Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-25 08:55:43

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.8
Active
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 4.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.5%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,352.09
Current Value
$9,431.61
Period P&L
$79.50
Max Drawdown
-28.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
9 / 23
Best Trade
+6.30%
Worst Trade
-4.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
20.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$595,970.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$79.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$79.50
Gross Return
+0.85%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,352.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 3:30pm ET $549.65 17 $9,343.97
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:20am ET $527.15 17 $8,961.55 $8,969.70 $-382.41
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $551.01 16 $8,816.18
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $585.70 16 $9,371.20 $9,524.72 +$555.02
(+6.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 2:15pm ET $572.11 16 $9,153.76
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $574.83 16 $9,197.28 $9,568.24 +$43.52
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:30pm ET $568.96 16 $9,103.36
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:35pm ET $568.57 16 $9,097.12 $9,562.00 $-6.24
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $627.00 15 $9,405.00
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $630.78 15 $9,461.70 $9,618.70 +$56.70
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $627.33 15 $9,409.95
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:25am ET $626.42 15 $9,396.30 $9,605.05 $-13.65
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $666.82 14 $9,335.41
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:15pm ET $672.67 14 $9,417.45 $9,687.09 +$82.04
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:40pm ET $675.40 14 $9,455.60
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $683.20 14 $9,564.73 $9,796.22 +$109.13
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $673.12 14 $9,423.74
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:30pm ET $671.19 14 $9,396.66 $9,769.14 $-27.08
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $676.41 14 $9,469.74
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $675.11 14 $9,451.54 $9,750.94 $-18.20
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $660.54 14 $9,247.56
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $675.00 14 $9,450.00 $9,953.38 +$202.44
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $670.28 14 $9,383.92
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $668.94 14 $9,365.16 $9,934.62 $-18.76
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:20am ET $613.63 16 $9,818.08
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $606.63 16 $9,706.08 $9,822.62 $-112.00
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $603.64 16 $9,658.24
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:45pm ET $602.35 16 $9,637.68 $9,802.06 $-20.56
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
15 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $621.16 15 $9,317.38
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $614.95 15 $9,224.25 $9,708.93 $-93.13
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
16 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 11:55am ET $603.81 16 $9,660.90
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $602.44 16 $9,639.04 $9,687.07 $-21.86
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
17 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 2:00pm ET $600.35 16 $9,605.60
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 2:35pm ET $599.50 16 $9,592.00 $9,673.47 $-13.60
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
18 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $618.71 15 $9,280.58
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $614.10 15 $9,211.57 $9,604.47 $-69.00
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
19 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 12:55pm ET $609.95 15 $9,149.25
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $610.72 15 $9,160.80 $9,616.02 +$11.55
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
20 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $602.60 15 $9,039.00
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $600.33 15 $9,004.88 $9,581.90 $-34.12
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
21 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 11:15am ET $601.48 15 $9,022.20
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 12:40pm ET $600.86 15 $9,012.90 $9,572.60 $-9.30
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
22 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $609.67 15 $9,145.12
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $607.98 15 $9,119.70 $9,547.17 $-25.43
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
23 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $613.66 15 $9,204.90
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 12:55pm ET $612.02 15 $9,180.30 $9,522.57 $-24.60
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
24 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 2:15pm ET $632.84 15 $9,492.60
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:10pm ET $631.65 15 $9,474.68 $9,504.64 $-17.93
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $611.63 15 $9,174.45
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:15pm ET $613.13 15 $9,196.88 $9,527.06 +$22.42
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:10am ET $590.95 16 $9,455.13
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $587.43 16 $9,398.88 $9,470.81 $-56.25
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $591.07 16 $9,457.12
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:05am ET $587.54 16 $9,400.64 $9,414.33 $-56.48
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:15pm ET $564.42 16 $9,030.80
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $561.19 16 $8,979.04 $9,362.57 $-51.76
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $581.76 16 $9,308.16
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:20pm ET $596.20 16 $9,539.20 $9,593.61 +$231.04
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $580.27 16 $9,284.24
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $578.68 16 $9,258.88 $9,568.25 $-25.36
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $578.52 16 $9,256.32
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $571.28 16 $9,140.48 $9,452.41 $-115.84
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7d held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:35am ET $564.83 16 $9,037.28
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:55am ET $563.53 16 $9,016.48 $9,431.61 $-20.80
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,431.61
Net Profit/Loss: $-568.39
Total Return: -5.68%
Back to Grace Crossover