Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:51:00

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.7/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 22.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 22.0

30-Day Momentum

7
-9.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,466.50
Current Value
$13,532.44
Period P&L
$-934.06
Max Drawdown
-23.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+2.79%
Worst Trade
-4.08%
Avg Trade Return
-0.65%
Avg Hold Time
18.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$271,269.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-934.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-934.06
Gross Return
-6.46%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $14,466.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 12:25pm ET $19.01 760 $14,447.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $18.24 760 $13,858.60 $13,877.50 $-589.00
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:20pm ET $18.53 748 $13,860.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:45am ET $18.22 748 $13,628.56 $13,645.62 $-231.88
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:10pm ET $17.17 794 $13,633.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $17.21 794 $13,664.74 $13,677.30 +$31.68
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $18.27 748 $13,668.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $18.23 748 $13,636.04 $13,644.91 $-32.39
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:45pm ET $17.99 758 $13,632.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:30pm ET $17.94 758 $13,597.53 $13,609.81 $-35.10
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $18.17 749 $13,609.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:45am ET $18.25 749 $13,672.99 $13,673.47 +$63.66
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $18.05 757 $13,663.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.40 757 $13,171.80 $13,181.42 $-492.05
(-3.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $17.50 753 $13,177.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 11:15am ET $17.59 753 $13,249.03 $13,252.95 +$71.53
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:50am ET $17.34 764 $13,247.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $17.23 764 $13,159.90 $13,165.09 $-87.86
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:35am ET $16.66 790 $13,161.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $17.13 790 $13,528.75 $13,532.44 +$367.35
(+2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,532.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,532.44
Total Return: +35.32%
Back to Grace Crossover