Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:00

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
70 neutral
20d Trend
+11.0%
5d Trend
+2.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.4%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
76%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

19
-0.4%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.3 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,412.45
Current Value
$9,408.49
Period P&L
$-3.93
Max Drawdown
-13.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
7 / 3
Best Trade
+1.35%
Worst Trade
-2.28%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$185,339.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3.93
Gross Return
-0.04%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,412.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 12:20pm ET $63.78 148 $9,438.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $62.32 148 $9,223.36 $9,228.74 $-215.34
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:15am ET $62.53 147 $9,191.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $62.70 147 $9,217.49 $9,255.05 +$26.31
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:45am ET $62.58 147 $9,199.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:55am ET $62.39 147 $9,171.33 $9,226.39 $-28.66
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:10pm ET $63.40 145 $9,193.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:00pm ET $64.18 145 $9,306.82 $9,339.49 +$113.10
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:25am ET $65.23 143 $9,327.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 12:15pm ET $64.15 143 $9,174.16 $9,185.76 $-153.73
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:05pm ET $64.67 142 $9,183.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:00am ET $65.21 142 $9,259.11 $9,261.73 +$75.97
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 11:35am ET $65.00 142 $9,230.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:40am ET $65.04 142 $9,235.68 $9,267.41 +$5.68
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $64.98 142 $9,227.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $65.86 142 $9,351.41 $9,391.66 +$124.25
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:25am ET $64.04 146 $9,349.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $64.14 146 $9,364.44 $9,406.99 +$15.33
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:55am ET $62.31 150 $9,346.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $62.32 150 $9,348.00 $9,408.49 +$1.50
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,408.49
Net Profit/Loss: $-591.51
Total Return: -5.92%
Back to Grace Crossover