Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:08:34

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

52
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
26.3/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
5.1/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 52.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 51.8

30-Day Momentum

7
-0.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-45 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,867.03
Current Value
$14,839.78
Period P&L
$-27.26
Max Drawdown
-6.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+0.32%
Worst Trade
-0.40%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$266,163.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-27.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-27.26
Gross Return
-0.18%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $14,867.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:40pm ET $105.09 141 $14,817.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:45pm ET $105.36 141 $14,855.76 $14,905.11 +$38.07
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:20pm ET $102.85 144 $14,810.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $102.75 144 $14,796.72 $14,891.43 $-13.68
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:45am ET $106.07 140 $14,849.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:40am ET $105.96 140 $14,833.70 $14,876.03 $-15.40
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $106.08 140 $14,851.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:30pm ET $105.94 140 $14,832.30 $14,857.13 $-18.90
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $106.28 139 $14,772.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:35am ET $105.86 139 $14,714.54 $14,798.75 $-58.38
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $108.77 136 $14,792.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $108.68 136 $14,779.80 $14,785.83 $-12.92
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $106.68 138 $14,721.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 11:10am ET $107.02 138 $14,768.76 $14,832.76 +$46.93
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 2:50pm ET $107.51 137 $14,728.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $107.39 137 $14,713.11 $14,817.00 $-15.76
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $110.08 134 $14,750.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 2:15pm ET $110.25 134 $14,773.50 $14,839.78 +$22.78
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,839.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,839.78
Total Return: +48.40%
Back to Grace Crossover