Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-28 16:32:25

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
18
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.5
Unsettled
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 28, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.9

30-Day Momentum

6
-12.0%
30d Return
13%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-30 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,420.33
Current Value
$8,776.35
Period P&L
$-643.98
Max Drawdown
-24.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
10 / 16
Best Trade
+5.48%
Worst Trade
-4.54%
Avg Trade Return
-0.25%
Avg Hold Time
23.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$505,570.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-643.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$-643.98
Gross Return
-6.84%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,420.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $201.80 46 $9,282.80
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:10pm ET $202.48 46 $9,314.08 $9,451.61 +$31.28
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $211.58 44 $9,309.52
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $209.68 44 $9,226.14 $9,368.23 $-83.38
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $210.97 44 $9,282.68
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $211.81 44 $9,319.64 $9,405.19 +$36.96
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $225.23 41 $9,234.51
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $237.58 41 $9,740.78 $9,911.46 +$506.27
(+5.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:35pm ET $238.78 41 $9,789.98
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:35pm ET $249.35 41 $10,223.35 $10,344.83 +$433.37
(+4.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
23h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET $247.11 41 $10,131.51
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 12:25pm ET $253.46 41 $10,391.86 $10,605.18 +$260.35
(+2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:45pm ET $247.12 42 $10,378.83
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $251.98 42 $10,583.16 $10,809.51 +$204.33
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $255.56 42 $10,733.52
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $255.05 42 $10,712.14 $10,788.13 $-21.38
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:00am ET $262.89 41 $10,778.29
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $258.21 41 $10,586.81 $10,596.66 $-191.47
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $273.04 38 $10,375.52
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET $260.65 38 $9,904.70 $10,125.84 $-470.82
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $269.29 37 $9,963.73
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:45am ET $271.60 37 $10,049.20 $10,211.31 +$85.47
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $273.96 37 $10,136.52
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $273.82 37 $10,131.34 $10,206.13 $-5.18
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
13 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 2:15pm ET $272.80 37 $10,093.42
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $272.34 37 $10,076.58 $10,189.29 $-16.84
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
14 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $272.80 37 $10,093.60
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $270.16 37 $9,995.92 $10,091.61 $-97.68
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
15 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $263.03 38 $9,995.14
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:15pm ET $263.04 38 $9,995.52 $10,091.99 +$0.38
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
16 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 3:40pm ET $264.56 38 $10,053.28
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $262.02 38 $9,956.76 $9,995.47 $-96.52
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
17 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $263.46 37 $9,748.02
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 10:10am ET $267.85 37 $9,910.45 $10,157.90 +$162.43
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
18 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:10am ET $267.98 37 $9,915.08
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:00pm ET $262.90 37 $9,727.30 $9,970.12 $-187.78
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
19 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 11:35am ET $272.57 36 $9,812.52
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $266.29 36 $9,586.44 $9,744.04 $-226.08
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:55am ET $259.89 37 $9,615.93
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:20pm ET $249.43 37 $9,228.91 $9,357.02 $-387.02
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $254.07 36 $9,146.70
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:40pm ET $253.78 36 $9,136.08 $9,346.40 $-10.62
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $244.00 38 $9,272.00
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $244.03 38 $9,273.14 $9,347.54 +$1.14
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $238.72 39 $9,310.08
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $237.45 39 $9,260.63 $9,298.09 $-49.45
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $248.03 37 $9,177.11
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $237.93 37 $8,803.41 $8,924.39 $-373.70
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $244.42 36 $8,799.12
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $240.39 36 $8,654.04 $8,779.31 $-145.08
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:45am ET $234.53 37 $8,677.61
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 11:10am ET $234.45 37 $8,674.65 $8,776.35 $-2.96
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,776.35
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,223.65
Total Return: -12.24%
Back to Grace Crossover