Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-28 16:33:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
18
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.5
Unsettled
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 28, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.7/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 27.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 27.4

30-Day Momentum

20
+1.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.4 Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-30 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,565.53
Current Value
$11,988.84
Period P&L
$1,423.30
Max Drawdown
-8.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
11 / 13
Best Trade
+5.08%
Worst Trade
-0.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.54%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$543,834.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,423.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,423.30
Gross Return
+13.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,565.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $243.51 43 $10,470.93
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $251.67 43 $10,821.81 $10,916.42 +$350.88
(+3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $250.16 43 $10,756.88
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $251.68 43 $10,822.24 $10,981.78 +$65.36
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:25pm ET $252.06 43 $10,838.58
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:40pm ET $251.40 43 $10,810.20 $10,953.40 $-28.38
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:00am ET $260.06 42 $10,922.52
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $261.80 42 $10,995.60 $11,026.48 +$73.08
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:20pm ET $268.71 41 $11,017.31
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:40am ET $268.64 41 $11,014.24 $11,023.41 $-3.07
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $269.32 40 $10,772.80
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $276.10 40 $11,044.00 $11,294.61 +$271.20
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:05pm ET $275.68 40 $11,027.40
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET $276.08 40 $11,043.20 $11,310.41 +$15.80
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:30pm ET $275.68 41 $11,302.88
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $274.46 41 $11,252.86 $11,260.39 $-50.02
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $276.88 40 $11,075.20
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $276.70 40 $11,067.80 $11,252.99 $-7.40
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $273.74 41 $11,223.34
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:45pm ET $278.25 41 $11,408.25 $11,437.90 +$184.91
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:50pm ET $277.86 41 $11,392.06
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $277.54 41 $11,379.14 $11,424.98 $-12.92
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
12 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $283.98 40 $11,359.20
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $283.52 40 $11,340.80 $11,406.58 $-18.40
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.4h held
13 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 1:15pm ET $280.08 40 $11,203.20
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:10pm ET $278.06 40 $11,122.40 $11,325.78 $-80.80
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
14 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 3:10pm ET $275.58 41 $11,298.78
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 3:25pm ET $274.91 41 $11,271.31 $11,298.31 $-27.47
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
15 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:40am ET $274.78 41 $11,265.98
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:50am ET $288.74 41 $11,838.34 $11,870.67 +$572.36
(+5.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.1d held
16 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:25pm ET $290.90 40 $11,636.00
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $290.02 40 $11,600.80 $11,835.47 $-35.20
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
17 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 11:55am ET $290.08 40 $11,603.40
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $288.07 40 $11,522.80 $11,754.87 $-80.60
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $290.92 40 $11,636.60
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $289.65 40 $11,586.00 $11,704.27 $-50.60
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $285.41 41 $11,701.81
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $285.25 41 $11,695.25 $11,697.71 $-6.56
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $282.62 41 $11,587.42
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $285.15 41 $11,691.15 $11,801.44 +$103.73
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $288.54 40 $11,541.60
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 2:00pm ET $293.86 40 $11,754.40 $12,014.24 +$212.80
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:40am ET $294.11 40 $11,764.40
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:15pm ET $294.20 40 $11,768.00 $12,017.84 +$3.60
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $296.95 40 $11,878.00
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $298.01 40 $11,920.20 $12,060.04 +$42.20
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $298.23 40 $11,929.20
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $296.45 40 $11,858.00 $11,988.84 $-71.20
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,988.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,988.84
Total Return: +19.89%
Back to Grace Crossover