Compendium › Grace Crossover › COIN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COIN
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 30 trades in period

-10.38%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,606.25
Current Value
27%
Win Rate
$11,834.21
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:34:39

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
7.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 13.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.9

30-Day Momentum

45
+11.5%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.1 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+32 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,834.21
Current Value
$10,606.25
Period P&L
$-1,228.00
Max Drawdown
-23.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
8 / 22
Best Trade
+8.50%
Worst Trade
-6.10%
Avg Trade Return
-0.33%
Avg Hold Time
12.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$626,838.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,228.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,228.00
Gross Return
-10.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,834.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $152.07 77 $11,709.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:20pm ET $150.42 77 $11,582.34 $11,707.20 $-127.05
(-1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
55m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:35am ET $148.73 78 $11,600.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 11:00am ET $147.84 78 $11,531.52 $11,637.78 $-69.42
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:00am ET $165.38 70 $11,576.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 2:00pm ET $168.47 70 $11,792.90 $11,853.73 +$215.95
(+1.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $160.50 73 $11,716.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $159.33 73 $11,631.10 $11,768.34 $-85.39
(-0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $166.41 70 $11,649.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:15am ET $159.45 70 $11,161.50 $11,280.79 $-487.55
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 2:50pm ET $157.01 71 $11,147.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $155.84 71 $11,064.64 $11,197.72 $-83.07
(-0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $165.86 67 $11,112.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $162.41 67 $10,881.54 $10,966.84 $-230.88
(-2.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $157.48 69 $10,866.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $157.90 69 $10,895.10 $10,995.82 +$28.98
(+0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $173.90 63 $10,955.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $170.38 63 $10,733.94 $10,774.06 $-221.76
(-2.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $163.45 65 $10,623.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:55am ET $161.67 65 $10,508.55 $10,658.66 $-115.40
(-1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET $164.42 64 $10,522.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 2:25pm ET $163.43 64 $10,459.52 $10,595.59 $-63.07
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $163.24 64 $10,447.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $153.28 64 $9,809.92 $9,958.15 $-637.44
(-6.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:55am ET $149.04 66 $9,836.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $148.45 66 $9,797.46 $9,918.97 $-39.18
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 11:10am ET $149.88 66 $9,891.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $151.55 66 $10,002.30 $10,029.43 +$110.46
(+1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $149.33 67 $10,005.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $148.78 67 $9,968.26 $9,992.45 $-36.98
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
40m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $148.35 67 $9,939.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:55am ET $149.55 67 $10,020.18 $10,072.98 +$80.53
(+0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 11:45am ET $150.29 67 $10,069.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $149.88 67 $10,041.96 $10,045.51 $-27.47
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $151.07 66 $9,970.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 2:50pm ET $150.56 66 $9,936.96 $10,011.84 $-33.67
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $172.89 57 $9,854.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:45pm ET $171.48 57 $9,774.36 $9,931.58 $-80.26
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
6.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $188.81 52 $9,818.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $180.81 52 $9,402.12 $9,515.58 $-416.00
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:35pm ET $181.47 52 $9,436.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $190.18 52 $9,889.36 $9,968.50 +$452.92
(+4.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $177.31 56 $9,929.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $174.30 56 $9,760.80 $9,799.83 $-168.67
(-1.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $181.26 54 $9,788.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 2:20pm ET $192.10 54 $10,373.55 $10,385.34 +$585.51
(+6.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:05pm ET $185.47 55 $10,200.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $181.00 55 $9,955.00 $10,139.49 $-245.85
(-2.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $178.15 56 $9,976.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $177.60 56 $9,945.32 $10,108.69 $-30.80
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 2:55pm ET $173.56 58 $10,066.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:55am ET $177.68 58 $10,305.44 $10,347.65 +$238.96
(+2.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:50am ET $181.40 57 $10,339.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $173.36 57 $9,881.52 $9,889.65 $-458.00
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $168.38 58 $9,766.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $182.70 58 $10,596.31 $10,719.92 +$830.27
(+8.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $203.57 52 $10,585.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $202.88 52 $10,549.76 $10,684.30 $-35.62
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:30am ET $200.56 53 $10,629.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:50am ET $199.09 53 $10,551.77 $10,606.25 $-78.05
(-0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,606.25
Net Profit/Loss: +$606.25
Total Return: +6.06%
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