Compendium › Grace Crossover › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 28 trades in period

-28.40%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,519.62
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$11,899.57
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:08

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.9 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,899.57
Current Value
$8,519.62
Period P&L
$-3,379.86
Max Drawdown
-48.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.40

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
9 / 19
Best Trade
+8.43%
Worst Trade
-7.06%
Avg Trade Return
-1.21%
Avg Hold Time
15.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$500,305.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,379.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,379.86
Gross Return
-28.40%
Net Return (after fees)
-28.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,899.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $1,076.43 11 $11,840.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:25am ET $1,030.73 11 $11,338.03 $11,396.78 $-502.70
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:25pm ET $1,177.84 9 $10,600.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $1,166.41 9 $10,497.69 $11,293.91 $-102.87
(-1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 2:45pm ET $1,155.29 9 $10,397.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,073.73 9 $9,663.57 $10,559.87 $-734.04
(-7.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $1,057.84 9 $9,520.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET $1,012.22 9 $9,109.94 $10,149.25 $-410.62
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 3:00pm ET $999.09 10 $9,990.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $990.64 10 $9,906.40 $10,064.75 $-84.50
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
55m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $930.56 10 $9,305.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $905.47 10 $9,054.70 $9,813.85 $-250.90
(-2.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $979.66 10 $9,796.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $929.94 10 $9,299.40 $9,316.70 $-497.15
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $906.24 10 $9,062.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $901.20 10 $9,011.95 $9,266.25 $-50.45
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET $894.60 10 $8,946.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $970.00 10 $9,700.00 $10,020.25 +$754.00
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET $976.94 10 $9,769.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:30am ET $981.97 10 $9,819.70 $10,070.55 +$50.30
(+0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $946.10 10 $9,461.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $906.76 10 $9,067.60 $9,677.15 $-393.40
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:50am ET $828.65 11 $9,115.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $821.95 11 $9,041.45 $9,603.45 $-73.70
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $777.68 12 $9,332.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:20pm ET $766.70 12 $9,200.40 $9,471.69 $-131.76
(-1.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 3:20pm ET $840.77 11 $9,248.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $782.70 11 $8,609.65 $8,832.86 $-638.83
(-6.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $897.25 9 $8,075.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:00pm ET $894.80 9 $8,053.20 $8,810.81 $-22.05
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
10m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:50am ET $897.06 9 $8,073.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 12:05pm ET $897.07 9 $8,073.63 $8,810.86 +$0.05
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET $877.24 10 $8,772.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 3:10pm ET $878.03 10 $8,780.33 $8,818.79 +$7.93
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:45am ET $971.93 9 $8,747.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 2:05pm ET $932.35 9 $8,391.15 $8,462.57 $-356.22
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 3:00pm ET $932.31 9 $8,390.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $954.39 9 $8,589.51 $8,661.29 +$198.72
(+2.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $913.85 9 $8,224.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $908.15 9 $8,173.35 $8,610.02 $-51.27
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:45pm ET $927.68 9 $8,349.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:40pm ET $936.15 9 $8,425.35 $8,686.20 +$76.18
(+0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:40pm ET $945.36 9 $8,508.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET $939.78 9 $8,458.02 $8,635.98 $-50.22
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:55pm ET $945.52 9 $8,509.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $948.53 9 $8,536.81 $8,663.11 +$27.13
(+0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $1,020.34 8 $8,162.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET $1,020.82 8 $8,166.56 $8,666.95 +$3.84
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $991.47 8 $7,931.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:10pm ET $975.43 8 $7,803.44 $8,538.67 $-128.28
(-1.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $935.80 9 $8,422.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:00am ET $931.78 9 $8,386.02 $8,502.49 $-36.18
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $955.18 8 $7,641.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $975.61 8 $7,804.84 $8,665.89 +$163.40
(+2.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:00am ET $1,092.35 7 $7,646.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 2:55pm ET $1,071.46 7 $7,500.22 $8,519.62 $-146.27
(-1.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,519.62
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,480.38
Total Return: -14.80%
Back to Grace Crossover