Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:19:55

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.2/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 20.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 20.1

30-Day Momentum

4
-3.6%
30d Return
14%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,577.79
Current Value
$11,619.75
Period P&L
$41.94
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
10 / 16
Best Trade
+2.86%
Worst Trade
-3.44%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
16.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$606,965.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$41.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$41.94
Gross Return
+0.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,577.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $345.86 33 $11,413.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 11:20am ET $346.59 33 $11,437.47 $11,602.06 +$24.25
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $341.42 33 $11,266.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 11:20am ET $341.23 33 $11,260.75 $11,595.95 $-6.11
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 2:50pm ET $338.47 34 $11,507.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $348.15 34 $11,837.10 $11,925.07 +$329.12
(+2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $359.33 33 $11,857.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $351.27 33 $11,591.91 $11,659.09 $-265.98
(-2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $337.41 34 $11,471.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 2:30pm ET $346.59 34 $11,784.06 $11,971.21 +$312.12
(+2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 1:40pm ET $355.33 33 $11,725.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 2:05pm ET $354.30 33 $11,691.90 $11,937.22 $-33.99
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $357.08 33 $11,783.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:35pm ET $360.25 33 $11,888.25 $12,041.67 +$104.45
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 1:20pm ET $361.35 33 $11,924.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $355.98 33 $11,747.50 $11,864.62 $-177.05
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $355.27 33 $11,723.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $353.36 33 $11,661.04 $11,801.76 $-62.86
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 11:40am ET $348.54 33 $11,501.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 2:40pm ET $348.71 33 $11,507.59 $11,807.70 +$5.94
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $333.95 35 $11,688.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:35am ET $334.24 35 $11,698.40 $11,817.85 +$10.15
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 11:10am ET $335.33 35 $11,736.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $334.30 35 $11,700.50 $11,781.80 $-36.05
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 11:05am ET $337.50 34 $11,475.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 11:25am ET $336.52 34 $11,441.68 $11,748.48 $-33.32
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 12:45pm ET $342.46 34 $11,643.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $347.12 34 $11,802.08 $11,906.92 +$158.44
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:30am ET $343.27 34 $11,671.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:45am ET $342.26 34 $11,636.84 $11,872.58 $-34.34
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 11:25am ET $339.34 34 $11,537.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 2:35pm ET $337.70 34 $11,481.63 $11,816.65 $-55.93
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 2:50pm ET $341.94 34 $11,625.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:35am ET $342.86 34 $11,657.07 $11,847.76 +$31.11
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 11:45am ET $343.29 34 $11,671.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 12:15pm ET $342.71 34 $11,652.13 $11,828.03 $-19.73
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $334.03 35 $11,691.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:45am ET $340.47 35 $11,916.45 $12,053.43 +$225.40
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $335.74 35 $11,750.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $334.02 35 $11,690.70 $11,993.23 $-60.20
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:50pm ET $334.11 35 $11,693.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:30pm ET $333.33 35 $11,666.72 $11,966.11 $-27.12
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $325.99 36 $11,735.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:40am ET $329.04 36 $11,845.44 $12,075.91 +$109.80
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:30pm ET $330.87 36 $11,911.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 2:45pm ET $330.29 36 $11,890.44 $12,055.03 $-20.88
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $327.52 36 $11,790.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $327.10 36 $11,775.60 $12,039.73 $-15.30
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:15pm ET $321.27 37 $11,886.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $320.87 37 $11,872.19 $12,025.11 $-14.62
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:10pm ET $327.04 36 $11,773.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $315.78 36 $11,368.08 $11,619.75 $-405.36
(-3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,619.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,619.75
Total Return: +16.20%
Back to Grace Crossover