Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:08:37

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.9/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 36.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 35.5

30-Day Momentum

42
+7.1%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
6.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 53.4 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,198.54
Current Value
$13,064.81
Period P&L
$866.37
Max Drawdown
-7.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.62

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+4.42%
Worst Trade
-0.27%
Avg Trade Return
+1.01%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$177,482.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$866.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$866.37
Gross Return
+7.10%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,198.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:35pm ET $162.02 75 $12,151.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:50pm ET $161.77 75 $12,132.75 $12,179.69 $-18.75
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:55am ET $157.06 77 $12,093.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $164.00 77 $12,628.00 $12,714.07 +$534.38
(+4.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $161.10 78 $12,565.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $164.27 78 $12,813.06 $12,961.33 +$247.26
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:50am ET $165.56 78 $12,913.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 1:10pm ET $165.20 78 $12,885.21 $12,932.86 $-28.47
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $164.88 78 $12,860.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:30pm ET $164.44 78 $12,826.32 $12,898.54 $-34.32
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 2:10pm ET $162.79 79 $12,860.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 2:45pm ET $162.68 79 $12,851.33 $12,889.85 $-8.69
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET $158.80 81 $12,862.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $160.96 81 $13,037.76 $13,064.81 +$174.96
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,064.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,064.81
Total Return: +30.65%
Back to Grace Crossover