AVGO Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 33 trades in period
-11.67%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,212.47
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$10,429.15
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality
3.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 3.9
30-Day Momentum
48
+5.4%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
3.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 53.1
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+44 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,429.15
Current Value
$9,212.47
Period P&L
$-1,216.67
Max Drawdown
-26.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
11 /
22
Best Trade
+4.57%
Worst Trade
-4.05%
Avg Trade Return
-0.35%
Avg Hold Time
14.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$614,487.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,216.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,216.67
Gross Return
-11.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.67%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,429.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 12:50pm ET | $383.26 | 27 | $10,347.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 12:50pm ET | $383.99 | 27 | $10,367.73 | $10,388.10 |
+$19.84 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 2:25pm ET | $381.71 | 27 | $10,306.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 10:40am ET | $366.24 | 27 | $9,888.48 | $9,970.46 |
$-417.64 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 10:55am ET | $369.85 | 26 | $9,615.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $374.81 | 26 | $9,745.06 | $10,099.55 |
+$129.09 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $371.15 | 27 | $10,021.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $368.98 | 27 | $9,962.46 | $10,040.96 |
$-58.59 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $376.32 | 26 | $9,784.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 2:35pm ET | $374.68 | 26 | $9,741.56 | $9,998.33 |
$-42.63 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $377.99 | 26 | $9,827.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 1:55pm ET | $389.30 | 26 | $10,121.80 | $10,292.26 |
+$293.93 (+3.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 11:30am ET | $401.14 | 25 | $10,028.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $385.03 | 25 | $9,625.75 | $9,889.63 |
$-402.63 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $397.05 | 24 | $9,529.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:25am ET | $391.32 | 24 | $9,391.68 | $9,751.99 |
$-137.64 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 10:40am ET | $372.58 | 26 | $9,686.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 2:10pm ET | $373.27 | 26 | $9,704.89 | $9,769.93 |
+$17.94 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $389.82 | 25 | $9,745.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 2:15pm ET | $386.07 | 25 | $9,651.75 | $9,676.18 |
$-93.75 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 12:35pm ET | $392.13 | 24 | $9,411.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $390.15 | 24 | $9,363.60 | $9,628.78 |
$-47.40 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $388.62 | 24 | $9,326.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 12:20pm ET | $379.56 | 24 | $9,109.44 | $9,411.34 |
$-217.44 (-2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 1:00pm ET | $374.76 | 25 | $9,369.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 3:40pm ET | $375.56 | 25 | $9,389.00 | $9,431.34 |
+$20.00 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:50am ET | $388.22 | 24 | $9,317.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 11:25am ET | $384.73 | 24 | $9,233.52 | $9,347.58 |
$-83.76 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 11:40am ET | $422.42 | 22 | $9,293.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $419.82 | 22 | $9,236.04 | $9,290.38 |
$-57.20 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $429.19 | 21 | $9,012.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 10:15am ET | $422.48 | 21 | $8,872.08 | $9,149.47 |
$-140.91 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $426.53 | 21 | $8,957.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $421.39 | 21 | $8,849.19 | $9,041.49 |
$-107.98 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $420.12 | 21 | $8,822.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 11:55am ET | $421.29 | 21 | $8,846.99 | $9,065.96 |
+$24.47 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 12:45pm ET | $381.10 | 23 | $8,765.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 2:00pm ET | $380.17 | 23 | $8,743.80 | $9,044.46 |
$-21.50 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 2:40pm ET | $364.24 | 24 | $8,741.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $363.74 | 24 | $8,729.88 | $9,032.58 |
$-11.88 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $366.98 | 24 | $8,807.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 2:50pm ET | $361.11 | 24 | $8,666.76 | $8,891.86 |
$-140.72 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 1:15pm ET | $352.40 | 25 | $8,810.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 1:45pm ET | $368.50 | 25 | $9,212.50 | $9,294.24 |
+$402.38 (+4.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 1:55pm ET | $368.44 | 25 | $9,211.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET | $367.13 | 25 | $9,178.25 | $9,261.49 |
$-32.75 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $366.83 | 25 | $9,170.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $368.64 | 25 | $9,216.00 | $9,306.74 |
+$45.25 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $368.93 | 25 | $9,223.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 3:30pm ET | $367.58 | 25 | $9,189.50 | $9,272.99 |
$-33.75 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $358.44 | 25 | $8,961.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $356.27 | 25 | $8,906.63 | $9,218.62 |
$-54.37 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 2:00pm ET | $368.55 | 25 | $9,213.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 3:40pm ET | $367.89 | 25 | $9,197.13 | $9,202.12 |
$-16.50 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $363.13 | 25 | $9,078.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $363.52 | 25 | $9,088.00 | $9,211.87 |
+$9.75 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 1:00pm ET | $365.16 | 25 | $9,129.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 2:40pm ET | $364.31 | 25 | $9,107.75 | $9,190.62 |
$-21.25 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 2:25pm ET | $339.52 | 27 | $9,167.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 3:50pm ET | $339.32 | 27 | $9,161.64 | $9,185.09 |
$-5.53 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $347.21 | 26 | $9,027.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 12:35pm ET | $348.02 | 26 | $9,048.52 | $9,206.15 |
+$21.06 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 3:00pm ET | $354.86 | 25 | $8,871.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $361.53 | 25 | $9,038.25 | $9,373.02 |
+$166.87 (+1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 2:50pm ET | $355.42 | 26 | $9,240.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 3:05pm ET | $349.24 | 26 | $9,080.24 | $9,212.47 |
$-160.55 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,212.47
Net Profit/Loss:
$-787.53
Total Return:
-7.88%