Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:06:02

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

6
-6.2%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,376.11
Current Value
$7,814.50
Period P&L
$-561.59
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.23

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
8 / 19
Best Trade
+1.63%
Worst Trade
-4.00%
Avg Trade Return
-0.25%
Avg Hold Time
19.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$445,648.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-561.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$-561.59
Gross Return
-6.70%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,376.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:20am ET $80.83 103 $8,325.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 12:45pm ET $81.33 103 $8,376.99 $8,427.91 +$51.82
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $79.10 106 $8,384.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $78.90 106 $8,363.40 $8,407.24 $-20.67
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $85.25 98 $8,354.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 11:15am ET $84.39 98 $8,270.71 $8,323.45 $-83.79
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $82.21 101 $8,303.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 11:55am ET $82.27 101 $8,309.27 $8,329.51 +$6.06
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 11:50am ET $84.04 99 $8,320.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 1:15pm ET $83.91 99 $8,307.09 $8,316.15 $-13.36
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 3:25pm ET $79.55 104 $8,273.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $79.45 104 $8,262.80 $8,305.75 $-10.40
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $83.53 99 $8,269.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 10:25am ET $83.40 99 $8,256.60 $8,292.88 $-12.87
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $82.71 100 $8,271.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 10:30am ET $82.14 100 $8,214.00 $8,235.88 $-57.00
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 2:25pm ET $82.09 100 $8,209.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 12:25pm ET $83.11 100 $8,311.00 $8,337.88 +$102.00
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
22h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $86.20 96 $8,275.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:40am ET $87.30 96 $8,380.80 $8,443.48 +$105.60
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 1:05pm ET $85.59 98 $8,387.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $85.54 98 $8,383.41 $8,439.07 $-4.41
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 12:05pm ET $86.26 97 $8,367.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $86.21 97 $8,362.85 $8,434.70 $-4.37
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:25pm ET $85.60 98 $8,388.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $85.49 98 $8,378.02 $8,424.41 $-10.29
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:00am ET $86.27 97 $8,368.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 11:30am ET $86.15 97 $8,356.55 $8,412.77 $-11.64
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 1:50pm ET $90.06 93 $8,375.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $88.71 93 $8,250.49 $8,287.68 $-125.09
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:45am ET $91.14 90 $8,203.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $91.54 90 $8,239.05 $8,323.68 +$36.00
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $91.17 91 $8,296.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 2:30pm ET $91.04 91 $8,285.09 $8,312.76 $-10.92
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $93.15 89 $8,290.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:45am ET $93.57 89 $8,327.73 $8,350.46 +$37.70
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:20pm ET $93.12 89 $8,287.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $92.93 89 $8,270.77 $8,333.55 $-16.91
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:15pm ET $91.94 90 $8,274.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $91.79 90 $8,261.55 $8,320.50 $-13.05
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET $91.44 90 $8,230.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $91.30 90 $8,217.00 $8,307.45 $-13.05
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $91.21 91 $8,300.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $90.63 91 $8,246.88 $8,254.22 $-53.23
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $93.80 87 $8,160.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:45am ET $91.22 87 $7,936.14 $8,029.76 $-224.46
(-2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:15am ET $92.33 86 $7,940.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $92.44 86 $7,949.88 $8,038.83 +$9.07
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 1:45pm ET $92.53 86 $7,957.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:40pm ET $94.03 86 $8,086.58 $8,168.26 +$129.43
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
6d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $92.74 88 $8,161.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:15pm ET $92.42 88 $8,132.96 $8,140.10 $-28.16
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $92.40 88 $8,131.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:25pm ET $88.71 88 $7,806.04 $7,814.50 $-325.60
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,814.50
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,185.50
Total Return: -21.86%
Back to Grace Crossover