Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:59:45

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.6 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+1.6%
EMA20 Dist
+0.2%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.9/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 29.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 29.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.1%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,455.96
Current Value
$12,710.60
Period P&L
$254.65
Max Drawdown
-9.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
8 / 18
Best Trade
+2.01%
Worst Trade
-2.19%
Avg Trade Return
+0.08%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$656,196.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$254.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$254.65
Gross Return
+2.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JPM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,455.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $332.91 37 $12,317.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 11:55am ET $339.15 37 $12,548.73 $12,687.00 +$231.06
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:05pm ET $332.74 38 $12,644.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 1:20pm ET $331.07 38 $12,580.47 $12,623.16 $-63.84
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $334.05 37 $12,359.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $333.36 37 $12,334.50 $12,597.82 $-25.34
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $338.73 37 $12,533.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $335.92 37 $12,428.86 $12,493.48 $-104.34
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:45am ET $333.37 37 $12,334.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:40am ET $336.41 37 $12,447.17 $12,605.96 +$112.48
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 12:45pm ET $334.52 37 $12,377.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 11:55am ET $341.17 37 $12,623.29 $12,852.01 +$246.05
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $348.30 36 $12,538.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $346.34 36 $12,468.24 $12,781.45 $-70.56
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:15am ET $344.04 37 $12,729.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $347.55 37 $12,859.35 $12,911.32 +$129.87
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $352.80 36 $12,700.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 11:25am ET $354.52 36 $12,762.72 $12,973.42 +$62.10
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 2:05pm ET $356.27 36 $12,825.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:05pm ET $348.45 36 $12,544.38 $12,691.90 $-281.52
(-2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $352.89 35 $12,351.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 11:20am ET $360.00 35 $12,600.00 $12,940.58 +$248.68
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 2:35pm ET $356.19 36 $12,822.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $356.07 36 $12,818.34 $12,936.08 $-4.50
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $357.99 36 $12,887.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 2:35pm ET $357.65 36 $12,875.40 $12,923.84 $-12.24
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 3:40pm ET $362.45 35 $12,685.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $362.21 35 $12,677.52 $12,915.79 $-8.05
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 1:10pm ET $360.52 35 $12,618.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $360.17 35 $12,605.95 $12,903.43 $-12.36
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:35am ET $354.01 36 $12,744.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:40am ET $352.69 36 $12,696.84 $12,855.91 $-47.52
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $356.24 36 $12,824.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:30am ET $356.18 36 $12,822.48 $12,853.57 $-2.34
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $354.95 36 $12,778.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $354.68 36 $12,768.48 $12,843.67 $-9.90
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:05am ET $357.13 35 $12,499.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 1:00pm ET $355.76 35 $12,451.43 $12,795.55 $-48.13
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:25pm ET $355.93 35 $12,457.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:35am ET $357.95 35 $12,528.25 $12,866.25 +$70.70
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 11:30am ET $356.54 36 $12,835.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:35pm ET $355.45 36 $12,796.20 $12,827.01 $-39.24
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 11:25am ET $353.60 36 $12,729.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $352.45 36 $12,688.20 $12,785.79 $-41.22
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:55pm ET $350.36 36 $12,613.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $348.98 36 $12,563.28 $12,735.93 $-49.86
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 10:40am ET $351.59 36 $12,657.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 11:35am ET $350.32 36 $12,611.52 $12,690.21 $-45.72
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 1:45pm ET $346.99 36 $12,491.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:30am ET $350.46 36 $12,616.74 $12,815.31 +$125.10
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $340.86 37 $12,612.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $338.04 37 $12,507.30 $12,710.60 $-104.71
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,710.60
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,710.60
Total Return: +27.11%
Back to Grace Crossover