Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:24

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.8/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 27.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 26.8

30-Day Momentum

35
+2.9%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
3.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 41.7 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,572.22
Current Value
$12,469.34
Period P&L
$-102.86
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
10 / 17
Best Trade
+3.33%
Worst Trade
-4.54%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
17.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$657,038.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-102.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$-102.86
Gross Return
-0.82%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.82%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,572.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 3:45pm ET $176.21 73 $12,863.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $173.89 73 $12,693.97 $12,723.67 $-169.36
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:35am ET $171.45 74 $12,686.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 10:55am ET $171.25 74 $12,672.50 $12,709.24 $-14.43
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $170.99 74 $12,653.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $170.41 74 $12,610.34 $12,666.33 $-42.91
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $168.41 75 $12,630.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 1:50pm ET $166.29 75 $12,471.75 $12,507.33 $-159.00
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 1:35pm ET $168.08 74 $12,437.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $167.91 74 $12,425.34 $12,494.75 $-12.58
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 3:45pm ET $176.25 70 $12,337.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $174.21 70 $12,194.70 $12,351.95 $-142.80
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:55am ET $181.93 67 $12,189.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $181.62 67 $12,168.21 $12,330.85 $-21.10
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $187.01 65 $12,155.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 11:40am ET $186.05 65 $12,093.57 $12,269.10 $-61.75
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 2:15pm ET $190.05 64 $12,163.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $192.73 64 $12,334.72 $12,440.30 +$171.20
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:15am ET $195.65 63 $12,325.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:40am ET $190.97 63 $12,031.11 $12,145.77 $-294.53
(-2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 11:25am ET $195.33 62 $12,110.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:40am ET $186.46 62 $11,560.52 $11,595.83 $-549.94
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $189.06 61 $11,532.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $188.80 61 $11,516.80 $11,579.97 $-15.86
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $190.12 60 $11,407.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 1:05pm ET $196.45 60 $11,787.00 $11,959.77 +$379.80
(+3.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:35am ET $196.61 60 $11,796.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $197.19 60 $11,831.40 $11,994.57 +$34.80
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:45am ET $201.49 59 $11,887.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $202.59 59 $11,952.81 $12,059.48 +$64.91
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 12:50pm ET $206.81 58 $11,994.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $207.31 58 $12,023.98 $12,088.61 +$29.13
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 12:45pm ET $206.27 58 $11,963.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $205.35 58 $11,910.30 $12,035.25 $-53.36
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:20pm ET $201.15 59 $11,867.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 1:05pm ET $201.14 59 $11,867.26 $12,034.66 $-0.59
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:45am ET $200.40 60 $12,024.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 11:25am ET $204.74 60 $12,284.40 $12,295.06 +$260.40
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $212.54 57 $12,114.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:10am ET $211.96 57 $12,081.72 $12,262.00 $-33.06
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:50am ET $209.31 58 $12,139.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $208.98 58 $12,121.00 $12,243.02 $-18.98
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:15pm ET $210.39 58 $12,202.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET $212.35 58 $12,316.59 $12,357.00 +$113.98
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:40am ET $213.34 57 $12,160.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:50am ET $213.01 57 $12,141.57 $12,338.19 $-18.81
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $215.31 57 $12,272.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:30pm ET $216.64 57 $12,348.48 $12,414.00 +$75.81
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $210.81 58 $12,226.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $210.83 58 $12,228.14 $12,415.36 +$1.36
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $205.32 60 $12,318.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:05pm ET $204.75 60 $12,285.00 $12,381.46 $-33.90
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:35am ET $204.44 60 $12,266.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $205.90 60 $12,354.00 $12,469.34 +$87.88
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,469.34
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,469.34
Total Return: +24.69%
Back to Grace Crossover