MA Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 32 trades in period
+3.73%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,655.36
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$11,235.95
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
24
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.1/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
24.4/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 24.3
30-Day Momentum
9
-0.3%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,235.95
Current Value
$11,655.36
Period P&L
$419.32
Max Drawdown
-9.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
15 /
17
Best Trade
+3.10%
Worst Trade
-1.14%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
16.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$722,832.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$419.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$419.32
Gross Return
+3.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.73%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,235.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 2:30pm ET | $495.74 | 22 | $10,906.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 1:45pm ET | $501.39 | 22 | $11,030.69 | $11,360.45 |
+$124.41 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $511.10 | 22 | $11,244.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 1:10pm ET | $511.26 | 22 | $11,247.72 | $11,364.08 |
+$3.63 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $529.29 | 21 | $11,115.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $532.22 | 21 | $11,176.72 | $11,425.71 |
+$61.63 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 2:20pm ET | $519.12 | 22 | $11,420.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $517.86 | 22 | $11,393.03 | $11,398.10 |
$-27.61 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $522.51 | 21 | $10,972.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 11:05am ET | $521.39 | 21 | $10,949.19 | $11,374.58 |
$-23.52 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 12:10pm ET | $540.77 | 21 | $11,356.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 12:50pm ET | $539.78 | 21 | $11,335.38 | $11,353.79 |
$-20.79 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $541.85 | 20 | $10,837.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $547.20 | 20 | $10,944.00 | $11,460.79 |
+$107.00 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $542.93 | 21 | $11,401.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $546.12 | 21 | $11,468.52 | $11,527.78 |
+$66.99 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 12:35pm ET | $536.66 | 21 | $11,269.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 12:55pm ET | $535.50 | 21 | $11,245.50 | $11,503.42 |
$-24.36 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $527.58 | 21 | $11,079.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $527.13 | 21 | $11,069.73 | $11,493.97 |
$-9.45 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $535.18 | 21 | $11,238.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 1:20pm ET | $551.79 | 21 | $11,587.59 | $11,842.78 |
+$348.81 (+3.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 2:50pm ET | $561.37 | 21 | $11,788.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $557.28 | 21 | $11,702.78 | $11,756.79 |
$-85.99 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $575.92 | 20 | $11,518.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $569.34 | 20 | $11,386.70 | $11,625.09 |
$-131.70 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 1:15pm ET | $573.73 | 20 | $11,474.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 3:35pm ET | $573.89 | 20 | $11,477.80 | $11,628.29 |
+$3.20 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $575.50 | 20 | $11,510.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:45am ET | $571.97 | 20 | $11,439.30 | $11,557.59 |
$-70.70 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $570.06 | 20 | $11,401.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $570.64 | 20 | $11,412.70 | $11,569.09 |
+$11.50 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $561.79 | 20 | $11,235.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 12:20pm ET | $564.73 | 20 | $11,294.60 | $11,627.89 |
+$58.80 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 1:20pm ET | $557.72 | 20 | $11,154.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $560.01 | 20 | $11,200.20 | $11,673.69 |
+$45.80 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $566.61 | 20 | $11,332.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 3:50pm ET | $568.91 | 20 | $11,378.30 | $11,719.79 |
+$46.10 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $577.82 | 20 | $11,556.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 10:10am ET | $574.68 | 20 | $11,493.60 | $11,657.04 |
$-62.75 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 12:25pm ET | $597.66 | 19 | $11,355.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 3:10pm ET | $597.73 | 19 | $11,356.96 | $11,658.47 |
+$1.43 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $593.15 | 19 | $11,269.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $591.50 | 19 | $11,238.50 | $11,627.12 |
$-31.35 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 1:50pm ET | $592.81 | 19 | $11,263.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $588.66 | 19 | $11,184.45 | $11,548.18 |
$-78.94 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 1:00pm ET | $588.36 | 19 | $11,178.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 1:10pm ET | $588.06 | 19 | $11,173.14 | $11,542.48 |
$-5.70 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 1:55pm ET | $586.04 | 19 | $11,134.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:05pm ET | $585.36 | 19 | $11,121.84 | $11,529.56 |
$-12.92 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 2:15pm ET | $569.00 | 20 | $11,380.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $566.28 | 20 | $11,325.50 | $11,475.06 |
$-54.50 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 12:15pm ET | $565.83 | 20 | $11,316.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 11:25am ET | $574.38 | 20 | $11,487.60 | $11,646.06 |
+$171.00 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 1:45pm ET | $571.79 | 20 | $11,435.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 3:00pm ET | $571.61 | 20 | $11,432.20 | $11,642.46 |
$-3.60 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 11:30am ET | $566.84 | 20 | $11,336.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 2:55pm ET | $567.81 | 20 | $11,356.20 | $11,661.86 |
+$19.40 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $565.71 | 20 | $11,314.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 12:25pm ET | $564.62 | 20 | $11,292.40 | $11,640.06 |
$-21.80 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 12:45pm ET | $559.40 | 20 | $11,188.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 2:00pm ET | $558.28 | 20 | $11,165.50 | $11,617.56 |
$-22.50 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $561.00 | 20 | $11,220.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $562.89 | 20 | $11,257.80 | $11,655.36 |
+$37.80 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,655.36
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,655.36
Total Return:
+16.55%