AMGN Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 34 trades in period
-5.30%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,953.28
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$13,677.86
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
40
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
17.8/35
Total Return
12.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
39.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 39.7
30-Day Momentum
22
+2.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.8
Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,803
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,677.86
Current Value
$12,953.28
Period P&L
$-724.64
Max Drawdown
-5.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
10 /
24
Best Trade
+3.71%
Worst Trade
-2.14%
Avg Trade Return
-0.16%
Avg Hold Time
10.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$890,892.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-724.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$-724.64
Gross Return
-5.30%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.30%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,677.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $374.74 | 36 | $13,490.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $375.57 | 36 | $13,520.52 | $13,707.62 |
+$29.70 (+0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
2.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:25am ET | $367.34 | 37 | $13,591.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:55am ET | $365.42 | 37 | $13,520.36 | $13,636.40 |
$-71.22 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $373.35 | 36 | $13,440.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 3:15pm ET | $373.31 | 36 | $13,439.16 | $13,634.96 |
$-1.44 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 10:40am ET | $377.91 | 36 | $13,604.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 1:35pm ET | $375.92 | 36 | $13,533.30 | $13,563.50 |
$-71.46 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 3:20pm ET | $374.80 | 36 | $13,492.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $375.88 | 36 | $13,531.68 | $13,602.20 |
+$38.70 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 2:55pm ET | $381.32 | 35 | $13,346.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 10:45am ET | $381.92 | 35 | $13,367.37 | $13,623.37 |
+$21.17 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 1:15pm ET | $377.40 | 36 | $13,586.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 1:10pm ET | $386.77 | 36 | $13,923.54 | $13,960.33 |
+$336.96 (+2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $384.98 | 36 | $13,859.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $377.97 | 36 | $13,606.92 | $13,708.15 |
$-252.18 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:45am ET | $377.77 | 36 | $13,599.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $375.22 | 36 | $13,507.92 | $13,616.35 |
$-91.80 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $366.97 | 37 | $13,577.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 11:40am ET | $365.61 | 37 | $13,527.57 | $13,566.03 |
$-50.32 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:40am ET | $375.68 | 36 | $13,524.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $376.18 | 36 | $13,542.48 | $13,583.85 |
+$17.82 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 3:45pm ET | $377.13 | 36 | $13,576.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $369.04 | 36 | $13,285.43 | $13,292.78 |
$-291.07 (-2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $372.04 | 35 | $13,021.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $368.85 | 35 | $12,909.75 | $13,181.04 |
$-111.74 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $366.72 | 35 | $12,835.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 2:40pm ET | $366.62 | 35 | $12,831.70 | $13,177.54 |
$-3.50 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $362.18 | 36 | $13,038.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:50pm ET | $361.33 | 36 | $13,007.88 | $13,146.94 |
$-30.60 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $353.99 | 37 | $13,097.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:25am ET | $350.95 | 37 | $12,985.33 | $13,034.64 |
$-112.30 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $348.93 | 37 | $12,910.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $347.81 | 37 | $12,868.97 | $12,993.20 |
$-41.44 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 1:35pm ET | $351.22 | 36 | $12,643.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:20pm ET | $351.08 | 36 | $12,639.06 | $12,988.34 |
$-4.86 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $353.84 | 36 | $12,738.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 1:50pm ET | $354.73 | 36 | $12,770.10 | $13,020.20 |
+$31.86 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $353.44 | 36 | $12,723.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $351.35 | 36 | $12,648.51 | $12,945.01 |
$-75.19 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:50am ET | $350.79 | 36 | $12,628.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $348.49 | 36 | $12,545.64 | $12,862.21 |
$-82.80 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 12:10pm ET | $350.61 | 36 | $12,621.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 2:35pm ET | $350.79 | 36 | $12,628.26 | $12,868.51 |
+$6.30 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:40pm ET | $353.60 | 36 | $12,729.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 11:15am ET | $351.09 | 36 | $12,639.24 | $12,778.15 |
$-90.36 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 2:50pm ET | $342.83 | 37 | $12,684.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:10pm ET | $341.98 | 37 | $12,653.44 | $12,746.88 |
$-31.27 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $344.04 | 37 | $12,729.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:25pm ET | $356.80 | 37 | $13,201.78 | $13,219.18 |
+$472.30 (+3.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $351.46 | 37 | $13,004.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:15pm ET | $349.47 | 37 | $12,930.39 | $13,145.55 |
$-73.63 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 2:50pm ET | $355.85 | 36 | $12,810.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:00pm ET | $355.29 | 36 | $12,790.44 | $13,125.39 |
$-20.16 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:50am ET | $345.05 | 38 | $13,111.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:10pm ET | $345.12 | 38 | $13,114.56 | $13,128.24 |
+$2.85 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 3:45pm ET | $344.54 | 38 | $13,092.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $348.22 | 38 | $13,232.36 | $13,268.08 |
+$139.84 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $346.86 | 38 | $13,180.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $345.83 | 38 | $13,141.54 | $13,229.13 |
$-38.95 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $339.73 | 38 | $12,909.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.79 | 38 | $12,760.02 | $13,079.41 |
$-149.72 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:25pm ET | $327.45 | 39 | $12,770.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $326.85 | 39 | $12,747.15 | $13,055.82 |
$-23.59 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $322.99 | 40 | $12,919.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:45am ET | $321.66 | 40 | $12,866.40 | $13,002.42 |
$-53.40 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 2:05pm ET | $331.14 | 39 | $12,914.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $329.88 | 39 | $12,865.32 | $12,953.28 |
$-49.14 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,953.28
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,953.28
Total Return:
+29.53%