BLK Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 37 trades in period
-2.56%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,359.31
Current Value
22%
Win Rate
$10,631.03
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
5.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
12.1/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 12.1
30-Day Momentum
10
-3.6%
30d Return
15%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,991
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,631.03
Current Value
$10,359.31
Period P&L
$-271.75
Max Drawdown
-8.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
8 /
29
Best Trade
+3.03%
Worst Trade
-1.69%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
8.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$751,755.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-271.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$-271.75
Gross Return
-2.56%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.56%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,631.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:45am ET | $972.64 | 10 | $9,726.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 1:10pm ET | $977.00 | 10 | $9,770.01 | $10,674.67 |
+$43.61 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 1:10pm ET | $954.40 | 11 | $10,498.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 2:25pm ET | $950.92 | 11 | $10,460.13 | $10,636.40 |
$-38.27 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 3:20pm ET | $963.24 | 11 | $10,595.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $959.67 | 11 | $10,556.37 | $10,597.13 |
$-39.27 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 12:35pm ET | $1,007.72 | 10 | $10,077.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:50pm ET | $1,006.88 | 10 | $10,068.75 | $10,588.68 |
$-8.45 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $988.30 | 10 | $9,883.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 2:45pm ET | $1,018.29 | 10 | $10,182.90 | $10,888.58 |
+$299.90 (+3.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 3:20pm ET | $1,036.01 | 10 | $10,360.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,033.15 | 10 | $10,331.50 | $10,859.98 |
$-28.60 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 1:20pm ET | $1,029.06 | 10 | $10,290.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 1:55pm ET | $1,026.79 | 10 | $10,267.90 | $10,837.28 |
$-22.70 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 3:45pm ET | $1,096.01 | 9 | $9,864.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $1,100.16 | 9 | $9,901.44 | $10,874.63 |
+$37.35 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 12:20pm ET | $1,078.15 | 10 | $10,781.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 1:45pm ET | $1,076.85 | 10 | $10,768.50 | $10,861.68 |
$-12.95 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $1,063.50 | 10 | $10,635.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $1,060.52 | 10 | $10,605.20 | $10,831.88 |
$-29.80 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,047.54 | 10 | $10,475.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 10:55am ET | $1,039.86 | 10 | $10,398.60 | $10,755.13 |
$-76.75 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 2:30pm ET | $1,043.21 | 10 | $10,432.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 3:45pm ET | $1,039.59 | 10 | $10,395.90 | $10,718.88 |
$-36.25 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 12:30pm ET | $1,059.28 | 10 | $10,592.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 1:00pm ET | $1,053.80 | 10 | $10,538.00 | $10,664.12 |
$-54.76 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 2:00pm ET | $1,095.30 | 9 | $9,857.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,085.88 | 9 | $9,772.92 | $10,579.38 |
$-84.74 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 10:35am ET | $1,091.75 | 9 | $9,825.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $1,085.44 | 9 | $9,769.00 | $10,522.63 |
$-56.75 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 11:40am ET | $1,097.30 | 9 | $9,875.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 12:20pm ET | $1,094.90 | 9 | $9,854.10 | $10,501.07 |
$-21.56 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 1:35pm ET | $1,111.57 | 9 | $10,004.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1,131.28 | 9 | $10,181.52 | $10,678.46 |
+$177.39 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 3:30pm ET | $1,127.65 | 9 | $10,148.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $1,126.95 | 9 | $10,142.55 | $10,672.16 |
$-6.30 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 1:00pm ET | $1,137.31 | 9 | $10,235.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1,134.04 | 9 | $10,206.36 | $10,642.69 |
$-29.47 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1,129.82 | 9 | $10,168.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 11:35am ET | $1,141.87 | 9 | $10,276.83 | $10,751.14 |
+$108.45 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1,171.70 | 9 | $10,545.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,171.04 | 9 | $10,539.32 | $10,745.11 |
$-6.03 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1,159.94 | 9 | $10,439.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $1,157.73 | 9 | $10,419.61 | $10,725.22 |
$-19.89 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,162.99 | 9 | $10,466.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 12:40pm ET | $1,171.92 | 9 | $10,547.24 | $10,805.50 |
+$80.28 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,155.31 | 9 | $10,397.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 11:15am ET | $1,149.39 | 9 | $10,344.51 | $10,752.26 |
$-53.24 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 2:15pm ET | $1,168.10 | 9 | $10,512.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,164.01 | 9 | $10,476.09 | $10,715.48 |
$-36.78 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1,176.26 | 9 | $10,586.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $1,174.84 | 9 | $10,573.56 | $10,702.70 |
$-12.78 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,178.27 | 9 | $10,604.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 12:10pm ET | $1,177.00 | 9 | $10,593.00 | $10,691.27 |
$-11.43 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 1:05pm ET | $1,153.48 | 9 | $10,381.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 2:40pm ET | $1,153.67 | 9 | $10,382.99 | $10,692.94 |
+$1.67 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $1,132.90 | 9 | $10,196.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 2:25pm ET | $1,113.75 | 9 | $10,023.75 | $10,520.59 |
$-172.35 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $1,120.00 | 9 | $10,080.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 1:50pm ET | $1,119.12 | 9 | $10,072.08 | $10,512.67 |
$-7.92 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 1:45pm ET | $1,082.53 | 9 | $9,742.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 2:10pm ET | $1,080.56 | 9 | $9,725.00 | $10,494.90 |
$-17.77 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,078.40 | 9 | $9,705.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 1:15pm ET | $1,085.37 | 9 | $9,768.33 | $10,557.67 |
+$62.77 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 3:15pm ET | $1,065.89 | 9 | $9,593.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,058.76 | 9 | $9,528.84 | $10,493.50 |
$-64.17 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,058.81 | 9 | $9,529.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 10:10am ET | $1,055.92 | 9 | $9,503.28 | $10,467.49 |
$-26.01 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $1,058.78 | 9 | $9,529.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 3:40pm ET | $1,056.27 | 9 | $9,506.43 | $10,444.90 |
$-22.59 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $1,084.05 | 9 | $9,756.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,076.56 | 9 | $9,689.08 | $10,377.53 |
$-67.37 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $1,068.70 | 9 | $9,618.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1,066.68 | 9 | $9,600.08 | $10,359.31 |
$-18.22 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,359.31
Net Profit/Loss:
+$359.31
Total Return:
+3.59%