Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:31:36

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.9/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 43.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 43.4

30-Day Momentum

19
+1.6%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 23.2 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,385.55
Current Value
$13,458.74
Period P&L
$-926.81
Max Drawdown
-6.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
8 / 17
Best Trade
+1.84%
Worst Trade
-3.05%
Avg Trade Return
-0.26%
Avg Hold Time
19.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$670,191.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-926.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$-926.81
Gross Return
-6.44%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $14,385.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:50pm ET $421.84 34 $14,342.56
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $416.63 34 $14,165.42 $14,208.41 $-177.14
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held
2 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $425.17 33 $14,030.61
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $425.53 33 $14,042.49 $14,220.29 +$11.88
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
3 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $430.15 33 $14,194.95
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $429.91 33 $14,187.02 $14,212.36 $-7.93
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
4 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $434.15 32 $13,892.80
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:55am ET $433.21 32 $13,862.88 $14,182.44 $-29.92
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 11:20am ET $434.41 32 $13,901.12
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 11:45am ET $433.99 32 $13,887.68 $14,169.00 $-13.44
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
6 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 1:05pm ET $429.38 32 $13,740.10
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:40am ET $429.36 32 $13,739.36 $14,168.26 $-0.74
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
7 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 10:20am ET $431.04 32 $13,793.28
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:10pm ET $417.91 32 $13,373.12 $13,748.10 $-420.16
(-3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
8 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 12:00pm ET $413.94 33 $13,660.08
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 1:50pm ET $413.15 33 $13,633.95 $13,721.97 $-26.13
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $414.40 33 $13,675.20
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $416.12 33 $13,731.96 $13,778.73 +$56.76
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
10 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $415.11 33 $13,698.63
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $404.70 33 $13,355.10 $13,435.20 $-343.53
(-2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held
11 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:15am ET $409.42 32 $13,101.44
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $412.93 32 $13,213.76 $13,547.52 +$112.32
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:55pm ET $411.19 32 $13,158.05
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:15pm ET $412.61 32 $13,203.63 $13,593.10 +$45.58
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $398.78 34 $13,558.52
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 10:10am ET $396.50 34 $13,481.04 $13,515.62 $-77.48
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $399.58 33 $13,186.14
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $398.21 33 $13,140.93 $13,470.41 $-45.21
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 1:45pm ET $398.15 33 $13,138.95
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 2:30pm ET $387.77 33 $12,796.41 $13,127.87 $-342.54
(-2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $379.92 34 $12,917.45
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 1:00pm ET $379.36 34 $12,898.24 $13,108.66 $-19.21
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.08 35 $12,812.80
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:45pm ET $370.09 35 $12,953.15 $13,249.01 +$140.35
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $369.80 35 $12,943.06
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 1:40pm ET $369.23 35 $12,923.05 $13,229.00 $-20.01
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $369.96 35 $12,948.60
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 12:35pm ET $374.08 35 $13,092.80 $13,373.20 +$144.20
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:45pm ET $380.52 35 $13,318.20
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 1:25pm ET $378.62 35 $13,251.70 $13,306.70 $-66.50
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $376.65 35 $13,182.92
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $372.70 35 $13,044.50 $13,168.28 $-138.42
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET $372.45 35 $13,035.75
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:55am ET $372.18 35 $13,026.30 $13,158.83 $-9.45
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 11:40am ET $368.11 35 $12,883.85
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 1:40pm ET $368.06 35 $12,882.10 $13,157.08 $-1.75
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 2:20pm ET $373.72 35 $13,080.03
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $380.58 35 $13,320.13 $13,397.18 +$240.10
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $371.22 36 $13,363.92
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 12:50pm ET $372.93 36 $13,425.48 $13,458.74 +$61.56
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,458.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,458.74
Total Return: +34.59%
Back to Grace Crossover