Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 20:22:17

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.4%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$6,677.55
Current Value
$6,621.68
Period P&L
$-55.90
Max Drawdown
-42.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+3.98%
Worst Trade
-2.82%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$145,180.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-55.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$-55.90
Gross Return
-0.84%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $6,677.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $18.92 355 $6,714.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:45am ET $18.64 355 $6,615.43 $6,617.23 $-99.40
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:40pm ET $18.27 362 $6,615.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:55pm ET $18.23 362 $6,597.45 $6,599.13 $-18.10
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $18.36 359 $6,591.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 10:35am ET $18.25 359 $6,552.61 $6,560.50 $-38.63
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:15pm ET $18.27 358 $6,542.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $18.43 358 $6,599.73 $6,617.78 +$57.28
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:10pm ET $17.50 378 $6,613.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $18.19 378 $6,876.01 $6,880.68 +$262.90
(+4.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $18.77 366 $6,869.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $18.24 366 $6,675.84 $6,686.88 $-193.80
(-2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $18.64 358 $6,673.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:35am ET $18.27 358 $6,540.66 $6,554.42 $-132.46
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 12:05pm ET $18.38 356 $6,541.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:40pm ET $18.24 356 $6,493.44 $6,506.36 $-48.06
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $17.80 365 $6,497.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $17.73 365 $6,471.45 $6,480.81 $-25.55
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $17.63 367 $6,470.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $17.71 367 $6,499.57 $6,510.17 +$29.36
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:45am ET $17.22 378 $6,509.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $17.51 378 $6,620.67 $6,621.68 +$111.51
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,621.68
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,378.32
Total Return: -33.78%
Back to Grace Crossover