Compendium › Grace Crossover › AMZN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMZN
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 27 trades in period

+1.91%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,943.58
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$8,776.35
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:05:39

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 4.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

6
-4.5%
30d Return
13%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,776.35
Current Value
$8,943.58
Period P&L
$167.23
Max Drawdown
-24.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
10 / 17
Best Trade
+8.44%
Worst Trade
-3.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$489,329.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$167.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$167.23
Gross Return
+1.91%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,776.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $232.48 37 $8,601.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $240.61 37 $8,902.57 $9,077.16 +$300.81
(+3.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:40am ET $243.45 37 $9,007.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $244.66 37 $9,052.42 $9,121.93 +$44.77
(+0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $245.72 37 $9,091.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $244.18 37 $9,034.77 $9,065.06 $-56.87
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:00am ET $242.71 37 $8,980.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET $245.50 37 $9,083.50 $9,168.29 +$103.23
(+1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 1:15pm ET $248.20 36 $8,935.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $248.28 36 $8,938.08 $9,171.17 +$2.88
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:20am ET $254.90 35 $8,921.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $255.36 35 $8,937.60 $9,187.10 +$15.93
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $248.75 36 $8,955.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 2:35pm ET $247.54 36 $8,911.44 $9,143.54 $-43.56
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $243.82 37 $9,021.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $236.38 37 $8,746.06 $8,868.26 $-275.28
(-3.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $235.58 37 $8,716.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:55am ET $233.18 37 $8,627.66 $8,779.46 $-88.80
(-1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:35am ET $230.26 38 $8,749.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 2:15pm ET $231.16 38 $8,784.08 $8,813.66 +$34.20
(+0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $264.11 33 $8,715.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:40am ET $286.40 33 $9,451.20 $9,549.23 +$735.57
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 12:40pm ET $278.46 34 $9,467.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $277.46 34 $9,433.64 $9,515.23 $-34.00
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $275.45 34 $9,365.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $277.67 34 $9,440.78 $9,590.71 +$75.48
(+0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 1:50pm ET $272.74 35 $9,545.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 2:30pm ET $272.03 35 $9,521.05 $9,565.86 $-24.85
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
40m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 2:45pm ET $268.91 35 $9,411.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $268.13 35 $9,384.64 $9,538.65 $-27.21
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 12:40pm ET $264.33 36 $9,515.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:35am ET $258.80 36 $9,316.95 $9,339.72 $-198.93
(-2.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET $260.80 35 $9,128.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET $262.64 35 $9,192.23 $9,403.95 +$64.23
(+0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:00am ET $260.20 36 $9,367.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 11:15am ET $259.49 36 $9,341.64 $9,378.39 $-25.56
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
15m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:15pm ET $262.67 35 $9,193.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $262.15 35 $9,175.25 $9,360.02 $-18.37
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:55pm ET $260.68 35 $9,123.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:20am ET $260.23 35 $9,108.05 $9,344.27 $-15.75
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:40pm ET $265.75 35 $9,301.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:00pm ET $259.21 35 $9,072.35 $9,115.37 $-228.90
(-2.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:05pm ET $259.17 35 $9,070.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 12:00pm ET $256.30 35 $8,970.50 $9,014.92 $-100.45
(-1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 1:05pm ET $251.95 35 $8,818.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $251.76 35 $8,811.60 $9,008.27 $-6.65
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $254.04 35 $8,891.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $253.43 35 $8,869.88 $8,986.57 $-21.70
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:15am ET $248.15 36 $8,933.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $247.62 36 $8,914.32 $8,967.31 $-19.26
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $251.52 35 $8,803.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $253.16 35 $8,860.60 $9,024.71 +$57.40
(+0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $255.62 35 $8,946.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $253.30 35 $8,865.57 $8,943.58 $-81.13
(-0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,943.58
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,056.42
Total Return: -10.56%
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