Compendium › Grace Crossover › IWM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IWM
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 27 trades in period

-5.75%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,366.64
Current Value
22%
Win Rate
$12,060.03
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:24:05

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.1/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 22.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 22.5

30-Day Momentum

3
-4.5%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,060.03
Current Value
$11,366.64
Period P&L
$-693.40
Max Drawdown
-8.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.35

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
6 / 21
Best Trade
+2.05%
Worst Trade
-1.96%
Avg Trade Return
-0.22%
Avg Hold Time
17.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$633,275.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-693.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-693.40
Gross Return
-5.75%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,060.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $298.23 40 $11,929.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $296.45 40 $11,858.00 $11,988.84 $-71.20
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $297.73 40 $11,909.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 12:35pm ET $296.41 40 $11,856.40 $11,936.04 $-52.80
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 10:00am ET $301.19 39 $11,746.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 1:00pm ET $301.74 39 $11,767.86 $11,957.49 +$21.45
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $297.14 40 $11,885.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 2:35pm ET $297.08 40 $11,883.20 $11,954.89 $-2.60
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $295.61 40 $11,824.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $295.83 40 $11,833.00 $11,963.29 +$8.40
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $295.75 40 $11,830.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $294.48 40 $11,779.20 $11,912.49 $-50.80
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $295.60 40 $11,823.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $295.53 40 $11,821.20 $11,909.89 $-2.60
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $294.77 40 $11,790.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $294.28 40 $11,771.20 $11,890.29 $-19.60
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:05pm ET $293.99 40 $11,759.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 2:35pm ET $293.46 40 $11,738.40 $11,869.09 $-21.20
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $291.84 40 $11,673.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $291.30 40 $11,652.00 $11,847.49 $-21.60
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $293.15 40 $11,726.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 1:45pm ET $292.80 40 $11,712.00 $11,833.49 $-14.00
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
10m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $292.49 40 $11,699.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 2:35pm ET $291.87 40 $11,674.80 $11,808.69 $-24.80
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 11:50am ET $290.57 40 $11,622.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $290.95 40 $11,638.00 $11,823.89 +$15.20
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 1:40pm ET $295.66 39 $11,530.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET $301.72 39 $11,767.08 $12,060.23 +$236.34
(+2.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:10am ET $300.85 40 $12,034.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 11:20am ET $300.23 40 $12,009.40 $12,035.63 $-24.60
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 3:05pm ET $301.51 39 $11,758.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 11:30am ET $300.92 39 $11,736.07 $12,012.81 $-22.82
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:45am ET $303.66 39 $11,842.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 11:40am ET $304.02 39 $11,856.97 $12,027.04 +$14.23
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $304.03 39 $11,857.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $302.61 39 $11,801.79 $11,971.66 $-55.38
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $302.71 39 $11,805.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 12:30pm ET $302.27 39 $11,788.72 $11,954.70 $-16.96
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:30pm ET $298.28 40 $11,931.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $297.85 40 $11,913.80 $11,937.30 $-17.40
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:20pm ET $298.67 39 $11,648.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $298.80 39 $11,653.39 $11,942.56 +$5.26
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:55pm ET $293.25 40 $11,730.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $292.10 40 $11,684.00 $11,896.56 $-46.00
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET $294.41 40 $11,776.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $293.67 40 $11,746.80 $11,866.96 $-29.60
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 11:05am ET $295.29 40 $11,811.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 1:50pm ET $289.50 40 $11,580.00 $11,635.56 $-231.40
(-2.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:00pm ET $288.73 40 $11,549.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $285.16 40 $11,406.40 $11,492.56 $-143.00
(-1.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $288.12 39 $11,236.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:00pm ET $285.65 39 $11,140.35 $11,396.23 $-96.33
(-0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $281.26 40 $11,250.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $280.52 40 $11,220.81 $11,366.64 $-29.59
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,366.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,366.64
Total Return: +13.67%
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