Compendium › Grace Crossover › AAPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AAPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 25 trades in period

-0.69%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,567.50
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$8,627.16
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:22:18

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

29
+2.6%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
2.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 40.7 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,627.16
Current Value
$8,567.50
Period P&L
$-59.69
Max Drawdown
-16.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
12 / 13
Best Trade
+1.89%
Worst Trade
-8.48%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
21.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$420,459.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-59.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$-59.69
Gross Return
-0.69%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,627.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:10am ET $277.84 31 $8,613.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $281.55 31 $8,728.05 $8,742.20 +$115.01
(+1.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $288.85 30 $8,665.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 1:05pm ET $294.06 30 $8,821.80 $8,898.41 +$156.21
(+1.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 2:00pm ET $312.77 28 $8,757.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $312.48 28 $8,749.44 $8,890.15 $-8.26
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 11:25am ET $310.61 28 $8,697.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:50am ET $314.43 28 $8,804.04 $8,997.11 +$106.96
(+1.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $316.89 28 $8,872.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:30pm ET $316.26 28 $8,855.28 $8,979.47 $-17.64
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
55m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $331.89 27 $8,961.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $331.50 27 $8,950.50 $8,968.81 $-10.66
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:10pm ET $325.43 27 $8,786.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $323.35 27 $8,730.45 $8,912.65 $-56.16
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 2:40pm ET $324.45 27 $8,760.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET $321.86 27 $8,690.09 $8,842.58 $-70.07
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 2:55pm ET $332.97 26 $8,657.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 3:30pm ET $332.46 26 $8,643.96 $8,829.32 $-13.26
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 1:40pm ET $339.52 26 $8,827.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 11:00am ET $340.44 26 $8,851.44 $8,853.24 +$23.92
(+0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 1:10pm ET $332.33 26 $8,640.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $304.14 26 $7,907.64 $8,120.30 $-732.94
(-8.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:10am ET $305.60 26 $7,945.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:00pm ET $308.53 26 $8,021.78 $8,196.48 +$76.18
(+1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $309.01 26 $8,034.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $310.74 26 $8,079.37 $8,241.59 +$45.11
(+0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $312.61 26 $8,127.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 2:15pm ET $312.40 26 $8,122.40 $8,236.13 $-5.46
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
55m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $305.25 26 $7,936.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 1:50pm ET $301.57 26 $7,840.82 $8,140.45 $-95.68
(-1.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $303.71 26 $7,896.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 10:55am ET $305.04 26 $7,931.04 $8,174.90 +$34.45
(+0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $304.28 26 $7,911.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 1:45pm ET $310.04 26 $8,061.04 $8,324.66 +$149.76
(+1.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:50am ET $316.65 26 $8,232.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:20am ET $316.33 26 $8,224.71 $8,316.47 $-8.19
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $309.56 26 $8,048.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $311.69 26 $8,103.94 $8,371.85 +$55.38
(+0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:25pm ET $310.08 26 $8,062.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 1:15pm ET $312.62 26 $8,128.12 $8,437.89 +$66.04
(+0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $314.71 26 $8,182.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $320.15 26 $8,323.90 $8,579.33 +$141.44
(+1.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $325.44 26 $8,461.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $324.99 26 $8,449.74 $8,567.63 $-11.70
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $334.58 25 $8,364.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 11:35am ET $332.74 25 $8,318.50 $8,521.63 $-46.00
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 11:25am ET $335.50 25 $8,387.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:00pm ET $338.25 25 $8,456.25 $8,590.38 +$68.75
(+0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:05am ET $337.13 25 $8,428.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 10:45am ET $336.21 25 $8,405.37 $8,567.50 $-22.88
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,567.50
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,432.50
Total Return: -14.32%
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