Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 15:58:46

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

46
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
22.1/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.2/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 46.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 45.7

30-Day Momentum

33
+5.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 40.9 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,579.04
Current Value
$15,345.13
Period P&L
$1,766.13
Max Drawdown
-8.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
14 / 14
Best Trade
+5.84%
Worst Trade
-2.47%
Avg Trade Return
+0.47%
Avg Hold Time
21.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$781,087.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,766.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,766.13
Gross Return
+13.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,579.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $832.14 16 $13,314.20
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $833.99 16 $13,343.84 $13,608.64 +$29.64
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $836.45 16 $13,383.20
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET $840.03 16 $13,440.52 $13,665.96 +$57.32
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 2:40pm ET $822.82 16 $13,165.12
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:25pm ET $821.16 16 $13,138.58 $13,639.42 $-26.54
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $809.02 16 $12,944.24
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:50pm ET $811.10 16 $12,977.60 $13,672.78 +$33.36
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $861.59 15 $12,923.78
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $840.31 15 $12,604.65 $13,353.65 $-319.13
(-2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:00pm ET $866.82 15 $13,002.35
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:10pm ET $865.66 15 $12,984.97 $13,336.27 $-17.38
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:25pm ET $863.03 15 $12,945.45
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $898.75 15 $13,481.24 $13,872.06 +$535.79
(+4.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:20pm ET $883.00 15 $13,245.00
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET $909.36 15 $13,640.40 $14,267.46 +$395.40
(+3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:30am ET $902.45 15 $13,536.76
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $903.68 15 $13,555.20 $14,285.90 +$18.44
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:25am ET $931.33 15 $13,969.95
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:35pm ET $933.39 15 $14,000.85 $14,316.80 +$30.90
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:05pm ET $927.94 15 $13,919.10
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $924.90 15 $13,873.50 $14,271.20 $-45.60
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $934.59 15 $14,018.78
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:05am ET $927.20 15 $13,908.00 $14,160.43 $-110.77
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $930.11 15 $13,951.65
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:35pm ET $928.34 15 $13,925.10 $14,133.88 $-26.55
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 2:55pm ET $903.58 15 $13,553.70
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:50am ET $928.15 15 $13,922.25 $14,502.43 +$368.55
(+2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $906.14 16 $14,498.16
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:30pm ET $904.85 16 $14,477.60 $14,481.87 $-20.56
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
16 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $919.18 15 $13,787.70
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:50am ET $936.59 15 $14,048.85 $14,743.02 +$261.15
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
17 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:15pm ET $934.21 15 $14,013.15
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $930.46 15 $13,956.90 $14,686.77 $-56.25
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
18 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 11:55am ET $931.70 15 $13,975.50
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $937.02 15 $14,055.30 $14,766.57 +$79.80
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
19 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $954.75 15 $14,321.25
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $952.22 15 $14,283.23 $14,728.55 $-38.02
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
20 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $945.62 15 $14,184.30
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $936.54 15 $14,048.10 $14,592.35 $-136.20
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
21 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $942.41 15 $14,136.08
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:20am ET $997.48 15 $14,962.20 $15,418.47 +$826.12
(+5.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
6d held
22 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:20am ET $993.92 15 $14,908.80
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:30am ET $988.08 15 $14,821.13 $15,330.80 $-87.67
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
23 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:00pm ET $1,005.46 15 $15,081.83
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:40pm ET $1,021.58 15 $15,323.70 $15,572.68 +$241.88
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $1,070.00 14 $14,980.00
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:40pm ET $1,046.39 14 $14,649.46 $15,242.14 $-330.54
(-2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $1,056.45 14 $14,790.30
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET $1,044.13 14 $14,617.85 $15,069.69 $-172.45
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:45am ET $1,007.19 14 $14,100.66
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:20am ET $1,002.33 14 $14,032.68 $15,001.71 $-67.98
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:00pm ET $1,062.20 14 $14,870.80
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $1,063.66 14 $14,891.24 $15,022.15 +$20.44
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $1,087.60 13 $14,138.80
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,112.44 13 $14,461.78 $15,345.13 +$322.98
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,345.13
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,345.13
Total Return: +53.45%
Back to Grace Crossover