AXP Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-30 to present • 31 trades in period
+5.74%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,595.95
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$10,966.87
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.38%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.28%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.83
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.9
Quiet
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 29, 2026
20
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.1/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
20.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 20.4
30-Day Momentum
52
+8.8%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
3.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.2
Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+32 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-30 → 2026-06-29
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,966.87
Current Value
$11,595.95
Period P&L
$629.06
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
9 /
22
Best Trade
+8.30%
Worst Trade
-1.41%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
16.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$670,208.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$629.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$629.06
Gross Return
+5.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.74%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,966.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $295.79 | 36 | $10,648.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET | $299.19 | 36 | $10,770.75 | $11,064.00 |
+$122.40 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $304.71 | 36 | $10,969.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:35pm ET | $304.00 | 36 | $10,944.00 | $11,038.44 |
$-25.56 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 3:10pm ET | $300.28 | 36 | $10,810.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 3:30pm ET | $300.04 | 36 | $10,801.29 | $11,029.65 |
$-8.79 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $305.12 | 36 | $10,984.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $303.49 | 36 | $10,925.82 | $10,971.15 |
$-58.50 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 12:40pm ET | $315.83 | 34 | $10,738.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 12:50pm ET | $315.43 | 34 | $10,724.69 | $10,957.62 |
$-13.53 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $314.35 | 34 | $10,687.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:25pm ET | $314.14 | 34 | $10,680.93 | $10,950.82 |
$-6.80 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:05pm ET | $327.49 | 33 | $10,807.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:50pm ET | $326.92 | 33 | $10,788.36 | $10,932.01 |
$-18.81 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:55am ET | $332.01 | 32 | $10,624.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 12:00pm ET | $331.66 | 32 | $10,613.12 | $10,920.97 |
$-11.04 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:25pm ET | $331.12 | 32 | $10,595.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $331.96 | 32 | $10,622.88 | $10,948.01 |
+$27.04 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $314.35 | 34 | $10,687.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:20pm ET | $314.30 | 34 | $10,686.23 | $10,946.34 |
$-1.67 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:15pm ET | $318.15 | 34 | $10,817.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 2:15pm ET | $318.23 | 34 | $10,819.82 | $10,948.89 |
+$2.55 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:25pm ET | $321.30 | 34 | $10,924.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $321.16 | 34 | $10,919.44 | $10,944.30 |
$-4.59 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $320.90 | 34 | $10,910.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:25am ET | $319.77 | 34 | $10,872.01 | $10,905.82 |
$-38.48 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 2:10pm ET | $315.81 | 34 | $10,737.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $320.77 | 34 | $10,906.35 | $11,074.63 |
+$168.81 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:45am ET | $321.16 | 34 | $10,919.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $316.77 | 34 | $10,770.18 | $10,925.37 |
$-149.26 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $312.74 | 34 | $10,633.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 3:40pm ET | $314.15 | 34 | $10,681.13 | $10,973.22 |
+$47.85 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.9h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:15pm ET | $313.42 | 35 | $10,969.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 1:30pm ET | $312.54 | 35 | $10,938.90 | $10,942.25 |
$-30.97 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $315.05 | 34 | $10,711.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:50am ET | $310.60 | 34 | $10,560.40 | $10,791.12 |
$-151.13 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 10:25am ET | $309.65 | 34 | $10,528.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 10:40am ET | $308.22 | 34 | $10,479.48 | $10,742.50 |
$-48.62 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 2:50pm ET | $312.88 | 34 | $10,637.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 12:55pm ET | $310.81 | 34 | $10,567.54 | $10,672.29 |
$-70.21 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $312.61 | 34 | $10,628.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 12:25pm ET | $312.41 | 34 | $10,621.94 | $10,665.66 |
$-6.63 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $312.60 | 34 | $10,628.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 11:40am ET | $311.71 | 34 | $10,598.31 | $10,635.74 |
$-29.92 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 12:50pm ET | $304.52 | 34 | $10,353.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 2:10pm ET | $303.80 | 34 | $10,329.20 | $10,611.43 |
$-24.31 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 3:40pm ET | $312.52 | 33 | $10,313.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 3:10pm ET | $309.02 | 33 | $10,197.50 | $10,495.93 |
$-115.50 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.00 | 33 | $10,395.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $316.91 | 33 | $10,458.03 | $10,558.96 |
+$63.03 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 11:55am ET | $312.03 | 33 | $10,296.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $337.92 | 33 | $11,151.36 | $11,413.33 |
+$854.37 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $337.37 | 33 | $11,133.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $345.10 | 33 | $11,388.30 | $11,668.42 |
+$255.09 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $339.16 | 34 | $11,531.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 1:40pm ET | $337.14 | 34 | $11,462.93 | $11,599.91 |
$-68.51 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 2:25pm ET | $337.48 | 34 | $11,474.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 2:45pm ET | $336.83 | 34 | $11,452.22 | $11,577.81 |
$-22.10 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $345.86 | 33 | $11,413.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 11:20am ET | $346.59 | 33 | $11,437.47 | $11,602.06 |
+$24.25 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $341.42 | 33 | $11,266.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 11:20am ET | $341.23 | 33 | $11,260.75 | $11,595.95 |
$-6.11 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,595.95
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,595.95
Total Return:
+15.96%