Compendium › Grace Crossover › ADBE
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ADBE
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 31 trades in period

+11.45%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,584.94
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$6,805.50
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:11:21

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

9
-11.9%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,805.50
Current Value
$7,584.94
Period P&L
$779.37
Max Drawdown
-20.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
12 / 19
Best Trade
+8.35%
Worst Trade
-4.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.38%
Avg Hold Time
18.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$480,225.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$779.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$779.37
Gross Return
+11.45%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 31 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $6,805.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:35am ET $198.47 34 $6,747.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 10:40am ET $198.13 34 $6,736.42 $6,794.01 $-11.56
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $196.18 34 $6,670.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:15pm ET $200.00 34 $6,800.00 $6,923.89 +$129.88
(+1.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $202.68 34 $6,891.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $211.37 34 $7,186.58 $7,219.38 +$295.49
(+4.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $218.52 33 $7,211.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 2:10pm ET $226.54 33 $7,475.66 $7,483.96 +$264.58
(+3.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 11:00am ET $220.52 33 $7,277.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $220.62 33 $7,280.46 $7,487.26 +$3.30
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:10pm ET $224.12 33 $7,395.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $223.51 33 $7,375.83 $7,467.13 $-20.13
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:25pm ET $223.76 33 $7,384.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $222.47 33 $7,341.51 $7,424.40 $-42.73
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $228.71 32 $7,318.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 10:10am ET $233.54 32 $7,473.28 $7,579.12 +$154.72
(+2.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:35am ET $231.56 32 $7,409.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $226.72 32 $7,255.04 $7,424.24 $-154.88
(-2.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $213.04 34 $7,243.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $230.82 34 $7,847.88 $8,028.76 +$604.52
(+8.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $245.48 32 $7,855.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 2:20pm ET $252.60 32 $8,083.20 $8,256.60 +$227.84
(+2.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 12:50pm ET $247.42 33 $8,164.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $247.37 33 $8,163.21 $8,254.95 $-1.65
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 11:35am ET $254.51 32 $8,144.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 11:50am ET $253.37 32 $8,107.84 $8,218.47 $-36.48
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
15m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $257.39 31 $7,979.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $251.79 31 $7,805.49 $8,044.87 $-173.60
(-2.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 12:45pm ET $265.77 30 $7,973.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $264.05 30 $7,921.65 $7,993.42 $-51.45
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 2:35pm ET $256.58 31 $7,953.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:50am ET $262.29 31 $8,130.99 $8,170.43 +$177.01
(+2.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 1:40pm ET $253.45 32 $8,110.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 2:45pm ET $265.32 32 $8,490.24 $8,550.43 +$380.00
(+4.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:10am ET $272.49 31 $8,447.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $272.42 31 $8,445.17 $8,548.41 $-2.02
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:15pm ET $274.20 31 $8,500.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:55am ET $276.27 31 $8,564.37 $8,612.58 +$64.17
(+0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:50pm ET $273.32 31 $8,472.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $265.52 31 $8,231.12 $8,370.76 $-241.82
(-2.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $290.17 28 $8,124.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $291.67 28 $8,166.76 $8,412.90 +$42.14
(+0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:50pm ET $292.16 28 $8,180.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $287.99 28 $8,063.70 $8,296.12 $-116.78
(-1.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:55pm ET $282.20 29 $8,183.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $281.63 29 $8,167.27 $8,279.59 $-16.53
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
40m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $268.47 30 $8,054.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $268.25 30 $8,047.50 $8,272.99 $-6.60
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 3:40pm ET $257.29 32 $8,233.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:55am ET $256.21 32 $8,198.72 $8,238.59 $-34.40
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $249.84 32 $7,994.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $241.52 32 $7,728.70 $7,972.41 $-266.18
(-3.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.4h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $263.76 30 $7,912.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $252.68 30 $7,580.25 $7,639.89 $-332.52
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:55am ET $250.23 30 $7,506.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:05am ET $249.27 30 $7,478.10 $7,611.17 $-28.72
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
10m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 11:10am ET $250.10 30 $7,502.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 11:35am ET $249.49 30 $7,484.70 $7,593.02 $-18.15
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:35pm ET $248.54 30 $7,456.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:50pm ET $247.54 30 $7,426.05 $7,563.02 $-30.00
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
15m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:10am ET $239.45 31 $7,422.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $240.15 31 $7,444.80 $7,584.94 +$21.92
(+0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,584.94
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,415.06
Total Return: -24.15%
Back to Grace Crossover