Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 06:34:50

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 3.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-8.7%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,741.30
Current Value
$8,033.72
Period P&L
$-707.60
Max Drawdown
-42.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.50

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
2 / 9
Best Trade
+0.77%
Worst Trade
-5.33%
Avg Trade Return
-0.75%
Avg Hold Time
12.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$180,307.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-707.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-707.60
Gross Return
-8.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,741.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:55am ET $30.57 285 $8,712.45
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $28.94 285 $8,247.90 $8,276.77 $-464.55
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $29.27 282 $8,254.14
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:20pm ET $29.30 282 $8,262.68 $8,285.31 +$8.54
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $28.77 287 $8,258.42
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $28.64 287 $8,220.74 $8,247.63 $-37.68
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:30am ET $29.53 279 $8,240.26
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $29.51 279 $8,233.29 $8,240.66 $-6.97
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $29.64 278 $8,239.92
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $29.53 278 $8,209.34 $8,210.08 $-30.58
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:15pm ET $29.46 278 $8,189.88
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:55pm ET $29.36 278 $8,162.08 $8,182.28 $-27.80
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET $29.27 279 $8,166.33
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $29.00 279 $8,092.39 $8,108.34 $-73.94
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:00am ET $28.63 283 $8,102.29
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:55pm ET $28.85 283 $8,164.55 $8,170.60 +$62.26
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:30pm ET $28.32 288 $8,154.72
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $28.11 288 $8,095.68 $8,111.56 $-59.04
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
10 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 12:35pm ET $28.06 289 $8,109.34
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $27.98 289 $8,086.22 $8,088.44 $-23.12
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
11 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 3:25pm ET $28.06 288 $8,079.84
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:40pm ET $27.86 288 $8,025.12 $8,033.72 $-54.72
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,033.72
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,966.28
Total Return: -19.66%
Back to Grace Crossover