Compendium › Grace Crossover › MRNA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRNA
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 30 trades in period

+5.31%
Last 3 Months Return
$6,710.72
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$6,372.65
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:14:19

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

21
+3.1%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.6 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,372.65
Current Value
$6,710.72
Period P&L
$338.07
Max Drawdown
-67.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
9 / 21
Best Trade
+10.08%
Worst Trade
-6.61%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
13.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$364,959.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$338.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$338.07
Gross Return
+5.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $6,372.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $67.47 94 $6,342.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $66.35 94 $6,236.90 $6,267.37 $-105.28
(-1.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $68.66 91 $6,248.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $71.41 91 $6,498.31 $6,517.62 +$250.25
(+4.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $73.71 88 $6,486.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:00am ET $80.92 88 $7,120.52 $7,151.66 +$634.04
(+9.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
30m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $82.33 86 $7,080.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:05am ET $78.74 86 $6,771.21 $6,842.49 $-309.17
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $74.80 91 $6,806.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $74.43 91 $6,773.13 $6,808.82 $-33.67
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 2:35pm ET $75.73 89 $6,739.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET $70.72 89 $6,294.52 $6,363.37 $-445.45
(-6.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 10:15am ET $68.67 92 $6,317.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:25am ET $66.61 92 $6,128.12 $6,173.70 $-189.67
(-3.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 1:20pm ET $67.01 92 $6,165.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $64.31 92 $5,916.62 $5,924.94 $-248.76
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:50pm ET $62.67 94 $5,890.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $62.49 94 $5,874.06 $5,908.02 $-16.92
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 1:50pm ET $61.49 96 $5,903.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:55am ET $58.78 96 $5,643.36 $5,648.34 $-259.68
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 11:30am ET $59.42 95 $5,644.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:25am ET $56.79 95 $5,395.05 $5,398.49 $-249.85
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $54.60 98 $5,350.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $55.57 98 $5,445.86 $5,494.04 +$95.55
(+1.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:25pm ET $54.88 100 $5,488.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 1:40pm ET $54.69 100 $5,469.00 $5,475.04 $-19.00
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
15m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:25am ET $57.72 94 $5,425.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 1:05pm ET $56.79 94 $5,338.26 $5,387.62 $-87.42
(-1.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $56.13 95 $5,332.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 10:30am ET $56.07 95 $5,326.65 $5,381.92 $-5.70
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $57.54 93 $5,351.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 10:15am ET $55.74 93 $5,184.28 $5,214.98 $-166.94
(-3.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
45m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 12:20pm ET $59.68 87 $5,192.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $59.44 87 $5,171.28 $5,194.11 $-20.87
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 2:05pm ET $59.89 86 $5,150.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:20am ET $63.76 86 $5,482.93 $5,526.50 +$332.39
(+6.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $64.79 85 $5,507.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $64.50 85 $5,482.50 $5,501.60 $-24.90
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
6.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $118.10 46 $5,432.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET $130.00 46 $5,980.00 $6,049.03 +$547.43
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $133.63 45 $6,013.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:35am ET $144.45 45 $6,500.25 $6,535.93 +$486.90
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:30am ET $137.40 47 $6,457.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:45pm ET $136.84 47 $6,431.25 $6,509.38 $-26.55
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $141.29 46 $6,499.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $136.56 46 $6,281.76 $6,291.57 $-217.81
(-3.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $148.76 42 $6,247.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $148.71 42 $6,245.61 $6,289.26 $-2.31
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $144.78 43 $6,225.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $144.30 43 $6,205.11 $6,268.83 $-20.43
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $134.93 46 $6,206.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:10am ET $145.88 46 $6,710.48 $6,772.53 +$503.70
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:10am ET $143.51 47 $6,744.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:15pm ET $145.40 47 $6,833.57 $6,861.13 +$88.60
(+1.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $145.37 47 $6,832.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:20am ET $143.20 47 $6,730.40 $6,759.14 $-101.99
(-1.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
50m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $158.80 42 $6,669.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 2:20pm ET $155.10 42 $6,514.20 $6,603.74 $-155.40
(-2.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:10pm ET $182.13 36 $6,556.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:55am ET $185.10 36 $6,663.66 $6,710.72 +$106.98
(+1.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,710.72
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,289.28
Total Return: -32.89%
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