Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-27 19:12:24

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.5
Active
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 27, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.0/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 30.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 30.7

30-Day Momentum

6
-5.4%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-27 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,470.85
Current Value
$13,691.53
Period P&L
$-779.31
Max Drawdown
-11.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.33

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+3.97%
Worst Trade
-3.11%
Avg Trade Return
-0.67%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$227,410.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-779.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$-779.31
Gross Return
-5.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $14,470.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:40pm ET $131.00 110 $14,409.91
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:15am ET $129.42 110 $14,236.19 $14,297.12 $-173.72
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:40am ET $130.10 109 $14,181.28
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $135.27 109 $14,744.97 $14,860.81 +$563.69
(+4.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 2:30pm ET $136.58 108 $14,750.64
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $135.04 108 $14,583.78 $14,693.95 $-166.86
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $135.51 108 $14,635.08
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $131.87 108 $14,241.96 $14,300.83 $-393.12
(-2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 10:45am ET $134.29 106 $14,234.74
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $134.56 106 $14,263.54 $14,329.63 +$28.80
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:05pm ET $120.21 119 $14,304.99
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $116.47 119 $13,859.93 $13,884.57 $-445.06
(-3.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 2:20pm ET $111.87 124 $13,871.78
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $110.89 124 $13,750.36 $13,763.15 $-121.42
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $107.08 128 $13,706.24
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $106.52 128 $13,634.62 $13,691.53 $-71.62
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,691.53
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,691.53
Total Return: +36.92%
Back to Grace Crossover