.34 $-138.49
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:05pm ET $345.19 22 $7,594.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:15pm ET $344.69 22 $7,583.16 $7,813.32 $-11.02
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 3:25pm ET $347.20 22 $7,638.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:45pm ET $365.80 22 $8,047.60 $8,222.41 +$409.09
(+5.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:35am ET $355.26 23 $8,170.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 2:35pm ET $381.57 23 $8,776.11 $8,827.62 +$605.21
(+7.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $367.18 24 $8,812.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:10pm ET $369.84 24 $8,876.16 $8,891.46 +$63.84
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $367.11 24 $8,810.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 1:55pm ET $365.05 24 $8,761.20 $8,842.02 $-49.44
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:20am ET $360.38 24 $8,649.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $359.59 24 $8,630.16 $8,823.06 $-18.96
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:50pm ET $362.66 24 $8,703.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $361.75 24 $8,681.95 $8,801.17 $-21.89
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $367.80 23 $8,459.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $367.31 23 $8,448.06 $8,789.83 $-11.34
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $365.00 24 $8,760.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $373.79 24 $8,970.96 $9,000.79 +$210.96
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:25am ET $381.45 23 $8,773.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:45pm ET $379.59 23 $8,730.57 $8,958.01 $-42.78
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 3:50pm ET $379.96 23 $8,739.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2026 12:35pm ET $371.44 23 $8,543.17 $8,761.98 $-196.03
(-2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,761.98
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,238.02
Total Return: -12.38%
Back to Grace Crossover