Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 11:17:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 4.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.6

30-Day Momentum

7
-5.5%
30d Return
11%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,936
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,581.88
Current Value
$9,964.12
Period P&L
$-617.65
Max Drawdown
-10.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
7 / 19
Best Trade
+3.76%
Worst Trade
-4.04%
Avg Trade Return
-0.22%
Avg Hold Time
18.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$539,304.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-617.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-617.65
Gross Return
-5.84%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,581.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $488.14 21 $10,251.04
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $480.86 21 $10,098.06 $10,428.78 $-152.99
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:30pm ET $472.47 22 $10,394.34
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $471.55 22 $10,374.16 $10,408.60 $-20.18
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 11:20am ET $455.79 22 $10,027.27
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $466.10 22 $10,254.20 $10,635.53 +$226.93
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:45am ET $454.33 23 $10,449.70
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:05am ET $453.36 23 $10,427.28 $10,613.10 $-22.43
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:55am ET $450.35 23 $10,358.05
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:15pm ET $450.58 23 $10,363.23 $10,618.28 +$5.18
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:15pm ET $451.48 23 $10,384.04
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:15pm ET $468.46 23 $10,774.69 $11,008.93 +$390.65
(+3.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $456.60 24 $10,958.40
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $455.55 24 $10,933.20 $10,983.73 $-25.20
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:50am ET $470.11 23 $10,812.53
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:40am ET $469.02 23 $10,787.46 $10,958.66 $-25.07
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $456.07 24 $10,945.68
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $455.00 24 $10,920.00 $10,932.98 $-25.68
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $486.29 22 $10,698.27
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $484.35 22 $10,655.70 $10,890.41 $-42.57
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $467.64 23 $10,755.72
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $460.00 23 $10,580.00 $10,714.69 $-175.72
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $460.11 23 $10,582.53
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:30pm ET $458.39 23 $10,542.97 $10,675.13 $-39.56
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $450.00 23 $10,350.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $447.42 23 $10,290.66 $10,615.79 $-59.34
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
14 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:00pm ET $450.08 23 $10,351.84
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 10:20am ET $431.91 23 $9,933.93 $10,197.88 $-417.91
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
15 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 10:25am ET $430.89 23 $9,910.36
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $433.24 23 $9,964.52 $10,252.04 +$54.16
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.9h held
16 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $425.18 24 $10,204.42
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $435.96 24 $10,463.04 $10,510.66 +$258.62
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held
17 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $438.86 23 $10,093.67
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $440.47 23 $10,130.83 $10,547.83 +$37.17
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
18 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $442.18 23 $10,170.14
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:25pm ET $438.68 23 $10,089.64 $10,467.33 $-80.50
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held
19 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:45am ET $423.27 24 $10,158.48
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:05pm ET $421.35 24 $10,112.40 $10,421.25 $-46.08
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:15pm ET $401.66 25 $10,041.50
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:15pm ET $416.24 25 $10,406.12 $10,785.87 +$364.62
(+3.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $420.10 25 $10,502.38
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $419.78 25 $10,494.50 $10,777.99 $-7.88
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $426.64 25 $10,665.88
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $421.03 25 $10,525.75 $10,637.86 $-140.13
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:10am ET $410.36 25 $10,258.88
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:35am ET $407.10 25 $10,177.50 $10,556.48 $-81.38
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:40pm ET $416.11 25 $10,402.75
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:35pm ET $415.15 25 $10,378.75 $10,532.48 $-24.00
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $418.67 25 $10,466.75
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $401.83 25 $10,045.75 $10,111.48 $-421.00
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:40pm ET $406.93 24 $9,766.44
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $400.80 24 $9,619.08 $9,964.12 $-147.36
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,964.12
Net Profit/Loss: $-35.88
Total Return: -0.36%
Back to Grace Crossover