Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:07:53

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.1/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 35.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 35.1

30-Day Momentum

59
+8.2%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
6.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 67.6 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,599.16
Current Value
$14,589.80
Period P&L
$990.65
Max Drawdown
-11.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.46

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+3.70%
Worst Trade
-0.82%
Avg Trade Return
+0.65%
Avg Hold Time
5.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$310,079.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$990.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$990.65
Gross Return
+7.28%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,599.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:50am ET $127.27 106 $13,490.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $128.35 106 $13,605.15 $13,713.68 +$114.53
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:20am ET $129.39 105 $13,585.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:05pm ET $129.11 105 $13,556.55 $13,684.67 $-29.01
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:45am ET $140.20 97 $13,599.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $141.03 97 $13,680.10 $13,765.37 +$80.70
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $142.04 96 $13,635.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:40pm ET $141.68 96 $13,601.76 $13,731.77 $-33.60
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:15pm ET $143.80 95 $13,661.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $148.60 95 $14,117.00 $14,187.30 +$455.53
(+3.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:30pm ET $154.26 91 $14,037.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $153.48 91 $13,966.72 $14,116.36 $-70.94
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $156.14 90 $14,052.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:25pm ET $161.92 90 $14,572.80 $14,636.69 +$520.33
(+3.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:45am ET $155.02 94 $14,571.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $155.65 94 $14,631.10 $14,695.91 +$59.22
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:35pm ET $148.04 99 $14,655.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $147.97 99 $14,649.03 $14,688.98 $-6.93
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $146.91 99 $14,544.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 12:55pm ET $147.13 99 $14,565.87 $14,710.76 +$21.78
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $153.23 96 $14,710.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 2:15pm ET $151.97 96 $14,589.12 $14,589.80 $-120.96
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,589.80
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,589.80
Total Return: +45.90%
Back to Grace Crossover