Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:46:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.0/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 43.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 42.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-0.2%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,108.66
Current Value
$13,489.28
Period P&L
$380.62
Max Drawdown
-6.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
12 / 15
Best Trade
+2.45%
Worst Trade
-1.21%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
22.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$716,654.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$380.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$380.62
Gross Return
+2.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,108.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.08 35 $12,812.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:45pm ET $370.09 35 $12,953.15 $13,249.01 +$140.35
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $369.80 35 $12,943.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 1:40pm ET $369.23 35 $12,923.05 $13,229.00 $-20.01
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $369.96 35 $12,948.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 12:35pm ET $374.08 35 $13,092.80 $13,373.20 +$144.20
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:45pm ET $380.52 35 $13,318.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 1:25pm ET $378.62 35 $13,251.70 $13,306.70 $-66.50
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $376.65 35 $13,182.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $372.70 35 $13,044.50 $13,168.28 $-138.42
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET $372.45 35 $13,035.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:55am ET $372.18 35 $13,026.30 $13,158.83 $-9.45
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 11:40am ET $368.11 35 $12,883.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 1:40pm ET $368.06 35 $12,882.10 $13,157.08 $-1.75
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 2:20pm ET $373.72 35 $13,080.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $380.58 35 $13,320.13 $13,397.18 +$240.10
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $371.22 36 $13,363.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 12:50pm ET $372.93 36 $13,425.48 $13,458.74 +$61.56
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 2:55pm ET $374.21 35 $13,097.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $369.67 35 $12,938.45 $13,299.84 $-158.90
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 2:20pm ET $370.40 35 $12,964.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $374.79 35 $13,117.48 $13,453.32 +$153.48
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:40am ET $390.60 34 $13,280.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 11:20am ET $390.28 34 $13,269.52 $13,442.44 $-10.88
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 10:30am ET $398.67 33 $13,156.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 11:25am ET $402.12 33 $13,269.96 $13,556.29 +$113.85
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 2:35pm ET $404.73 33 $13,355.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $402.13 33 $13,270.29 $13,470.65 $-85.64
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $402.13 33 $13,270.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $402.52 33 $13,283.16 $13,483.52 +$12.87
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $408.76 32 $13,080.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 1:35pm ET $411.69 32 $13,174.08 $13,577.28 +$93.76
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $428.58 31 $13,285.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:50am ET $426.46 31 $13,220.26 $13,511.56 $-65.72
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:45am ET $421.27 32 $13,480.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $422.00 32 $13,504.00 $13,534.92 +$23.36
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:20pm ET $406.71 33 $13,421.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 1:10pm ET $406.45 33 $13,412.85 $13,526.34 $-8.58
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $401.47 33 $13,248.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $411.32 33 $13,573.56 $13,851.25 +$324.91
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $406.20 34 $13,810.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $403.56 34 $13,721.04 $13,761.49 $-89.76
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $406.18 33 $13,403.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET $402.27 33 $13,274.91 $13,632.46 $-129.03
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $400.05 34 $13,601.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:15am ET $400.12 34 $13,604.23 $13,634.99 +$2.53
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:40am ET $393.94 34 $13,393.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $394.88 34 $13,425.92 $13,666.95 +$31.96
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $398.94 34 $13,563.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $398.18 34 $13,538.12 $13,641.26 $-25.69
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $399.42 34 $13,580.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:55am ET $398.78 34 $13,558.52 $13,619.50 $-21.76
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:35am ET $399.18 34 $13,572.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $395.36 34 $13,442.07 $13,489.28 $-130.22
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,489.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,489.28
Total Return: +34.89%
Back to Grace Crossover