Compendium › Grace Crossover › HD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
HD
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 26 trades in period

-6.89%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,178.72
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$9,858.04
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:47:13

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

6
-5.2%
30d Return
13%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,858.04
Current Value
$9,178.72
Period P&L
$-679.33
Max Drawdown
-11.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
8 / 18
Best Trade
+4.84%
Worst Trade
-4.06%
Avg Trade Return
-0.27%
Avg Hold Time
23.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$490,987.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-679.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$-679.33
Gross Return
-6.89%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,858.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $340.51 28 $9,534.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $340.14 28 $9,524.06 $9,847.82 $-10.22
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:45am ET $348.03 28 $9,744.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 11:05am ET $346.98 28 $9,715.44 $9,818.42 $-29.40
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:45am ET $352.52 27 $9,518.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $353.25 27 $9,537.75 $9,838.13 +$19.71
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:35pm ET $346.10 28 $9,690.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $332.03 28 $9,296.84 $9,444.31 $-393.82
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $340.75 27 $9,200.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $341.90 27 $9,231.30 $9,475.36 +$31.05
(+0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $338.20 28 $9,469.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 2:05pm ET $337.79 28 $9,458.12 $9,463.74 $-11.62
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $338.69 27 $9,144.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $346.40 27 $9,352.93 $9,672.04 +$208.30
(+2.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $332.99 29 $9,656.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $331.51 29 $9,613.79 $9,628.98 $-43.06
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 11:50am ET $332.76 28 $9,317.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $324.16 28 $9,076.48 $9,388.18 $-240.80
(-2.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $343.74 27 $9,280.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 12:05pm ET $344.72 27 $9,307.37 $9,414.57 +$26.39
(+0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $332.99 28 $9,323.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $349.11 28 $9,775.08 $9,865.79 +$451.22
(+4.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $352.25 28 $9,863.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:40am ET $350.76 28 $9,821.28 $9,824.07 $-41.72
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 12:50pm ET $352.89 27 $9,528.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $355.70 27 $9,603.90 $9,899.94 +$75.87
(+0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 3:25pm ET $345.00 28 $9,660.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $344.38 28 $9,642.64 $9,882.58 $-17.36
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 12:25pm ET $338.95 29 $9,829.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $338.27 29 $9,809.69 $9,862.85 $-19.73
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $344.69 28 $9,651.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:30am ET $344.88 28 $9,656.64 $9,868.17 +$5.32
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:30am ET $338.27 29 $9,809.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:35am ET $333.94 29 $9,684.26 $9,742.60 $-125.57
(-1.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $336.45 28 $9,420.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:25pm ET $335.87 28 $9,404.36 $9,726.50 $-16.10
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:45am ET $328.96 29 $9,539.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:20pm ET $327.85 29 $9,507.65 $9,694.25 $-32.25
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:55pm ET $328.12 29 $9,515.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET $318.95 29 $9,249.55 $9,428.32 $-265.93
(-2.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:05am ET $317.98 29 $9,221.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $318.27 29 $9,229.83 $9,436.73 +$8.41
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $311.11 30 $9,333.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $310.74 30 $9,322.20 $9,425.63 $-11.10
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $311.05 30 $9,331.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 12:40pm ET $307.26 30 $9,217.71 $9,311.84 $-113.79
(-1.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 11:00am ET $301.46 30 $9,043.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 2:45pm ET $300.16 30 $9,004.80 $9,272.84 $-39.00
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $302.70 30 $9,081.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $301.50 30 $9,045.00 $9,236.84 $-36.00
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $294.32 31 $9,123.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $292.44 31 $9,065.64 $9,178.72 $-58.13
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,178.72
Net Profit/Loss: $-821.28
Total Return: -8.21%
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