Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-26 23:56:52

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
13
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 3.6
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 26, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 5.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 5.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.4%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,941.08
Current Value
$10,020.65
Period P&L
$79.58
Max Drawdown
-17.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+2.33%
Worst Trade
-1.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.08%
Avg Hold Time
15.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$216,002.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$79.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$79.58
Gross Return
+0.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,941.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $380.23 26 $9,885.98
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:20am ET $384.71 26 $10,002.46 $10,057.55 +$116.48
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:50pm ET $378.81 26 $9,849.06
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $379.22 26 $9,859.72 $10,068.21 +$10.66
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:40am ET $378.32 26 $9,836.32
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:05am ET $377.72 26 $9,820.72 $10,052.61 $-15.60
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:10am ET $382.22 26 $9,937.72
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $384.00 26 $9,984.00 $10,098.89 +$46.28
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $401.32 25 $10,033.00
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $398.66 25 $9,966.50 $10,032.39 $-66.50
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $407.48 24 $9,779.52
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:10pm ET $406.34 24 $9,752.14 $10,005.01 $-27.38
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:50am ET $406.88 24 $9,765.12
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $406.82 24 $9,763.56 $10,003.45 $-1.56
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:35am ET $410.05 24 $9,841.20
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $407.35 24 $9,776.40 $9,938.65 $-64.80
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $402.98 24 $9,671.64
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $401.57 24 $9,637.68 $9,904.69 $-33.96
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $408.76 24 $9,810.12
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $404.31 24 $9,703.44 $9,798.01 $-106.68
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:55pm ET $415.30 23 $9,551.90
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 12:35pm ET $424.98 23 $9,774.54 $10,020.65 +$222.64
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,020.65
Net Profit/Loss: +$20.65
Total Return: +0.21%
Back to Grace Crossover