Compendium › Grace Crossover › MCD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MCD
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 29 trades in period

+2.41%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,431.64
Current Value
34%
Win Rate
$8,233.13
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:21:54

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

7
-1.9%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,233.13
Current Value
$8,431.64
Period P&L
$198.54
Max Drawdown
-16.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
10 / 19
Best Trade
+2.87%
Worst Trade
-1.65%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
22h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$480,932.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$198.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$198.54
Gross Return
+2.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,233.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $267.22 30 $8,016.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 12:40pm ET $268.92 30 $8,067.75 $8,284.40 +$51.30
(+0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 1:25pm ET $267.27 30 $8,018.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $270.06 30 $8,101.80 $8,367.95 +$83.55
(+1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $271.80 30 $8,154.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:40am ET $270.84 30 $8,125.20 $8,339.00 $-28.95
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:25pm ET $275.48 30 $8,264.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 11:30am ET $283.38 30 $8,501.40 $8,575.90 +$236.90
(+2.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $276.50 31 $8,571.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $271.94 31 $8,430.14 $8,434.54 $-141.36
(-1.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:30am ET $269.01 31 $8,339.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 11:35am ET $268.42 31 $8,320.87 $8,416.25 $-18.29
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $271.72 30 $8,151.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 10:40am ET $272.55 30 $8,176.50 $8,441.15 +$24.90
(+0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $267.30 31 $8,286.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:35am ET $265.98 31 $8,245.23 $8,400.23 $-40.92
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 11:45am ET $264.55 31 $8,201.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $264.03 31 $8,184.93 $8,383.96 $-16.27
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 3:10pm ET $262.32 31 $8,131.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $265.28 31 $8,223.76 $8,475.95 +$91.99
(+1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 2:35pm ET $270.12 31 $8,373.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:55am ET $275.85 31 $8,551.35 $8,653.58 +$177.63
(+2.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $272.30 31 $8,441.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:00pm ET $271.72 31 $8,423.32 $8,635.60 $-17.98
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
15m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:55am ET $268.89 32 $8,604.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 11:55am ET $268.46 32 $8,590.72 $8,621.84 $-13.76
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 1:25pm ET $273.79 31 $8,487.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 10:10am ET $272.01 31 $8,432.43 $8,566.84 $-55.00
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 1:45pm ET $275.06 31 $8,526.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET $273.03 31 $8,463.93 $8,503.91 $-62.93
(-0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:40am ET $272.73 31 $8,454.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $272.14 31 $8,436.34 $8,485.62 $-18.29
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 3:40pm ET $275.48 30 $8,264.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $275.21 30 $8,256.45 $8,477.67 $-7.95
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
10m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $267.74 31 $8,300.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $268.69 31 $8,329.41 $8,506.99 +$29.32
(+0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $269.70 31 $8,360.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $268.28 31 $8,316.68 $8,462.82 $-44.17
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $272.49 31 $8,447.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $271.38 31 $8,412.63 $8,428.10 $-34.72
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.5h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 2:25pm ET $267.09 31 $8,279.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $265.36 31 $8,226.16 $8,374.47 $-53.63
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $261.62 32 $8,371.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:55pm ET $265.35 32 $8,491.04 $8,493.67 +$119.20
(+1.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.2d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $261.90 32 $8,380.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $258.07 32 $8,258.24 $8,371.11 $-122.56
(-1.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 10:25am ET $256.72 32 $8,215.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $255.82 32 $8,186.32 $8,342.39 $-28.72
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $253.60 32 $8,115.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $253.58 32 $8,114.56 $8,341.91 $-0.48
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $254.65 32 $8,148.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $250.98 32 $8,031.36 $8,224.63 $-117.28
(-1.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.2d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:25am ET $249.63 32 $7,988.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $249.41 32 $7,981.12 $8,217.59 $-7.04
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 2:50pm ET $248.17 33 $8,189.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:40pm ET $250.60 33 $8,269.96 $8,297.94 +$80.35
(+1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $236.64 35 $8,282.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $240.46 35 $8,416.10 $8,431.64 +$133.70
(+1.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,431.64
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,568.36
Total Return: -15.68%
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