Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:46:45

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.6/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 42.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 41.9

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.5%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.2 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,215.43
Current Value
$13,443.90
Period P&L
$-1,771.56
Max Drawdown
-5.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
12 / 17
Best Trade
+3.40%
Worst Trade
-6.07%
Avg Trade Return
-0.41%
Avg Hold Time
23.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$813,756.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,771.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,771.56
Gross Return
-11.64%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $15,215.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:30am ET $121.67 125 $15,208.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 11:15am ET $118.73 125 $14,841.25 $14,848.59 $-366.87
(-2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 3:15pm ET $115.56 128 $14,791.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:40pm ET $115.41 128 $14,772.48 $14,829.39 $-19.20
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:55am ET $118.48 125 $14,810.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 11:15am ET $117.87 125 $14,733.75 $14,753.14 $-76.25
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 1:40pm ET $116.48 126 $14,676.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $114.46 126 $14,421.96 $14,498.46 $-254.68
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:40am ET $112.94 128 $14,456.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:20am ET $112.26 128 $14,369.28 $14,411.42 $-87.04
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $117.89 122 $14,383.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:40pm ET $118.38 122 $14,442.36 $14,470.59 +$59.17
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:25am ET $119.13 121 $14,414.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:55am ET $114.32 121 $13,832.12 $13,888.58 $-582.01
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $108.81 127 $13,818.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 10:35am ET $112.51 127 $14,288.77 $14,358.48 +$469.90
(+3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 1:50pm ET $111.53 128 $14,275.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 12:40pm ET $112.71 128 $14,426.24 $14,508.88 +$150.40
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 11:10am ET $112.90 128 $14,451.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 2:15pm ET $113.89 128 $14,577.92 $14,635.60 +$126.72
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $115.29 126 $14,527.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $114.32 126 $14,404.95 $14,513.38 $-122.22
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $115.32 125 $14,415.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:45am ET $114.24 125 $14,280.00 $14,377.76 $-135.62
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:55am ET $115.61 124 $14,335.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 11:10am ET $115.33 124 $14,300.92 $14,343.04 $-34.72
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:15am ET $121.82 117 $14,253.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $122.62 117 $14,346.54 $14,436.06 +$93.02
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $121.57 118 $14,345.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 2:45pm ET $123.82 118 $14,610.76 $14,701.56 +$265.50
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 3:30pm ET $120.68 121 $14,602.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $113.35 121 $13,715.35 $13,814.63 $-886.93
(-6.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $111.22 124 $13,791.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $110.95 124 $13,757.80 $13,781.17 $-33.46
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 12:10pm ET $111.31 123 $13,691.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 1:50pm ET $111.32 123 $13,692.36 $13,782.40 +$1.23
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 2:35pm ET $111.88 123 $13,761.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:25am ET $110.70 123 $13,616.10 $13,637.26 $-145.14
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:30am ET $110.58 123 $13,601.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $110.71 123 $13,617.32 $13,653.24 +$15.98
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $111.58 122 $13,612.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:45pm ET $111.66 122 $13,622.53 $13,663.01 +$9.77
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $112.06 121 $13,559.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:35am ET $111.02 121 $13,433.42 $13,537.17 $-125.84
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET $109.09 124 $13,527.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:05pm ET $109.11 124 $13,529.64 $13,539.65 +$2.48
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $109.32 123 $13,446.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $108.91 123 $13,395.93 $13,489.22 $-50.43
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $109.49 123 $13,467.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:55am ET $109.21 123 $13,433.44 $13,455.39 $-33.83
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:35am ET $110.93 121 $13,422.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $111.10 121 $13,442.80 $13,475.66 +$20.27
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:15pm ET $110.15 122 $13,438.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $109.97 122 $13,416.95 $13,453.70 $-21.96
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:45am ET $109.76 122 $13,391.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:35pm ET $108.75 122 $13,267.50 $13,329.87 $-123.83
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 2:15pm ET $105.46 126 $13,287.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:40pm ET $106.36 126 $13,401.99 $13,443.90 +$114.03
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,443.90
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,443.90
Total Return: +34.44%
Back to Grace Crossover