Compendium › Grace Crossover › AMD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMD
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 30 trades in period

+18.61%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,271.74
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$8,659.72
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:46:43

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
4.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 9.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 9.9

30-Day Momentum

75
+13.1%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
6.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 85.9 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+65 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,659.72
Current Value
$10,271.74
Period P&L
$1,611.94
Max Drawdown
-38.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
14 / 16
Best Trade
+10.03%
Worst Trade
-4.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.63%
Avg Hold Time
17.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$525,954.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,611.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,611.94
Gross Return
+18.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,659.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $521.49 16 $8,343.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:10am ET $517.33 16 $8,277.20 $8,593.08 $-66.72
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:30am ET $522.56 16 $8,360.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:10pm ET $519.44 16 $8,311.04 $8,543.16 $-49.92
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $553.71 15 $8,305.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $550.35 15 $8,255.25 $8,492.76 $-50.40
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 12:10pm ET $518.40 16 $8,294.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $551.22 16 $8,819.52 $9,017.89 +$525.13
(+6.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $556.27 16 $8,900.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $539.49 16 $8,631.84 $8,749.41 $-268.48
(-3.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $568.00 15 $8,520.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 12:20pm ET $554.82 15 $8,322.32 $8,551.73 $-197.68
(-2.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:35am ET $487.86 17 $8,293.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $497.49 17 $8,457.33 $8,715.44 +$163.71
(+2.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $526.10 16 $8,417.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $541.32 16 $8,661.12 $8,958.88 +$243.44
(+2.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $537.99 16 $8,607.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 2:50pm ET $535.18 16 $8,562.85 $8,913.89 $-44.99
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
15m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:45am ET $461.88 19 $8,775.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 1:10pm ET $458.24 19 $8,706.56 $8,844.73 $-69.16
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $433.62 20 $8,672.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:35pm ET $437.42 20 $8,748.40 $8,920.73 +$76.00
(+0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $509.48 17 $8,661.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET $485.93 17 $8,260.81 $8,520.46 $-400.27
(-4.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
40m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:40am ET $479.77 17 $8,156.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 11:10am ET $518.51 17 $8,814.67 $9,178.96 +$658.50
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:55pm ET $489.51 18 $8,811.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $487.43 18 $8,773.74 $9,141.52 $-37.44
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
10m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $492.77 18 $8,869.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $477.42 18 $8,593.61 $8,865.31 $-276.21
(-3.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:15am ET $470.20 18 $8,463.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 1:25pm ET $486.75 18 $8,761.57 $9,163.28 +$297.97
(+3.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:45am ET $495.40 18 $8,917.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 11:45am ET $498.12 18 $8,966.16 $9,212.24 +$48.96
(+0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $479.62 19 $9,112.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $475.50 19 $9,034.50 $9,133.96 $-78.28
(-0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 1:55pm ET $464.27 19 $8,821.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:20am ET $462.95 19 $8,796.05 $9,108.79 $-25.17
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:40am ET $460.59 19 $8,751.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $459.28 19 $8,726.32 $9,083.90 $-24.89
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $476.92 19 $9,061.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $475.04 19 $9,025.76 $9,048.18 $-35.72
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $471.30 19 $8,954.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 10:10am ET $468.76 19 $8,906.44 $8,999.92 $-48.26
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:45am ET $459.92 19 $8,738.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $457.13 19 $8,685.47 $8,946.91 $-53.01
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $457.16 19 $8,686.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 2:30pm ET $457.17 19 $8,686.23 $8,947.10 +$0.19
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $514.14 17 $8,740.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $522.51 17 $8,882.67 $9,089.48 +$142.38
(+1.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $511.18 17 $8,690.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $511.90 17 $8,702.30 $9,101.63 +$12.15
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $501.13 18 $9,020.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:15am ET $503.01 18 $9,054.09 $9,135.47 +$33.84
(+0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $534.35 17 $9,083.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $546.47 17 $9,289.99 $9,341.51 +$206.04
(+2.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:00pm ET $544.97 17 $9,264.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:40am ET $599.65 17 $10,194.05 $10,271.10 +$929.59
(+10.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:35pm ET $617.16 16 $9,874.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $617.20 16 $9,875.20 $10,271.74 +$0.64
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,271.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$271.74
Total Return: +2.72%
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