Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 07:25:41

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
70 neutral
20d Trend
+11.0%
5d Trend
+2.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.4%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
76%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
1.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 6.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 6.2

30-Day Momentum

14
+0.6%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.9 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,931.07
Current Value
$10,059.59
Period P&L
$128.55
Max Drawdown
-13.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
2 / 9
Best Trade
+2.47%
Worst Trade
-0.98%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
22.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$219,055.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$128.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$128.55
Gross Return
+1.29%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,931.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 12:15pm ET $59.27 168 $9,957.26
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $58.84 168 $9,885.12 $9,929.36 $-72.14
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:25am ET $57.21 173 $9,897.33
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:15am ET $56.91 173 $9,845.45 $9,877.48 $-51.88
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $56.40 175 $9,870.87
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $56.34 175 $9,859.50 $9,866.11 $-11.37
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:30pm ET $57.38 171 $9,811.13
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $57.21 171 $9,782.91 $9,837.89 $-28.22
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $58.18 169 $9,832.42
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $59.02 169 $9,974.40 $9,979.87 +$141.98
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 2:25pm ET $58.89 169 $9,952.41
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $58.31 169 $9,855.23 $9,882.69 $-97.18
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $57.30 172 $9,855.60
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $58.72 172 $10,098.98 $10,126.07 +$243.38
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:00am ET $57.83 175 $10,120.25
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:50pm ET $57.78 175 $10,112.15 $10,117.97 $-8.10
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $55.88 181 $10,113.38
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $55.72 181 $10,084.42 $10,089.01 $-28.96
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $55.28 182 $10,061.87
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $55.19 182 $10,043.67 $10,070.81 $-18.20
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 1:20pm ET $53.62 187 $10,026.01
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $53.56 187 $10,014.79 $10,059.59 $-11.22
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,059.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$59.59
Total Return: +0.60%
Back to Grace Crossover