Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:43:53

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
2.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 8.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 8.3

30-Day Momentum

47
+5.6%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 51.7 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+38 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,018
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,490.92
Current Value
$10,123.72
Period P&L
$632.76
Max Drawdown
-21.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
11 / 23
Best Trade
+3.70%
Worst Trade
-1.46%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
11.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$660,560.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$632.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$632.76
Gross Return
+6.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,490.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $199.72 47 $9,386.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:10am ET $199.10 47 $9,357.47 $9,437.62 $-29.38
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET $205.53 45 $9,248.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:35pm ET $213.14 45 $9,591.30 $9,780.08 +$342.46
(+3.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 11:10am ET $215.68 45 $9,705.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 12:45pm ET $215.11 45 $9,679.95 $9,754.65 $-25.43
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 3:25pm ET $211.07 46 $9,709.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $216.48 46 $9,958.08 $10,003.51 +$248.86
(+2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $213.37 46 $9,815.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 11:20am ET $210.26 46 $9,671.96 $9,860.45 $-143.06
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $202.60 48 $9,724.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $202.23 48 $9,706.80 $9,842.45 $-18.00
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $198.00 49 $9,702.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 3:45pm ET $198.91 49 $9,746.83 $9,887.28 +$44.83
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:30am ET $193.68 51 $9,877.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $195.25 51 $9,957.75 $9,967.35 +$80.07
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
23h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $204.82 48 $9,831.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET $204.05 48 $9,794.64 $9,930.63 $-36.72
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:55am ET $202.74 48 $9,731.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:55am ET $201.27 48 $9,660.96 $9,860.07 $-70.56
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 3:15pm ET $202.03 48 $9,697.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $201.26 48 $9,660.72 $9,823.35 $-36.72
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET $203.34 48 $9,760.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 11:35am ET $202.91 48 $9,739.68 $9,802.71 $-20.64
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $202.32 48 $9,711.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 1:25pm ET $201.68 48 $9,680.64 $9,771.99 $-30.72
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 12:00pm ET $205.57 47 $9,661.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $206.39 47 $9,700.33 $9,810.53 +$38.54
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 11:20am ET $203.01 48 $9,744.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 11:30am ET $202.15 48 $9,703.20 $9,769.37 $-41.16
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $209.45 46 $9,634.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $208.91 46 $9,609.86 $9,744.53 $-24.84
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 12:10pm ET $205.71 47 $9,668.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:30am ET $207.51 47 $9,753.20 $9,829.36 +$84.83
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:35am ET $205.80 47 $9,672.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 12:35pm ET $205.51 47 $9,658.97 $9,815.73 $-13.63
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $210.87 46 $9,700.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 10:35am ET $208.90 46 $9,609.17 $9,724.88 $-90.85
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 11:05am ET $209.68 46 $9,645.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 11:50am ET $209.40 46 $9,632.40 $9,712.23 $-12.65
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 1:40pm ET $213.33 45 $9,599.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 2:05pm ET $212.86 45 $9,578.70 $9,691.08 $-21.15
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:05am ET $220.73 43 $9,491.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 12:05pm ET $218.77 43 $9,407.11 $9,606.80 $-84.28
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $218.12 44 $9,597.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 1:00pm ET $217.61 44 $9,574.66 $9,584.40 $-22.40
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $215.46 44 $9,480.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $221.32 44 $9,738.08 $9,842.02 +$257.62
(+2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 3:45pm ET $220.97 44 $9,722.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $219.39 44 $9,653.16 $9,772.50 $-69.52
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:20pm ET $217.91 44 $9,588.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $215.73 44 $9,492.12 $9,676.58 $-95.92
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 2:30pm ET $215.66 44 $9,489.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $221.70 44 $9,754.58 $9,942.12 +$265.54
(+2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
23h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $224.21 44 $9,865.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $224.02 44 $9,856.88 $9,933.76 $-8.36
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $213.90 46 $9,839.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $213.63 46 $9,827.21 $9,921.57 $-12.19
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $212.51 46 $9,775.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:25am ET $216.04 46 $9,938.07 $10,084.41 +$162.84
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 12:15pm ET $217.26 46 $9,993.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $217.43 46 $10,001.78 $10,092.46 +$8.05
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $217.57 46 $10,008.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:05am ET $216.07 46 $9,939.45 $10,023.69 $-68.77
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:55am ET $217.91 45 $9,805.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $220.87 45 $9,939.28 $10,157.02 +$133.33
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.5h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $223.71 45 $10,066.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 2:25pm ET $222.97 45 $10,033.65 $10,123.72 $-33.30
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,123.72
Net Profit/Loss: +$123.72
Total Return: +1.24%
Back to Grace Crossover