Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:44:34

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
4.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 11.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 11.6

30-Day Momentum

37
+2.5%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.5 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,038.18
Current Value
$10,264.11
Period P&L
$225.99
Max Drawdown
-11.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.57

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+1.61%
Worst Trade
-0.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.29%
Avg Hold Time
21.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$177,832.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$225.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$225.99
Gross Return
+2.25%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,038.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $377.45 26 $9,813.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:45am ET $377.42 26 $9,813.05 $10,009.00 $-0.65
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:45am ET $378.29 26 $9,835.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:55am ET $380.55 26 $9,894.43 $10,067.89 +$58.89
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:20pm ET $377.52 26 $9,815.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $377.45 26 $9,813.57 $10,066.05 $-1.84
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $375.45 26 $9,761.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $376.76 26 $9,795.76 $10,100.11 +$34.06
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $379.64 26 $9,870.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $379.43 26 $9,865.18 $10,094.71 $-5.40
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $373.87 27 $10,094.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $373.58 27 $10,086.79 $10,087.01 $-7.70
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:40am ET $374.85 26 $9,746.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:00pm ET $375.29 26 $9,757.54 $10,098.38 +$11.37
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $373.88 27 $10,094.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $374.19 27 $10,103.13 $10,106.75 +$8.37
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $375.27 26 $9,756.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:30am ET $381.32 26 $9,914.25 $10,264.11 +$157.36
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,264.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$264.11
Total Return: +2.64%
Back to Grace Crossover