LCID Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 31 trades in period
-8.55%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,474.14
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$15,826.92
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
26
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.4/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
26.1/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 25.7
30-Day Momentum
9
-14.3%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,063
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$15,826.92
Current Value
$14,474.14
Period P&L
$-1,352.82
Max Drawdown
-23.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
11 /
20
Best Trade
+10.68%
Worst Trade
-4.83%
Avg Trade Return
-0.22%
Avg Hold Time
11.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,004,994.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,352.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,352.82
Gross Return
-8.55%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.55%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $15,826.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 2:25pm ET | $5.16 | 3,070 | $15,825.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 10:50am ET | $5.14 | 3,070 | $15,764.45 | $15,765.56 |
$-61.40 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 12:30pm ET | $6.54 | 2,410 | $15,761.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 11:00am ET | $6.72 | 2,410 | $16,207.25 | $16,211.41 |
+$445.85 (+2.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $6.16 | 2,633 | $16,206.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $6.66 | 2,633 | $17,535.52 | $17,540.81 |
+$1,329.40 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 12:15pm ET | $5.96 | 2,943 | $17,538.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 2:25pm ET | $5.95 | 2,943 | $17,496.14 | $17,498.14 |
$-42.67 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.97 | 2,931 | $17,498.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 11:50am ET | $5.72 | 2,931 | $16,779.97 | $16,780.05 |
$-718.09 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 1:45pm ET | $5.53 | 3,034 | $16,778.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 2:55pm ET | $5.51 | 3,034 | $16,732.51 | $16,734.54 |
$-45.51 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $6.41 | 2,610 | $16,730.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $7.00 | 2,610 | $18,270.00 | $18,274.18 |
+$1,539.64 (+9.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.7h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $7.24 | 2,524 | $18,274.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $7.30 | 2,524 | $18,425.20 | $18,425.37 |
+$151.19 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 2:50pm ET | $6.34 | 2,906 | $18,424.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $6.41 | 2,906 | $18,612.93 | $18,614.26 |
+$188.89 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 1:50pm ET | $6.41 | 2,903 | $18,608.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 11:15am ET | $6.43 | 2,903 | $18,651.78 | $18,657.81 |
+$43.55 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 1:15pm ET | $7.68 | 2,427 | $18,651.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 3:15pm ET | $7.68 | 2,427 | $18,651.49 | $18,657.81 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $6.72 | 2,778 | $18,654.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 1:40pm ET | $6.41 | 2,778 | $17,806.98 | $17,810.52 |
$-847.29 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.15 | 2,490 | $17,803.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $6.95 | 2,490 | $17,317.95 | $17,324.97 |
$-485.55 (-2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.62 | 2,617 | $17,324.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 11:40am ET | $6.64 | 2,617 | $17,363.80 | $17,364.23 |
+$39.26 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 12:30pm ET | $6.51 | 2,667 | $17,362.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 2:40pm ET | $6.47 | 2,667 | $17,254.69 | $17,256.22 |
$-108.01 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $6.15 | 2,805 | $17,250.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.13 | 2,805 | $17,193.81 | $17,199.28 |
$-56.94 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.88 | 2,925 | $17,199.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $5.80 | 2,925 | $16,965.00 | $16,965.28 |
$-234.00 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 11:10am ET | $5.65 | 3,002 | $16,960.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 12:00pm ET | $5.59 | 3,002 | $16,796.19 | $16,800.77 |
$-164.51 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 3:25pm ET | $5.20 | 3,234 | $16,800.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $4.95 | 3,234 | $16,024.47 | $16,024.61 |
$-776.16 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $5.22 | 3,067 | $16,023.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $5.01 | 3,067 | $15,367.20 | $15,368.58 |
$-656.03 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 11:05am ET | $4.97 | 3,095 | $15,366.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $4.72 | 3,095 | $14,623.87 | $14,625.78 |
$-742.80 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $4.65 | 3,146 | $14,625.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 1:40pm ET | $4.68 | 3,146 | $14,707.55 | $14,707.58 |
+$81.80 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 2:00pm ET | $4.68 | 3,139 | $14,706.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $4.49 | 3,139 | $14,094.11 | $14,095.47 |
$-612.11 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 10:20am ET | $4.68 | 3,011 | $14,091.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 12:30pm ET | $4.68 | 3,011 | $14,076.43 | $14,080.42 |
$-15.05 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $4.28 | 3,285 | $14,076.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.16 | 3,285 | $13,682.02 | $13,686.22 |
$-394.20 (-2.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $4.30 | 3,182 | $13,682.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 12:25pm ET | $4.28 | 3,182 | $13,603.05 | $13,606.67 |
$-79.55 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 10:30am ET | $4.12 | 3,302 | $13,604.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 2:35pm ET | $4.05 | 3,302 | $13,389.61 | $13,392.04 |
$-214.63 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $4.03 | 3,327 | $13,391.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $4.45 | 3,327 | $14,821.78 | $14,822.65 |
+$1,430.61 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 12:40pm ET | $4.14 | 3,576 | $14,822.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 1:25pm ET | $4.12 | 3,576 | $14,733.12 | $14,733.25 |
$-89.40 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 1:40pm ET | $4.25 | 3,466 | $14,730.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.16 | 3,466 | $14,401.23 | $14,403.98 |
$-329.27 (-2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 11:40am ET | $4.11 | 3,508 | $14,400.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 2:55pm ET | $4.13 | 3,508 | $14,470.50 | $14,474.14 |
+$70.16 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,474.14
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,474.14
Total Return:
+44.74%