AMC Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 33 trades in period
+15.47%
Last 3 Months Return
$4,187.56
Current Value
27%
Win Rate
$3,626.54
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.1/10
Raw Quality
2.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 2.0
30-Day Momentum
68
+25.9%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 73.7
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+66 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,770
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$3,626.54
Current Value
$4,187.56
Period P&L
$561.02
Max Drawdown
-67.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
9 /
24
Best Trade
+9.93%
Worst Trade
-5.03%
Avg Trade Return
+0.50%
Avg Hold Time
11.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$241,768.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$561.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$561.02
Gross Return
+15.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.47%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $3,626.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:45pm ET | $1.36 | 2,671 | $3,625.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1.36 | 2,671 | $3,632.56 | $3,633.46 |
+$6.94 (+0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
6m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:50am ET | $1.25 | 2,906 | $3,632.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 12:05pm ET | $1.24 | 2,906 | $3,603.44 | $3,604.40 |
$-29.06 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1.25 | 2,883 | $3,603.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $1.24 | 2,883 | $3,574.92 | $3,575.57 |
$-28.83 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 2:10pm ET | $1.20 | 2,979 | $3,574.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 3:10pm ET | $1.20 | 2,979 | $3,559.91 | $3,560.68 |
$-14.90 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $1.20 | 2,979 | $3,559.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $1.18 | 2,979 | $3,515.22 | $3,515.99 |
$-44.69 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 2:00pm ET | $1.18 | 2,979 | $3,515.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $1.17 | 2,979 | $3,485.43 | $3,486.20 |
$-29.79 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $1.16 | 3,005 | $3,485.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 11:30am ET | $1.15 | 3,005 | $3,455.75 | $3,456.15 |
$-30.05 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 1:15pm ET | $1.13 | 3,058 | $3,455.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:20pm ET | $1.19 | 3,058 | $3,639.02 | $3,639.63 |
+$183.48 (+5.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1.20 | 3,033 | $3,639.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:40pm ET | $1.19 | 3,033 | $3,609.27 | $3,609.30 |
$-30.33 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1.17 | 3,084 | $3,608.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.14 | 3,084 | $3,515.76 | $3,516.78 |
$-92.52 (-2.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 11:30am ET | $1.11 | 3,168 | $3,516.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 11:55am ET | $1.10 | 3,168 | $3,484.80 | $3,485.10 |
$-31.68 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1.10 | 3,168 | $3,484.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 1:25pm ET | $1.09 | 3,168 | $3,453.12 | $3,453.42 |
$-31.68 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1.10 | 3,139 | $3,452.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1.10 | 3,139 | $3,437.21 | $3,437.73 |
$-15.69 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $1.10 | 3,125 | $3,437.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $1.09 | 3,125 | $3,406.25 | $3,406.48 |
$-31.25 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:30am ET | $1.11 | 3,068 | $3,405.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 10:45am ET | $1.09 | 3,068 | $3,344.12 | $3,345.12 |
$-61.36 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 2:00pm ET | $1.06 | 3,155 | $3,344.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1.05 | 3,155 | $3,312.75 | $3,313.57 |
$-31.55 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:55pm ET | $1.02 | 3,248 | $3,312.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:20pm ET | $1.01 | 3,248 | $3,280.48 | $3,281.09 |
$-32.48 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:45pm ET | $1.04 | 3,155 | $3,280.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $0.9876 | 3,155 | $3,115.88 | $3,116.08 |
$-165.01 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 12:25pm ET | $0.9978 | 3,122 | $3,115.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 3:35pm ET | $0.9834 | 3,122 | $3,070.17 | $3,071.12 |
$-44.96 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:35pm ET | $0.9529 | 3,222 | $3,070.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:10pm ET | $1.03 | 3,222 | $3,318.66 | $3,319.54 |
+$248.42 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $1.01 | 3,275 | $3,318.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:20am ET | $1.01 | 3,275 | $3,324.12 | $3,324.78 |
+$5.24 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 12:00pm ET | $1.23 | 2,714 | $3,324.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $1.33 | 2,714 | $3,609.62 | $3,609.75 |
+$284.97 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $1.34 | 2,693 | $3,608.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:45pm ET | $1.32 | 2,693 | $3,554.76 | $3,555.89 |
$-53.86 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $1.36 | 2,614 | $3,555.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.50 | 2,614 | $3,907.93 | $3,908.78 |
+$352.89 (+9.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:30am ET | $1.54 | 2,538 | $3,908.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 1:55pm ET | $1.59 | 2,538 | $4,035.17 | $4,035.93 |
+$127.15 (+3.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:05pm ET | $1.60 | 2,530 | $4,035.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:25am ET | $1.73 | 2,530 | $4,388.29 | $4,388.87 |
+$352.94 (+8.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1.80 | 2,431 | $4,387.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1.80 | 2,431 | $4,375.80 | $4,376.72 |
$-12.16 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:25am ET | $1.74 | 2,522 | $4,375.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:50am ET | $1.72 | 2,522 | $4,337.84 | $4,338.89 |
$-37.83 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.66 | 2,613 | $4,337.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $1.62 | 2,613 | $4,220.00 | $4,221.31 |
$-117.58 (-2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $1.63 | 2,597 | $4,220.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 2:45pm ET | $1.62 | 2,597 | $4,194.16 | $4,195.34 |
$-25.97 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:15pm ET | $1.62 | 2,589 | $4,193.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:20pm ET | $1.61 | 2,589 | $4,155.35 | $4,156.76 |
$-38.58 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:05pm ET | $1.52 | 2,725 | $4,155.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.49 | 2,725 | $4,059.98 | $4,061.11 |
$-95.65 (-2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1.45 | 2,810 | $4,060.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1.49 | 2,810 | $4,186.90 | $4,187.56 |
+$126.45 (+3.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$4,187.56
Net Profit/Loss:
$-5,812.44
Total Return:
-58.12%