Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-27 13:57:08

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.5
Active
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 27, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.8/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.5/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 27.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 27.4

30-Day Momentum

56
+8.9%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
7.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 66.8 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-27 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,418.34
Current Value
$12,914.94
Period P&L
$1,496.54
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
11 / 18
Best Trade
+6.63%
Worst Trade
-0.71%
Avg Trade Return
+0.44%
Avg Hold Time
18.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$673,191.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,496.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,496.54
Gross Return
+13.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,418.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $118.08 96 $11,335.68
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET $120.05 96 $11,524.80 $11,607.52 +$189.12
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET $121.29 95 $11,522.08
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:10am ET $120.42 95 $11,439.90 $11,525.34 $-82.18
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:00pm ET $117.80 97 $11,426.60
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $117.80 97 $11,426.60 $11,525.34 $0.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:55am ET $122.68 93 $11,409.24
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:50pm ET $122.74 93 $11,414.82 $11,530.92 +$5.58
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET $120.14 95 $11,413.77
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET $119.51 95 $11,353.92 $11,471.07 $-59.85
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $117.88 97 $11,433.88
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $117.21 97 $11,369.37 $11,406.56 $-64.51
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:25am ET $118.39 96 $11,365.44
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $118.45 96 $11,371.20 $11,412.32 +$5.76
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $112.67 101 $11,379.37
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:50am ET $112.28 101 $11,340.28 $11,373.23 $-39.09
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $112.03 101 $11,314.53
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $111.85 101 $11,296.85 $11,355.55 $-17.68
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET $111.46 101 $11,257.46
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:00pm ET $111.38 101 $11,249.38 $11,347.47 $-8.08
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $111.14 102 $11,335.77
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET $110.61 102 $11,281.71 $11,293.41 $-54.06
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:55am ET $113.45 99 $11,231.55
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:25am ET $113.17 99 $11,203.83 $11,265.69 $-27.72
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
13 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 1:45pm ET $113.41 99 $11,227.59
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:35am ET $112.89 99 $11,176.11 $11,214.21 $-51.48
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
14 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 1:55pm ET $111.91 100 $11,191.00
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 2:30pm ET $111.86 100 $11,186.50 $11,209.71 $-4.50
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
15 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:50am ET $112.06 100 $11,206.00
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:40am ET $111.59 100 $11,159.00 $11,162.71 $-47.00
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
16 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:50am ET $112.87 98 $11,061.26
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:50am ET $112.66 98 $11,040.68 $11,142.13 $-20.58
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
17 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:25am ET $111.67 99 $11,055.27
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 11:25am ET $111.58 99 $11,046.42 $11,133.28 $-8.85
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
18 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:50pm ET $114.60 97 $11,115.72
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 2:30pm ET $114.36 97 $11,092.49 $11,110.06 $-23.22
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
19 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:55am ET $113.93 97 $11,051.21
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:25pm ET $121.48 97 $11,783.56 $11,842.41 +$732.35
(+6.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $121.01 97 $11,738.16
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $121.17 97 $11,753.49 $11,857.74 +$15.33
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
21 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:30pm ET $119.88 98 $11,748.69
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:45am ET $119.47 98 $11,708.06 $11,817.11 $-40.63
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $116.00 101 $11,716.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $118.88 101 $12,006.88 $12,107.99 +$290.88
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $119.22 101 $12,041.22
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:50am ET $118.89 101 $12,007.89 $12,074.66 $-33.33
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $118.06 102 $12,042.12
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $122.02 102 $12,446.04 $12,478.58 +$403.92
(+3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $115.69 107 $12,379.36
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $115.53 107 $12,361.71 $12,460.92 $-17.66
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:35pm ET $115.02 108 $12,422.16
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $114.86 108 $12,404.88 $12,443.64 $-17.28
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $112.85 110 $12,413.50
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $113.80 110 $12,518.00 $12,548.14 +$104.50
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 11:35am ET $120.30 104 $12,511.20
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $120.36 104 $12,516.92 $12,553.86 +$5.72
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:40pm ET $123.78 101 $12,501.78
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 12:25pm ET $127.36 101 $12,862.86 $12,914.94 +$361.08
(+2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,914.94
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,914.94
Total Return: +29.15%
Back to Grace Crossover