MRK Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 31 trades in period
+7.49%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,487.40
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$12,548.08
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
29
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
8.1/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
29.5/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 28.9
30-Day Momentum
9
-1.7%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,548.08
Current Value
$13,487.40
Period P&L
$939.26
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
14 /
17
Best Trade
+9.11%
Worst Trade
-3.02%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
14.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$810,306.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$939.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$939.26
Gross Return
+7.49%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.49%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,548.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 11:35am ET | $120.30 | 104 | $12,511.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $120.36 | 104 | $12,516.92 | $12,553.86 |
+$5.72 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 1:40pm ET | $123.78 | 101 | $12,501.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 12:25pm ET | $127.36 | 101 | $12,862.86 | $12,914.94 |
+$361.08 (+2.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $129.12 | 100 | $12,911.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.58 | 100 | $12,858.00 | $12,861.44 |
$-53.50 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.42 | 101 | $12,768.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 12:25pm ET | $127.97 | 101 | $12,925.47 | $13,018.50 |
+$157.06 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 12:50pm ET | $126.87 | 102 | $12,940.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 2:15pm ET | $126.55 | 102 | $12,908.10 | $12,985.86 |
$-32.64 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 11:55am ET | $127.08 | 102 | $12,962.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 10:25am ET | $123.24 | 102 | $12,570.48 | $12,594.18 |
$-391.68 (-3.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 1:55pm ET | $120.89 | 104 | $12,572.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 2:50pm ET | $120.60 | 104 | $12,542.40 | $12,564.02 |
$-30.16 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $129.85 | 96 | $12,465.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 11:50am ET | $129.87 | 96 | $12,467.52 | $12,566.42 |
+$2.40 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $125.07 | 100 | $12,507.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $125.00 | 100 | $12,500.00 | $12,559.42 |
$-7.00 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.41 | 97 | $12,455.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 12:50pm ET | $130.22 | 97 | $12,631.34 | $12,734.99 |
+$175.57 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 2:55pm ET | $131.34 | 96 | $12,608.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $131.17 | 96 | $12,592.32 | $12,718.67 |
$-16.32 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.58 | 95 | $12,595.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET | $133.00 | 95 | $12,635.00 | $12,758.57 |
+$39.90 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 11:20am ET | $131.32 | 97 | $12,738.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 12:40pm ET | $131.16 | 97 | $12,723.00 | $12,743.54 |
$-15.03 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:35am ET | $129.82 | 98 | $12,722.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 1:50pm ET | $130.62 | 98 | $12,800.76 | $12,821.94 |
+$78.40 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 1:55pm ET | $127.48 | 100 | $12,748.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 10:55am ET | $127.81 | 100 | $12,780.50 | $12,854.44 |
+$32.50 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.16 | 98 | $12,755.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $128.47 | 98 | $12,590.06 | $12,688.82 |
$-165.62 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 11:25am ET | $127.86 | 99 | $12,658.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 1:45pm ET | $128.02 | 99 | $12,674.47 | $12,705.15 |
+$16.33 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $134.16 | 94 | $12,611.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 1:40pm ET | $134.58 | 94 | $12,650.52 | $12,744.63 |
+$39.48 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 3:50pm ET | $135.95 | 93 | $12,643.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.34 | 93 | $13,795.16 | $13,896.44 |
+$1,151.81 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 12:45pm ET | $151.51 | 91 | $13,786.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 2:15pm ET | $151.13 | 91 | $13,753.28 | $13,862.77 |
$-33.67 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 2:35pm ET | $152.41 | 90 | $13,717.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $150.88 | 90 | $13,579.20 | $13,724.62 |
$-138.15 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 1:40pm ET | $153.78 | 89 | $13,686.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 1:55pm ET | $153.62 | 89 | $13,671.74 | $13,709.52 |
$-15.10 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 2:00pm ET | $151.29 | 90 | $13,616.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 2:25pm ET | $151.05 | 90 | $13,594.50 | $13,688.01 |
$-21.51 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $147.82 | 92 | $13,599.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 11:30am ET | $149.27 | 92 | $13,733.30 | $13,821.87 |
+$133.86 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 11:30am ET | $150.74 | 91 | $13,717.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $150.90 | 91 | $13,731.90 | $13,836.43 |
+$14.56 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 1:15pm ET | $148.73 | 93 | $13,831.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 2:25pm ET | $148.57 | 93 | $13,817.01 | $13,821.55 |
$-14.88 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 2:05pm ET | $145.06 | 95 | $13,780.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 3:25pm ET | $144.74 | 95 | $13,750.77 | $13,791.62 |
$-29.93 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.85 | 93 | $13,657.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 10:15am ET | $144.39 | 93 | $13,428.27 | $13,562.84 |
$-228.78 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 11:40am ET | $143.74 | 94 | $13,511.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 11:50am ET | $143.49 | 94 | $13,488.06 | $13,539.34 |
$-23.50 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $144.34 | 93 | $13,423.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 1:15pm ET | $146.58 | 93 | $13,631.94 | $13,747.66 |
+$208.32 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $150.31 | 91 | $13,678.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 2:35pm ET | $147.45 | 91 | $13,417.95 | $13,487.40 |
$-260.26 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,487.40
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,487.40
Total Return:
+34.87%