ISRG Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 32 trades in period
-12.35%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,874.95
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$10,125.27
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
4.6/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 4.5
30-Day Momentum
9
-1.8%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,125.27
Current Value
$8,874.95
Period P&L
$-1,250.21
Max Drawdown
-10.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
10 /
22
Best Trade
+3.26%
Worst Trade
-5.73%
Avg Trade Return
-0.36%
Avg Hold Time
23.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$577,389.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,250.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,250.21
Gross Return
-12.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.35%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,125.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $401.46 | 24 | $9,635.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $403.85 | 24 | $9,692.40 | $10,021.36 |
+$57.24 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $405.20 | 24 | $9,724.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $405.54 | 24 | $9,732.84 | $10,029.40 |
+$8.04 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 2:15pm ET | $401.02 | 25 | $10,025.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 3:15pm ET | $400.45 | 25 | $10,011.25 | $10,015.15 |
$-14.25 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $409.99 | 24 | $9,839.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $422.54 | 24 | $10,140.84 | $10,316.23 |
+$301.08 (+3.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 12:40pm ET | $419.14 | 24 | $10,059.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 1:40pm ET | $418.12 | 24 | $10,034.88 | $10,291.87 |
$-24.36 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 1:40pm ET | $412.32 | 24 | $9,895.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $411.54 | 24 | $9,876.96 | $10,273.21 |
$-18.66 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 1:45pm ET | $410.85 | 25 | $10,271.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $387.33 | 25 | $9,683.25 | $9,685.12 |
$-588.09 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 2:40pm ET | $391.11 | 24 | $9,386.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 2:50pm ET | $390.21 | 24 | $9,365.04 | $9,663.52 |
$-21.60 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 3:00pm ET | $350.96 | 27 | $9,475.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $348.20 | 27 | $9,401.53 | $9,589.13 |
$-74.39 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 12:40pm ET | $357.39 | 26 | $9,292.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 12:15pm ET | $342.86 | 26 | $8,914.36 | $9,211.35 |
$-377.78 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 12:20pm ET | $332.72 | 27 | $8,983.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $331.00 | 27 | $8,937.00 | $9,164.91 |
$-46.44 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 3:30pm ET | $338.95 | 27 | $9,151.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $337.99 | 27 | $9,125.86 | $9,139.12 |
$-25.79 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $366.35 | 24 | $8,792.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 11:15am ET | $364.19 | 24 | $8,740.56 | $9,087.38 |
$-51.74 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 2:00pm ET | $356.48 | 25 | $8,911.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 2:20pm ET | $349.58 | 25 | $8,739.38 | $8,914.88 |
$-172.50 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $371.06 | 24 | $8,905.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 2:55pm ET | $373.17 | 24 | $8,956.08 | $8,965.52 |
+$50.64 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 3:30pm ET | $366.66 | 24 | $8,799.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $370.38 | 24 | $8,889.12 | $9,054.80 |
+$89.28 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 1:55pm ET | $374.43 | 24 | $8,986.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 2:50pm ET | $373.79 | 24 | $8,970.84 | $9,039.20 |
$-15.60 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 3:35pm ET | $400.35 | 22 | $8,807.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 1:55pm ET | $402.02 | 22 | $8,844.33 | $9,075.94 |
+$36.74 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:20am ET | $401.51 | 22 | $8,833.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 12:20pm ET | $399.69 | 22 | $8,793.18 | $9,035.90 |
$-40.04 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 3:15pm ET | $391.23 | 23 | $8,998.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $390.78 | 23 | $8,987.94 | $9,025.44 |
$-10.46 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $399.55 | 22 | $8,790.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 11:25am ET | $400.25 | 22 | $8,805.50 | $9,040.75 |
+$15.31 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $380.26 | 23 | $8,745.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 12:05pm ET | $371.80 | 23 | $8,551.40 | $8,846.17 |
$-194.58 (-2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:20am ET | $369.69 | 23 | $8,502.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 12:30pm ET | $368.90 | 23 | $8,484.81 | $8,828.11 |
$-18.06 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 1:50pm ET | $371.23 | 23 | $8,538.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $366.72 | 23 | $8,434.56 | $8,724.38 |
$-103.73 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 1:35pm ET | $368.66 | 23 | $8,479.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $368.40 | 23 | $8,473.20 | $8,718.40 |
$-5.98 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $374.79 | 23 | $8,620.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 12:15pm ET | $367.90 | 23 | $8,461.70 | $8,559.93 |
$-158.47 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 1:50pm ET | $365.70 | 23 | $8,411.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $359.80 | 23 | $8,275.40 | $8,424.23 |
$-135.70 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $351.51 | 23 | $8,084.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 2:25pm ET | $350.90 | 23 | $8,070.70 | $8,410.20 |
$-14.03 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 2:40pm ET | $360.87 | 23 | $8,299.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 11:20am ET | $372.64 | 23 | $8,570.72 | $8,681.00 |
+$270.80 (+3.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 11:30am ET | $373.77 | 23 | $8,596.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 3:05pm ET | $376.76 | 23 | $8,665.37 | $8,749.66 |
+$68.66 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 2:35pm ET | $393.18 | 22 | $8,649.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $399.40 | 22 | $8,786.80 | $8,886.50 |
+$136.84 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 3:15pm ET | $397.45 | 22 | $8,744.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 3:25pm ET | $396.93 | 22 | $8,732.46 | $8,874.95 |
$-11.55 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,874.95
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,125.05
Total Return:
-11.25%