Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:20:22

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.7/35
Total Return
9.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 17.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 17.3

30-Day Momentum

7
-6.5%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,335.40
Current Value
$11,199.01
Period P&L
$-1,136.35
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
11 / 16
Best Trade
+4.58%
Worst Trade
-4.01%
Avg Trade Return
-0.34%
Avg Hold Time
16.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$638,410.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,136.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,136.35
Gross Return
-9.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,335.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:20am ET $153.71 80 $12,296.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:00pm ET $150.15 80 $12,012.00 $12,050.96 $-284.40
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 3:20pm ET $157.10 76 $11,939.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $164.29 76 $12,486.13 $12,597.87 +$546.91
(+4.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $169.84 74 $12,568.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $171.35 74 $12,680.26 $12,709.97 +$112.10
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $163.20 77 $12,566.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 10:50am ET $163.42 77 $12,583.34 $12,726.91 +$16.94
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:55am ET $168.67 75 $12,650.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $169.56 75 $12,717.00 $12,793.47 +$66.56
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $167.76 76 $12,749.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $167.23 76 $12,709.10 $12,752.81 $-40.66
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $171.03 74 $12,656.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $170.89 74 $12,645.86 $12,742.26 $-10.55
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $173.88 73 $12,693.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $169.30 73 $12,359.26 $12,408.47 $-333.79
(-2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $164.91 75 $12,368.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:10am ET $158.29 75 $11,871.75 $11,911.97 $-496.50
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $179.71 66 $11,860.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 2:20pm ET $183.14 66 $12,087.24 $12,138.35 +$226.38
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 12:45pm ET $179.60 67 $12,032.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $179.83 67 $12,048.61 $12,154.10 +$15.75
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 1:05pm ET $188.78 64 $12,081.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $183.87 64 $11,767.68 $11,839.86 $-314.24
(-2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $191.77 61 $11,697.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 2:20pm ET $191.40 61 $11,675.40 $11,817.29 $-22.57
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:55am ET $198.43 59 $11,707.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $192.52 59 $11,358.60 $11,468.52 $-348.77
(-3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 11:55am ET $197.32 58 $11,444.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 2:35pm ET $196.61 58 $11,403.38 $11,427.05 $-41.47
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $191.01 59 $11,269.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 3:00pm ET $198.19 59 $11,693.21 $11,850.67 +$423.62
(+3.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $207.16 57 $11,808.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 12:40pm ET $208.94 57 $11,909.58 $11,952.13 +$101.46
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $209.90 56 $11,754.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:25pm ET $205.49 56 $11,507.44 $11,705.17 $-246.96
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:45pm ET $260.90 44 $11,479.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:35pm ET $259.27 44 $11,407.66 $11,633.23 $-71.94
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:30am ET $260.61 44 $11,466.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $256.97 44 $11,306.68 $11,473.07 $-160.16
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $265.43 43 $11,413.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $265.44 43 $11,413.92 $11,473.50 +$0.43
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $248.57 46 $11,433.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 11:05am ET $244.80 46 $11,261.03 $11,300.54 $-172.96
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:55pm ET $248.91 45 $11,200.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:20pm ET $248.29 45 $11,173.27 $11,272.86 $-27.68
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:10am ET $258.68 43 $11,123.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $259.86 43 $11,173.77 $11,323.39 +$50.53
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:45am ET $245.68 46 $11,301.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $243.76 46 $11,212.96 $11,235.07 $-88.32
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $238.27 47 $11,198.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET $236.94 47 $11,136.18 $11,172.56 $-62.51
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:25am ET $239.33 46 $11,009.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $239.90 46 $11,035.63 $11,199.01 +$26.45
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,199.01
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,199.01
Total Return: +11.99%
Back to Grace Crossover