Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:30:11

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.8/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 30.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 30.0

30-Day Momentum

61
+17.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
2.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 75.2 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+31 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,152.54
Current Value
$15,911.74
Period P&L
$1,759.15
Max Drawdown
-20.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
10 / 15
Best Trade
+8.37%
Worst Trade
-4.32%
Avg Trade Return
+0.52%
Avg Hold Time
14.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$677,376.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,759.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,759.15
Gross Return
+12.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $14,152.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 3:00pm ET $747.63 18 $13,457.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 1:50pm ET $759.20 18 $13,665.60 $14,360.94 +$208.35
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:05am ET $197.76 72 $14,238.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:55am ET $189.21 72 $13,623.48 $13,745.70 $-615.24
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 10:30am ET $187.19 73 $13,664.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $187.68 73 $13,700.28 $13,781.11 +$35.41
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 12:05pm ET $209.33 65 $13,606.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:35pm ET $207.67 65 $13,498.55 $13,673.21 $-107.90
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $204.04 67 $13,671.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $203.50 67 $13,634.50 $13,636.70 $-36.51
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET $204.93 66 $13,525.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 10:25am ET $203.60 66 $13,437.60 $13,548.92 $-87.78
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $188.21 71 $13,362.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $187.37 71 $13,303.27 $13,489.28 $-59.64
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 2:55pm ET $183.33 73 $13,383.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $182.64 73 $13,332.72 $13,438.91 $-50.37
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $187.47 71 $13,310.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:35am ET $183.26 71 $13,011.46 $13,140.00 $-298.91
(-2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:00am ET $179.62 73 $13,112.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:40pm ET $179.77 73 $13,123.25 $13,150.99 +$10.99
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:25pm ET $212.82 61 $12,982.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $212.60 61 $12,968.60 $13,137.27 $-13.72
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $205.90 63 $12,971.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 1:45pm ET $212.21 63 $13,369.23 $13,535.12 +$397.85
(+3.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $222.29 60 $13,337.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $219.37 60 $13,162.20 $13,359.92 $-175.20
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $219.28 60 $13,156.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $213.68 60 $12,821.10 $13,024.22 $-335.70
(-2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 1:50pm ET $200.82 64 $12,852.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 3:00pm ET $200.01 64 $12,800.64 $12,972.70 $-51.52
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:55am ET $190.10 68 $12,926.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $190.18 68 $12,932.58 $12,978.82 +$6.12
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $190.58 68 $12,959.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:05pm ET $182.45 68 $12,406.60 $12,425.98 $-552.84
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $208.00 59 $12,272.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:15am ET $224.72 59 $13,258.48 $13,412.46 +$986.48
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:30am ET $218.89 61 $13,352.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $216.51 61 $13,207.16 $13,267.33 $-145.13
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $203.33 65 $13,216.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:40pm ET $212.14 65 $13,789.10 $13,839.98 +$572.65
(+4.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:35am ET $210.56 65 $13,686.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:00am ET $209.76 65 $13,634.08 $13,787.66 $-52.32
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:05pm ET $206.10 66 $13,602.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:45am ET $223.36 66 $14,741.97 $14,926.70 +$1,139.04
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:40am ET $236.57 63 $14,903.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $241.96 63 $15,243.48 $15,266.27 +$339.57
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $242.65 62 $15,044.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $241.83 62 $14,993.46 $15,215.12 $-51.15
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $249.37 61 $15,211.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:40am ET $260.79 61 $15,908.19 $15,911.74 +$696.62
(+4.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,911.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,911.74
Total Return: +59.12%
Back to Grace Crossover