Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 08:18:18

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.6/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 32.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 31.8

30-Day Momentum

19
+2.1%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.0 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,263.54
Current Value
$14,079.00
Period P&L
$815.44
Max Drawdown
-13.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
10 / 16
Best Trade
+5.00%
Worst Trade
-4.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
22.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$675,620.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$815.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$815.44
Gross Return
+6.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,263.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $917.48 14 $12,844.72
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $901.53 14 $12,621.49 $13,040.33 $-223.23
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 1:00pm ET $906.24 14 $12,687.43
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $901.59 14 $12,622.26 $12,975.16 $-65.17
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $888.73 14 $12,442.18
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 11:30am ET $887.61 14 $12,426.54 $12,959.52 $-15.64
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $936.06 13 $12,168.78
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $934.52 13 $12,148.70 $12,939.44 $-20.08
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:55am ET $916.97 14 $12,837.58
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $927.17 14 $12,980.38 $13,082.24 +$142.80
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:50am ET $949.86 13 $12,348.18
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:30pm ET $957.51 13 $12,447.63 $13,181.69 +$99.45
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $930.32 14 $13,024.48
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $934.63 14 $13,084.75 $13,241.96 +$60.27
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:05am ET $910.50 14 $12,747.00
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $902.86 14 $12,640.04 $13,135.00 $-106.96
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:05am ET $923.97 14 $12,935.65
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $926.48 14 $12,970.72 $13,170.07 +$35.07
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $881.98 14 $12,347.72
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $881.26 14 $12,337.64 $13,159.99 $-10.08
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 3:10pm ET $854.53 15 $12,818.02
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $851.54 15 $12,773.10 $13,115.07 $-44.92
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
12 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:40am ET $962.42 13 $12,511.46
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $985.39 13 $12,810.01 $13,413.62 +$298.55
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $974.53 13 $12,668.95
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:35pm ET $972.23 13 $12,638.99 $13,383.66 $-29.96
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
14 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $959.15 13 $12,468.89
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 12:00pm ET $976.01 13 $12,688.13 $13,602.90 +$219.24
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
15 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $1,006.34 13 $13,082.42
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 2:15pm ET $1,006.99 13 $13,090.87 $13,611.35 +$8.45
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
16 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $1,001.46 13 $13,018.98
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 2:10pm ET $986.16 13 $12,820.08 $13,412.45 $-198.90
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
17 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $1,009.34 13 $13,121.42
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 2:15pm ET $1,038.22 13 $13,496.86 $13,787.89 +$375.44
(+2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.2h held
18 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $1,085.54 12 $13,026.48
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $1,124.65 12 $13,495.74 $14,257.15 +$469.26
(+3.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
19 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $1,098.11 12 $13,177.32
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $1,094.32 12 $13,131.84 $14,211.67 $-45.48
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:20am ET $1,071.96 13 $13,935.43
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:40am ET $1,066.31 13 $13,861.97 $14,138.21 $-73.46
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $1,104.81 12 $13,257.66
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:45am ET $1,160.10 12 $13,921.20 $14,801.75 +$663.54
(+5.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $1,151.22 12 $13,814.70
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:50am ET $1,150.35 12 $13,804.26 $14,791.31 $-10.44
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:35pm ET $1,162.12 12 $13,945.44
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $1,113.34 12 $13,360.08 $14,205.95 $-585.36
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET $1,129.92 12 $13,558.98
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:45pm ET $1,127.95 12 $13,535.40 $14,182.37 $-23.58
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:45pm ET $1,116.23 12 $13,394.81
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:55am ET $1,111.65 12 $13,339.80 $14,127.36 $-55.01
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:35am ET $1,101.49 12 $13,217.88
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 11:00am ET $1,097.46 12 $13,169.52 $14,079.00 $-48.36
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,079.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,079.00
Total Return: +40.79%
Back to Grace Crossover