MU Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-27 to present • 32 trades in period
+9.12%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,293.91
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$10,350.13
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.5
Active
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 27, 2026
14
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
9.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality
14.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 14.0
30-Day Momentum
9
-3.4%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-27 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,350.13
Current Value
$11,293.91
Period P&L
$943.87
Max Drawdown
-48.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
12 /
20
Best Trade
+10.15%
Worst Trade
-7.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.38%
Avg Hold Time
10.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$682,464.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$943.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$943.87
Gross Return
+9.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.12%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,350.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $362.00 | 28 | $10,136.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $345.18 | 28 | $9,665.18 | $9,879.22 |
$-470.82 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET | $327.24 | 30 | $9,817.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 2:00pm ET | $324.51 | 30 | $9,735.15 | $9,797.07 |
$-82.15 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $365.23 | 26 | $9,496.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 12:05pm ET | $361.39 | 26 | $9,396.01 | $9,696.97 |
$-100.10 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $380.56 | 25 | $9,513.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:10pm ET | $378.56 | 25 | $9,463.97 | $9,646.96 |
$-50.01 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:50pm ET | $376.02 | 25 | $9,400.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $414.18 | 25 | $10,354.62 | $10,601.21 |
+$954.25 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $405.40 | 26 | $10,540.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $410.40 | 26 | $10,670.40 | $10,731.21 |
+$130.00 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $418.31 | 25 | $10,457.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:25pm ET | $415.36 | 25 | $10,384.12 | $10,657.58 |
$-73.63 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 1:50pm ET | $447.26 | 23 | $10,286.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $454.50 | 23 | $10,453.50 | $10,824.10 |
+$166.52 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:40pm ET | $458.89 | 23 | $10,554.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 2:10pm ET | $457.57 | 23 | $10,524.11 | $10,793.74 |
$-30.36 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $464.55 | 23 | $10,684.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $482.23 | 23 | $11,091.40 | $11,200.49 |
+$406.75 (+3.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $495.80 | 22 | $10,907.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 12:50pm ET | $497.63 | 22 | $10,947.86 | $11,240.75 |
+$40.26 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 3:40pm ET | $520.11 | 21 | $10,922.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $502.27 | 21 | $10,547.67 | $10,866.00 |
$-374.75 (-3.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $527.40 | 20 | $10,548.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $510.53 | 20 | $10,210.50 | $10,528.50 |
$-337.50 (-3.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:50pm ET | $534.99 | 19 | $10,164.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $578.70 | 19 | $10,995.30 | $11,358.90 |
+$830.40 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $659.20 | 17 | $11,206.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $632.17 | 17 | $10,746.89 | $10,899.47 |
$-459.43 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 3:40pm ET | $646.66 | 16 | $10,346.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $700.14 | 16 | $11,202.24 | $11,755.07 |
+$855.60 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 12:05pm ET | $795.35 | 14 | $11,134.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 1:05pm ET | $793.69 | 14 | $11,111.60 | $11,731.77 |
$-23.30 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 2:55pm ET | $791.28 | 14 | $11,077.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $787.79 | 14 | $11,028.99 | $11,682.79 |
$-48.98 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $752.72 | 15 | $11,290.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $722.55 | 15 | $10,838.25 | $11,230.24 |
$-452.55 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:00am ET | $678.90 | 16 | $10,862.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 2:45pm ET | $709.97 | 16 | $11,359.52 | $11,727.36 |
+$497.12 (+4.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 3:35pm ET | $754.28 | 15 | $11,314.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 10:05am ET | $751.70 | 15 | $11,275.43 | $11,688.58 |
$-38.78 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $909.00 | 12 | $10,908.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $906.06 | 12 | $10,872.72 | $11,653.30 |
$-35.28 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,048.94 | 11 | $11,538.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $1,028.83 | 11 | $11,317.13 | $11,432.04 |
$-221.26 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1,066.33 | 10 | $10,663.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1,060.56 | 10 | $10,605.60 | $11,374.34 |
$-57.70 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1,014.99 | 11 | $11,164.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $942.31 | 11 | $10,365.41 | $10,574.81 |
$-799.53 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $938.26 | 11 | $10,320.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 1:15pm ET | $947.14 | 11 | $10,418.54 | $10,672.49 |
+$97.68 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 1:30pm ET | $900.60 | 11 | $9,906.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:10am ET | $916.02 | 11 | $10,076.17 | $10,842.00 |
+$169.51 (+1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 11:15am ET | $911.40 | 11 | $10,025.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET | $989.51 | 11 | $10,884.61 | $11,701.26 |
+$859.26 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,055.02 | 11 | $11,605.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1,079.21 | 11 | $11,871.36 | $11,967.40 |
+$266.14 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,047.46 | 11 | $11,522.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1,041.29 | 11 | $11,454.19 | $11,899.48 |
$-67.92 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,076.43 | 11 | $11,840.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $1,030.73 | 11 | $11,338.03 | $11,396.78 |
$-502.70 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1,177.84 | 9 | $10,600.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1,166.41 | 9 | $10,497.69 | $11,293.91 |
$-102.87 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,293.91
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,293.91
Total Return:
+12.94%