Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-28 16:34:23

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
18
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.5
Unsettled
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 28, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.3

30-Day Momentum

4
-7.1%
30d Return
14%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-30 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,368.61
Current Value
$7,970.06
Period P&L
$-1,398.57
Max Drawdown
-7.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.51

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
5 / 20
Best Trade
+2.13%
Worst Trade
-4.69%
Avg Trade Return
-0.64%
Avg Hold Time
14.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$430,024.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,398.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,398.57
Gross Return
-14.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,368.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 11:10am ET $197.77 47 $9,295.19
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:00pm ET $197.29 47 $9,272.63 $9,346.07 $-22.56
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:50am ET $199.10 46 $9,158.60
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $198.32 46 $9,122.49 $9,309.96 $-36.11
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $200.17 46 $9,207.82
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:55am ET $197.09 46 $9,066.14 $9,168.28 $-141.68
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:20pm ET $184.48 49 $9,039.52
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $183.00 49 $8,967.18 $9,095.94 $-72.34
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:50am ET $193.21 47 $9,080.87
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $194.13 47 $9,123.88 $9,138.94 +$43.00
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:30am ET $197.13 46 $9,067.98
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:35am ET $196.85 46 $9,054.87 $9,125.83 $-13.11
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $189.41 48 $9,091.68
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $180.52 48 $8,665.06 $8,699.21 $-426.62
(-4.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:55pm ET $175.51 49 $8,599.99
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $179.24 49 $8,782.76 $8,881.98 +$182.77
(+2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $179.52 49 $8,796.72
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:25pm ET $177.42 49 $8,693.58 $8,778.84 $-103.14
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $177.50 49 $8,697.50
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:15am ET $177.26 49 $8,685.50 $8,766.84 $-12.00
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
11 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:25pm ET $179.12 48 $8,597.76
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:35am ET $175.85 48 $8,440.80 $8,609.88 $-156.96
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.2h held
12 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $176.59 48 $8,476.32
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $176.29 48 $8,462.16 $8,595.72 $-14.16
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
13 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 2:10pm ET $179.80 47 $8,450.60
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $178.02 47 $8,366.94 $8,512.06 $-83.66
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
14 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 11:25am ET $173.42 49 $8,497.58
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:50am ET $172.73 49 $8,463.53 $8,478.01 $-34.05
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
15 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $164.41 51 $8,384.91
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 1:55pm ET $167.06 51 $8,520.06 $8,613.16 +$135.15
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held
16 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 11:10am ET $177.77 48 $8,533.20
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:05pm ET $177.34 48 $8,512.32 $8,592.28 $-20.88
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
17 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:20am ET $177.75 48 $8,532.00
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 2:05pm ET $177.78 48 $8,533.44 $8,593.72 +$1.44
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
18 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:45am ET $178.57 48 $8,571.60
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $178.24 48 $8,555.52 $8,577.64 $-16.08
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $184.96 46 $8,508.16
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $182.93 46 $8,414.78 $8,484.26 $-93.38
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $181.16 46 $8,333.36
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 11:00am ET $179.77 46 $8,269.65 $8,420.55 $-63.71
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $177.83 47 $8,358.01
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $177.96 47 $8,364.12 $8,426.66 +$6.11
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $172.04 48 $8,257.68
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $168.68 48 $8,096.64 $8,265.62 $-161.04
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:15am ET $169.04 48 $8,113.68
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $166.84 48 $8,008.08 $8,160.02 $-105.60
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:20pm ET $128.22 63 $8,077.85
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $125.81 63 $7,925.72 $8,007.88 $-152.14
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:00pm ET $128.76 62 $7,983.12
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 12:10pm ET $128.15 62 $7,945.30 $7,970.06 $-37.82
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,970.06
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,029.94
Total Return: -20.30%
Back to Grace Crossover