COIN Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 31 trades in period
-17.90%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,834.25
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$14,414.07
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
19
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.8/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
19.1/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 18.8
30-Day Momentum
12
+0.5%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.5
Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,957
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$14,414.07
Current Value
$11,834.25
Period P&L
$-2,579.86
Max Drawdown
-23.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
10 /
21
Best Trade
+8.03%
Worst Trade
-4.52%
Avg Trade Return
-0.61%
Avg Hold Time
17h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$772,892.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,579.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,579.86
Gross Return
-17.90%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.90%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $14,414.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $200.70 | 71 | $14,249.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $201.24 | 71 | $14,287.69 | $14,452.45 |
+$38.34 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.75 | 78 | $14,410.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $184.99 | 78 | $14,429.22 | $14,471.17 |
+$18.72 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 3:20pm ET | $173.70 | 83 | $14,417.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.16 | 83 | $13,791.28 | $13,845.35 |
$-625.82 (-4.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.53 | 84 | $13,820.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:05am ET | $161.07 | 84 | $13,529.88 | $13,554.71 |
$-290.64 (-2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 3:00pm ET | $171.50 | 79 | $13,548.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:30pm ET | $175.31 | 79 | $13,849.49 | $13,855.70 |
+$300.99 (+2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $171.28 | 80 | $13,702.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $172.01 | 80 | $13,761.20 | $13,914.50 |
+$58.80 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:00pm ET | $168.03 | 82 | $13,778.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.85 | 82 | $13,518.11 | $13,654.15 |
$-260.35 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $184.10 | 74 | $13,623.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:50pm ET | $189.49 | 74 | $14,022.26 | $14,053.38 |
+$399.23 (+2.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:25am ET | $205.68 | 68 | $13,986.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $196.70 | 68 | $13,375.27 | $13,442.41 |
$-610.97 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $202.67 | 66 | $13,376.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $201.31 | 66 | $13,286.46 | $13,352.65 |
$-89.76 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $201.07 | 66 | $13,270.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:30pm ET | $196.88 | 66 | $12,994.41 | $13,076.11 |
$-276.54 (-2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 1:15pm ET | $180.07 | 72 | $12,965.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:15pm ET | $178.79 | 72 | $12,872.88 | $12,983.94 |
$-92.17 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $192.50 | 67 | $12,897.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $192.03 | 67 | $12,866.01 | $12,952.57 |
$-31.37 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.39 | 62 | $12,796.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $203.02 | 62 | $12,587.24 | $12,743.63 |
$-208.94 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 12:10pm ET | $196.16 | 64 | $12,554.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $194.66 | 64 | $12,458.24 | $12,647.31 |
$-96.32 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 2:05pm ET | $193.84 | 65 | $12,599.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.40 | 65 | $12,050.68 | $12,098.71 |
$-548.60 (-4.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $215.25 | 56 | $12,054.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.90 | 56 | $11,866.40 | $11,911.11 |
$-187.60 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $203.29 | 58 | $11,790.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 1:05pm ET | $200.58 | 58 | $11,633.64 | $11,754.22 |
$-156.89 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 1:25pm ET | $195.57 | 60 | $11,734.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 3:15pm ET | $195.96 | 60 | $11,757.60 | $11,777.62 |
+$23.40 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 3:05pm ET | $194.40 | 60 | $11,663.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $194.41 | 60 | $11,664.90 | $11,778.82 |
+$1.20 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 1:30pm ET | $190.18 | 61 | $11,600.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $186.11 | 61 | $11,352.71 | $11,530.55 |
$-248.27 (-2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 2:25pm ET | $176.37 | 65 | $11,464.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $175.48 | 65 | $11,406.20 | $11,472.70 |
$-57.85 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 11:00am ET | $183.09 | 62 | $11,351.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 2:50pm ET | $188.64 | 62 | $11,695.68 | $11,816.94 |
+$344.24 (+3.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 12:30pm ET | $174.52 | 67 | $11,692.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 1:50pm ET | $174.00 | 67 | $11,658.00 | $11,782.10 |
$-34.84 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 2:05pm ET | $165.71 | 71 | $11,765.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 2:55pm ET | $165.10 | 71 | $11,722.10 | $11,738.79 |
$-43.31 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $163.23 | 71 | $11,589.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $155.85 | 71 | $11,065.35 | $11,214.81 |
$-523.98 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $158.68 | 70 | $11,107.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:45am ET | $157.34 | 70 | $11,013.80 | $11,120.66 |
$-94.15 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $156.07 | 71 | $11,080.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $157.00 | 71 | $11,147.00 | $11,186.69 |
+$66.03 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $172.17 | 64 | $11,018.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $169.42 | 64 | $10,842.89 | $11,010.70 |
$-175.99 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 11:30am ET | $170.57 | 64 | $10,916.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $169.75 | 64 | $10,864.00 | $10,958.23 |
$-52.47 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:40pm ET | $162.84 | 67 | $10,909.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $175.91 | 67 | $11,785.97 | $11,834.25 |
+$876.02 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,834.25
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,834.25
Total Return:
+18.34%