Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:32

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

7
-5.0%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,007.86
Current Value
$7,893.63
Period P&L
$-114.25
Max Drawdown
-7.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
12 / 15
Best Trade
+3.18%
Worst Trade
-4.14%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$430,043.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-114.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-114.25
Gross Return
-1.43%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,007.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:00pm ET $128.76 62 $7,983.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 12:10pm ET $128.15 62 $7,945.30 $7,970.06 $-37.82
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $127.67 62 $7,915.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 11:15am ET $122.39 62 $7,587.87 $7,642.70 $-327.36
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $134.92 56 $7,555.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $137.06 56 $7,675.36 $7,762.54 +$119.84
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:40am ET $136.72 56 $7,656.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 10:15am ET $138.06 56 $7,731.36 $7,837.58 +$75.04
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:30am ET $135.69 57 $7,734.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $135.95 57 $7,748.87 $7,852.12 +$14.54
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $138.77 56 $7,771.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 10:10am ET $137.00 56 $7,672.00 $7,752.72 $-99.40
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:25pm ET $141.80 54 $7,657.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $140.86 54 $7,606.44 $7,701.97 $-50.75
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 3:10pm ET $141.02 54 $7,615.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 10:20am ET $140.85 54 $7,606.17 $7,692.79 $-9.18
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 11:40am ET $138.04 55 $7,591.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:40pm ET $137.91 55 $7,585.32 $7,686.19 $-6.60
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $160.44 47 $7,540.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 2:05pm ET $165.30 47 $7,769.33 $7,914.87 +$228.68
(+3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $163.35 48 $7,840.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $163.52 48 $7,849.20 $7,923.27 +$8.40
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 12:30pm ET $166.49 47 $7,825.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 10:45am ET $168.84 47 $7,935.25 $8,033.49 +$110.22
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $172.86 46 $7,951.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 2:30pm ET $178.35 46 $8,204.10 $8,286.03 +$252.54
(+3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 2:45pm ET $178.77 46 $8,223.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $176.30 46 $8,109.80 $8,172.18 $-113.85
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 2:50pm ET $178.98 45 $8,054.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $176.22 45 $7,929.90 $8,047.98 $-124.20
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:35am ET $171.55 46 $7,891.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 3:30pm ET $175.56 46 $8,075.76 $8,232.44 +$184.46
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:55am ET $184.60 44 $8,122.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $185.01 44 $8,140.22 $8,250.26 +$17.82
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $184.60 44 $8,122.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $186.00 44 $8,184.00 $8,311.86 +$61.60
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:05pm ET $186.62 44 $8,211.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $184.92 44 $8,136.48 $8,237.28 $-74.58
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $184.15 44 $8,102.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $188.47 44 $8,292.68 $8,427.36 +$190.08
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:05pm ET $189.82 44 $8,352.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $189.59 44 $8,341.96 $8,417.02 $-10.34
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 1:35pm ET $188.18 44 $8,279.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $187.92 44 $8,268.48 $8,405.58 $-11.44
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $178.42 47 $8,385.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $177.76 47 $8,354.72 $8,374.51 $-31.07
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $177.31 47 $8,333.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $177.85 47 $8,358.95 $8,399.89 +$25.38
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:55am ET $194.43 43 $8,360.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $190.54 43 $8,193.22 $8,232.62 $-167.27
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $192.76 42 $8,096.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:30am ET $185.22 42 $7,779.24 $7,915.77 $-316.85
(-3.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:35pm ET $183.84 43 $7,904.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:50am ET $183.32 43 $7,882.76 $7,893.63 $-22.14
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,893.63
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,106.37
Total Return: -21.06%
Back to Grace Crossover