Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:06:02

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.4 neutral
20d Trend
-1.7%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
1.2%
Range Pos
44%
Bounce Ratio
1.3×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
8.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 18.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 18.6

30-Day Momentum

19
+0.7%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.3 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,788.51
Current Value
$10,863.69
Period P&L
$75.24
Max Drawdown
-6.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+0.74%
Worst Trade
-0.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
8.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$216,104.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$75.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$75.24
Gross Return
+0.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,788.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:55am ET $58.26 185 $10,778.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:40pm ET $58.19 185 $10,766.07 $10,776.43 $-12.02
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $58.13 185 $10,754.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $58.13 185 $10,753.13 $10,775.50 $-0.93
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:35pm ET $57.76 186 $10,744.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:50pm ET $57.74 186 $10,738.71 $10,769.92 $-5.58
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $57.40 187 $10,732.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $57.82 187 $10,812.34 $10,849.39 +$79.47
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:55am ET $58.12 186 $10,810.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 3:05pm ET $58.15 186 $10,814.97 $10,854.04 +$4.65
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:55am ET $57.28 189 $10,824.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $57.16 189 $10,803.24 $10,832.30 $-21.74
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $56.83 190 $10,796.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $57.23 190 $10,873.70 $10,909.25 +$76.95
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $56.60 192 $10,868.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $56.50 192 $10,848.00 $10,889.09 $-20.16
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:30am ET $55.85 194 $10,834.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 11:45am ET $55.76 194 $10,818.41 $10,872.60 $-16.49
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:50pm ET $54.90 198 $10,870.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $54.85 198 $10,861.29 $10,863.69 $-8.91
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,863.69
Net Profit/Loss: +$863.69
Total Return: +8.64%
Back to Grace Crossover