Compendium › Grace Crossover › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 30 trades in period

+6.83%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,619.69
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$13,684.54
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 03:51:06

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

52
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
27.6/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 52.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 52.1

30-Day Momentum

24
+1.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 27.7 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,684.54
Current Value
$14,619.69
Period P&L
$935.09
Max Drawdown
-5.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
14 / 16
Best Trade
+3.90%
Worst Trade
-1.67%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
22.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$829,202.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$935.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$935.09
Gross Return
+6.83%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,684.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:15pm ET $356.18 38 $13,535.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 2:50pm ET $355.21 38 $13,497.98 $13,647.55 $-37.05
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 1:45pm ET $359.70 37 $13,308.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 3:15pm ET $359.42 37 $13,298.54 $13,637.19 $-10.36
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 3:30pm ET $361.30 37 $13,368.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 11:10am ET $360.71 37 $13,346.27 $13,615.17 $-22.02
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:25pm ET $364.65 37 $13,492.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 11:25am ET $369.15 37 $13,658.55 $13,781.67 +$166.50
(+1.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 1:50pm ET $368.70 37 $13,641.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $362.56 37 $13,414.72 $13,554.49 $-227.18
(-1.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $362.54 37 $13,413.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET $358.35 37 $13,258.77 $13,399.27 $-155.22
(-1.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $356.55 37 $13,192.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:10pm ET $356.41 37 $13,187.17 $13,394.09 $-5.18
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $360.16 37 $13,325.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $368.55 37 $13,636.53 $13,704.70 +$310.61
(+2.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $364.84 37 $13,499.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 11:25am ET $365.60 37 $13,527.20 $13,732.82 +$28.12
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $364.65 37 $13,492.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 1:45pm ET $364.21 37 $13,475.77 $13,716.54 $-16.28
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:35am ET $366.65 37 $13,566.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $366.88 37 $13,574.56 $13,725.05 +$8.51
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 3:00pm ET $376.33 36 $13,547.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 11:35am ET $378.57 36 $13,628.52 $13,805.69 +$80.64
(+0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 11:50am ET $382.78 36 $13,780.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $382.00 36 $13,752.00 $13,777.61 $-28.08
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $389.50 35 $13,632.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 11:35am ET $404.70 35 $14,164.50 $14,309.61 +$532.00
(+3.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $406.43 35 $14,225.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET $406.89 35 $14,241.32 $14,325.88 +$16.27
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 1:20pm ET $414.70 34 $14,099.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 2:40pm ET $413.92 34 $14,073.28 $14,299.19 $-26.69
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $418.36 34 $14,224.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $412.63 34 $14,029.42 $14,104.54 $-194.65
(-1.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $430.24 32 $13,767.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:55am ET $437.00 32 $13,984.00 $14,320.86 +$216.32
(+1.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:35am ET $435.05 32 $13,921.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 12:35pm ET $438.19 32 $14,022.08 $14,421.50 +$100.64
(+0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $441.35 32 $14,123.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:55am ET $442.95 32 $14,174.56 $14,473.02 +$51.52
(+0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $441.54 32 $14,129.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:35pm ET $441.15 32 $14,116.80 $14,460.54 $-12.48
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $432.81 33 $14,282.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $426.77 33 $14,083.41 $14,261.22 $-199.32
(-1.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $433.48 32 $13,871.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:55am ET $432.39 32 $13,836.64 $14,226.50 $-34.72
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $437.52 32 $14,000.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:05pm ET $443.31 32 $14,185.92 $14,411.78 +$185.28
(+1.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $392.44 36 $14,127.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:50pm ET $390.84 36 $14,070.24 $14,354.18 $-57.60
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $381.95 37 $14,132.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:45am ET $378.66 37 $14,010.53 $14,232.56 $-121.62
(-0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
15m held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:40am ET $377.77 37 $13,977.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $378.24 37 $13,994.88 $14,249.76 +$17.20
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $378.30 37 $13,997.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $380.23 37 $14,068.51 $14,321.17 +$71.41
(+0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 1:40pm ET $383.43 37 $14,186.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $392.24 37 $14,513.06 $14,647.34 +$326.17
(+2.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $407.73 35 $14,270.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 10:30am ET $406.94 35 $14,242.90 $14,619.69 $-27.65
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,619.69
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,619.69
Total Return: +46.20%
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