Compendium › Grace Crossover › DIA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DIA
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 24 trades in period

+1.68%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,048.63
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$9,882.35
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-23 08:39:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
47 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.5%
ATR%
1.0%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
1.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 6.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 6.6

30-Day Momentum

30
+2.3%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.3 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,882.35
Current Value
$10,048.63
Period P&L
$166.27
Max Drawdown
-8.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
9 / 15
Best Trade
+2.18%
Worst Trade
-1.03%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$464,506.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$166.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$166.27
Gross Return
+1.68%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,882.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $463.78 21 $9,739.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $461.99 21 $9,701.79 $9,844.77 $-37.59
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:00am ET $464.74 21 $9,759.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $467.21 21 $9,811.41 $9,896.64 +$51.87
(+0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
6.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $466.09 21 $9,787.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $464.14 21 $9,746.94 $9,855.69 $-40.95
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:45pm ET $478.23 20 $9,564.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:30am ET $477.99 20 $9,559.72 $9,850.81 $-4.88
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $479.46 20 $9,589.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $484.75 20 $9,695.00 $9,956.51 +$105.70
(+1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $483.69 20 $9,673.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:05am ET $483.96 20 $9,679.20 $9,961.91 +$5.40
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:55am ET $493.90 20 $9,878.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:45pm ET $493.64 20 $9,872.80 $9,956.71 $-5.20
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $495.02 20 $9,900.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:50am ET $494.68 20 $9,893.60 $9,949.91 $-6.80
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET $492.81 20 $9,856.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $491.29 20 $9,825.80 $9,919.51 $-30.40
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
50m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $491.60 20 $9,832.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $491.82 20 $9,836.40 $9,923.91 +$4.40
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $496.89 19 $9,440.91 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $497.97 19 $9,461.43 $9,944.43 +$20.52
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5d held
12 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $498.24 19 $9,466.56 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 11:10am ET $496.12 19 $9,426.28 $9,904.15 $-40.28
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
13 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $496.64 19 $9,436.25 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 12:45pm ET $496.15 19 $9,426.85 $9,894.75 $-9.40
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20m held
14 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $500.93 19 $9,517.67 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $500.61 19 $9,511.68 $9,888.76 $-5.99
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
15 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:50am ET $496.85 19 $9,440.06 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:35am ET $493.41 19 $9,374.79 $9,823.50 $-65.26
(-0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
16 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:20am ET $496.02 19 $9,424.38 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:55am ET $506.82 19 $9,629.58 $10,028.70 +$205.20
(+2.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
6d held
17 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $507.26 19 $9,637.85 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $506.86 19 $9,630.43 $10,021.29 $-7.41
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
18 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:35pm ET $510.73 19 $9,703.87 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $510.13 19 $9,692.47 $10,009.89 $-11.40
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
10m held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $509.69 19 $9,684.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 2:45pm ET $509.52 19 $9,680.88 $10,006.66 $-3.23
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
45m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:45am ET $511.22 19 $9,713.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:30am ET $510.74 19 $9,704.06 $9,997.54 $-9.12
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $507.19 19 $9,636.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET $501.99 19 $9,537.81 $9,898.74 $-98.80
(-1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:45pm ET $513.13 19 $9,749.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $519.98 19 $9,879.62 $10,028.89 +$130.15
(+1.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $522.34 19 $9,924.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $522.98 19 $9,936.62 $10,041.05 +$12.16
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $516.50 19 $9,813.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:45am ET $516.90 19 $9,821.08 $10,048.63 +$7.58
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,048.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$48.63
Total Return: +0.49%
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