Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-26 09:17:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
13
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.6
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.76
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 3.6
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
44.4 neutral
20d Trend
-1.7%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
1.2%
Range Pos
44%
Bounce Ratio
1.3×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 26, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.9/35
Total Return
6.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 15.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 15.1

30-Day Momentum

28
+2.7%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
4.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 36.6 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,320.48
Current Value
$10,563.46
Period P&L
$243.04
Max Drawdown
-6.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+3.04%
Worst Trade
-0.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$164,742.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$243.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$243.04
Gross Return
+2.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,320.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:20am ET $51.92 197 $10,227.26
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:15am ET $51.94 197 $10,233.16 $10,282.99 +$5.91
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 2:45pm ET $51.47 199 $10,243.52
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:40pm ET $51.40 199 $10,229.59 $10,269.06 $-13.93
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:40am ET $51.44 199 $10,237.55
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $51.39 199 $10,226.61 $10,258.11 $-10.95
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:30pm ET $50.81 201 $10,212.81
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $50.92 201 $10,235.92 $10,281.22 +$23.11
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 1:25pm ET $52.24 196 $10,238.06
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $52.23 196 $10,237.08 $10,280.24 $-0.98
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $52.31 196 $10,252.76
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $52.31 196 $10,251.78 $10,279.26 $-0.98
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:15pm ET $52.25 196 $10,241.00
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $53.84 196 $10,552.64 $10,590.90 +$311.64
(+3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $53.96 196 $10,575.18
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $53.81 196 $10,547.74 $10,563.46 $-27.44
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,563.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$563.46
Total Return: +5.63%
Back to Grace Crossover