Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:17:27

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 4.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-8.4%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,360.55
Current Value
$8,575.53
Period P&L
$-785.01
Max Drawdown
-17.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.49

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+0.86%
Worst Trade
-4.76%
Avg Trade Return
-0.88%
Avg Hold Time
8.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$175,178.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-785.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$-785.01
Gross Return
-8.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,360.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 11:55am ET $397.98 23 $9,153.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:40pm ET $397.49 23 $9,142.36 $9,349.25 $-11.29
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:15am ET $399.29 23 $9,183.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:55am ET $397.90 23 $9,151.70 $9,317.39 $-31.86
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $394.14 23 $9,065.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:45pm ET $394.89 23 $9,082.36 $9,334.41 +$17.02
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $399.73 23 $9,193.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 2:05pm ET $403.18 23 $9,273.14 $9,413.87 +$79.46
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $405.19 23 $9,319.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET $385.90 23 $8,875.81 $8,970.31 $-443.56
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $391.87 22 $8,621.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:50pm ET $376.10 22 $8,274.20 $8,623.37 $-346.94
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $377.08 22 $8,295.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $376.48 22 $8,282.45 $8,610.17 $-13.20
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $379.29 22 $8,344.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:05am ET $377.27 22 $8,299.83 $8,565.62 $-44.55
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:20pm ET $375.03 22 $8,250.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:30pm ET $376.30 22 $8,278.49 $8,593.35 +$27.73
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:50am ET $371.92 23 $8,554.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:10am ET $371.15 23 $8,536.45 $8,575.53 $-17.82
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,575.53
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,424.47
Total Return: -14.24%
Back to Grace Crossover