Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 03:56:41

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
7.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 14.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 14.8

30-Day Momentum

10
+0.2%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.2 Conf: 0.84×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,288.94
Current Value
$10,609.63
Period P&L
$320.69
Max Drawdown
-13.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
10 / 20
Best Trade
+6.21%
Worst Trade
-4.11%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
18.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$620,916.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$320.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$320.69
Gross Return
+3.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,288.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:05pm ET $106.71 96 $10,244.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $106.37 96 $10,211.52 $10,256.29 $-32.64
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 3:45pm ET $105.38 97 $10,221.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:30am ET $105.34 97 $10,218.08 $10,252.51 $-3.78
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $104.39 98 $10,230.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 3:30pm ET $104.09 98 $10,200.82 $10,222.62 $-29.89
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:40am ET $103.94 98 $10,186.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 11:40am ET $103.81 98 $10,173.13 $10,209.63 $-12.99
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 1:40pm ET $103.96 98 $10,188.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 2:25pm ET $103.71 98 $10,163.58 $10,185.13 $-24.50
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $109.93 92 $10,113.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $109.68 92 $10,090.59 $10,161.86 $-23.27
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $108.24 93 $10,066.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 1:50pm ET $108.03 93 $10,046.33 $10,141.87 $-19.99
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $110.96 91 $10,097.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET $111.26 91 $10,124.66 $10,169.17 +$27.30
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 1:55pm ET $112.34 90 $10,110.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:35pm ET $112.44 90 $10,119.60 $10,178.17 +$9.00
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $116.32 87 $10,120.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 1:00pm ET $116.68 87 $10,150.73 $10,208.62 +$30.45
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $121.35 84 $10,192.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $121.58 84 $10,212.72 $10,228.36 +$19.74
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $120.31 85 $10,226.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $120.10 85 $10,208.08 $10,210.09 $-18.27
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:55am ET $116.79 87 $10,160.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:50am ET $116.34 87 $10,121.58 $10,170.94 $-39.15
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 2:30pm ET $118.22 86 $10,166.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:15pm ET $118.00 86 $10,148.00 $10,152.02 $-18.92
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 12:35pm ET $118.92 85 $10,107.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $117.83 85 $10,015.97 $10,060.22 $-91.80
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:55am ET $118.26 85 $10,052.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 11:40am ET $117.48 85 $9,985.75 $9,993.87 $-66.35
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $115.68 86 $9,948.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $115.54 86 $9,936.87 $9,982.69 $-11.18
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 2:10pm ET $118.03 84 $9,914.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $125.36 84 $10,530.24 $10,598.41 +$615.72
(+6.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $127.00 83 $10,541.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $126.88 83 $10,530.63 $10,588.04 $-10.38
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 12:20pm ET $131.64 80 $10,531.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 12:30pm ET $131.45 80 $10,516.00 $10,572.84 $-15.20
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $134.76 78 $10,510.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $134.95 78 $10,526.10 $10,588.05 +$15.21
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 11:15am ET $132.63 79 $10,477.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $132.39 79 $10,458.81 $10,569.48 $-18.57
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $128.93 81 $10,443.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:40pm ET $131.71 81 $10,668.91 $10,794.66 +$225.18
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:35am ET $135.87 79 $10,733.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $136.96 79 $10,819.84 $10,880.77 +$86.11
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:00am ET $134.71 80 $10,776.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 2:20pm ET $134.66 80 $10,772.80 $10,876.77 $-4.00
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $134.93 80 $10,794.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $136.51 80 $10,921.20 $11,003.57 +$126.80
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:55am ET $136.71 80 $10,937.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 12:20pm ET $136.40 80 $10,912.00 $10,978.37 $-25.20
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $134.67 81 $10,907.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $134.32 81 $10,880.32 $10,950.75 $-27.62
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET $133.12 82 $10,915.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:40am ET $127.65 82 $10,467.30 $10,502.62 $-448.13
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:30am ET $126.58 82 $10,379.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:00pm ET $127.89 82 $10,486.57 $10,609.63 +$107.01
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,609.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$609.63
Total Return: +6.10%
Back to Grace Crossover