ARM Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-04-26 to present • 31 trades in period
-14.77%
Last 3 Months Return
$4,481.79
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$5,258.14
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality
3.2/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 3.2
30-Day Momentum
9
-24.9%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$5,258.14
Current Value
$4,481.79
Period P&L
$-776.49
Max Drawdown
-53.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
11 /
20
Best Trade
+12.19%
Worst Trade
-7.71%
Avg Trade Return
-0.60%
Avg Hold Time
16.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$320,388.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-776.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-776.49
Gross Return
-14.77%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.77%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $5,258.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $234.23 | 23 | $5,387.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $224.49 | 23 | $5,163.27 | $5,317.22 |
$-224.02 (-4.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $202.71 | 26 | $5,270.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $194.24 | 26 | $5,050.37 | $5,097.13 |
$-220.09 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $213.04 | 23 | $4,899.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $212.91 | 23 | $4,896.93 | $5,094.26 |
$-2.88 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $228.92 | 22 | $5,036.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $222.65 | 22 | $4,898.19 | $4,956.27 |
$-137.99 (-2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 11:35am ET | $215.26 | 23 | $4,951.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 1:25pm ET | $214.59 | 23 | $4,935.58 | $4,940.76 |
$-15.51 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 1:35pm ET | $212.06 | 23 | $4,877.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:30pm ET | $212.34 | 23 | $4,883.71 | $4,947.09 |
+$6.33 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:40pm ET | $222.35 | 22 | $4,891.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $212.00 | 22 | $4,663.98 | $4,719.26 |
$-227.83 (-4.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 11:30am ET | $209.02 | 22 | $4,598.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 12:35pm ET | $207.96 | 22 | $4,575.23 | $4,696.05 |
$-23.21 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.38 | 19 | $4,567.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 1:05pm ET | $252.60 | 19 | $4,799.40 | $4,928.26 |
+$232.21 (+5.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $309.09 | 15 | $4,636.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 1:30pm ET | $316.09 | 15 | $4,741.35 | $5,033.26 |
+$105.00 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 2:30pm ET | $305.15 | 16 | $4,882.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 3:00pm ET | $304.10 | 16 | $4,865.60 | $5,016.46 |
$-16.80 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 3:40pm ET | $352.64 | 14 | $4,936.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $395.64 | 14 | $5,538.96 | $5,618.46 |
+$602.00 (+12.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $406.32 | 13 | $5,282.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $410.00 | 13 | $5,330.00 | $5,666.30 |
+$47.84 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 12:05pm ET | $390.24 | 14 | $5,463.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 3:15pm ET | $391.03 | 14 | $5,474.42 | $5,677.29 |
+$10.99 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $354.78 | 16 | $5,676.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 12:25pm ET | $353.02 | 16 | $5,648.32 | $5,649.13 |
$-28.16 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $317.11 | 17 | $5,390.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 10:55am ET | $320.74 | 17 | $5,452.58 | $5,710.80 |
+$61.67 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:25pm ET | $332.00 | 17 | $5,644.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $362.85 | 17 | $6,168.45 | $6,235.25 |
+$524.45 (+9.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $381.33 | 16 | $6,101.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $411.95 | 16 | $6,591.12 | $6,725.09 |
+$489.84 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $416.00 | 16 | $6,656.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $403.71 | 16 | $6,459.36 | $6,528.45 |
$-196.64 (-3.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:00pm ET | $432.30 | 15 | $6,484.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 11:00am ET | $414.20 | 15 | $6,212.93 | $6,256.88 |
$-271.57 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $372.53 | 16 | $5,960.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $354.21 | 16 | $5,667.44 | $5,963.84 |
$-293.04 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 3:35pm ET | $332.14 | 17 | $5,646.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $318.79 | 17 | $5,419.43 | $5,736.81 |
$-227.03 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 11:45am ET | $342.92 | 16 | $5,486.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 1:05pm ET | $340.74 | 16 | $5,451.92 | $5,701.93 |
$-34.88 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $324.88 | 17 | $5,522.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $305.93 | 17 | $5,200.81 | $5,379.78 |
$-322.15 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $304.63 | 17 | $5,178.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 11:55am ET | $291.85 | 17 | $4,961.45 | $5,162.61 |
$-217.17 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:10pm ET | $333.91 | 15 | $5,008.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $319.75 | 15 | $4,796.25 | $4,950.21 |
$-212.40 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 11:35am ET | $306.59 | 16 | $4,905.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $282.95 | 16 | $4,527.20 | $4,571.97 |
$-378.24 (-7.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 1:30pm ET | $272.23 | 16 | $4,355.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.38 | 16 | $4,182.00 | $4,398.37 |
$-173.60 (-4.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 10:10am ET | $260.79 | 16 | $4,172.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 2:35pm ET | $267.75 | 16 | $4,284.00 | $4,509.73 |
+$111.36 (+2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $285.53 | 15 | $4,282.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 2:30pm ET | $290.75 | 15 | $4,361.25 | $4,588.03 |
+$78.30 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $285.57 | 16 | $4,569.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 2:05pm ET | $278.93 | 16 | $4,462.88 | $4,481.79 |
$-106.24 (-2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$4,481.79
Net Profit/Loss:
$-5,518.21
Total Return:
-55.18%