Compendium › Grace Crossover › NIO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NIO
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 30 trades in period

-14.38%
Last 3 Months Return
$3,913.36
Current Value
23%
Win Rate
$4,570.54
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:46:42

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
1.8/10
Raw Quality 1.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 1.8

30-Day Momentum

7
-5.2%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,570.54
Current Value
$3,913.36
Period P&L
$-657.10
Max Drawdown
-42.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.33

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
7 / 23
Best Trade
+3.43%
Worst Trade
-4.07%
Avg Trade Return
-0.50%
Avg Hold Time
12.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$255,179.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-657.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-657.10
Gross Return
-14.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $4,570.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:55am ET $5.05 905 $4,565.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:55am ET $5.03 905 $4,556.67 $4,561.41 $-9.05
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 3:30pm ET $4.78 955 $4,560.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $4.94 955 $4,716.75 $4,718.03 +$156.62
(+3.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 3:35pm ET $5.05 934 $4,715.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $4.93 934 $4,604.62 $4,607.54 $-110.49
(-2.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $5.07 908 $4,603.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:00am ET $4.99 908 $4,526.38 $4,530.36 $-77.18
(-1.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:20am ET $4.91 923 $4,527.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $4.93 923 $4,545.78 $4,548.82 +$18.46
(+0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $4.91 926 $4,546.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:00am ET $4.81 926 $4,454.06 $4,456.22 $-92.60
(-2.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $5.16 864 $4,453.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 11:25am ET $5.04 864 $4,356.89 $4,359.19 $-97.03
(-2.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $5.08 858 $4,357.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:45am ET $5.04 858 $4,324.32 $4,325.99 $-33.20
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $4.88 887 $4,324.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $4.86 887 $4,315.25 $4,317.12 $-8.87
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 1:40pm ET $4.70 919 $4,314.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $4.69 919 $4,311.03 $4,313.44 $-3.68
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
10m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $4.61 936 $4,310.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 12:25pm ET $4.53 936 $4,244.76 $4,247.92 $-65.52
(-1.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 2:55pm ET $4.61 922 $4,245.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 2:10pm ET $4.68 922 $4,316.44 $4,318.55 +$70.63
(+1.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:35am ET $4.78 903 $4,318.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 11:05am ET $4.76 903 $4,302.79 $4,303.20 $-15.35
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:50am ET $4.86 886 $4,301.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $4.83 886 $4,279.38 $4,281.05 $-22.15
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $4.80 891 $4,276.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 2:05pm ET $4.78 891 $4,259.07 $4,263.32 $-17.73
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
40m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $4.58 930 $4,259.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 1:15pm ET $4.72 930 $4,393.04 $4,396.96 +$133.64
(+3.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 3:00pm ET $4.76 922 $4,393.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $4.59 922 $4,236.59 $4,240.22 $-156.74
(-3.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $4.57 926 $4,236.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 3:40pm ET $4.55 926 $4,208.67 $4,212.44 $-27.78
(-0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $4.59 917 $4,209.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $4.53 917 $4,154.01 $4,157.42 $-55.02
(-1.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $4.53 916 $4,154.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $4.53 916 $4,144.90 $4,148.26 $-9.16
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET $4.39 943 $4,144.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:10pm ET $4.41 943 $4,158.82 $4,162.59 +$14.33
(+0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $4.34 959 $4,159.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $4.32 959 $4,147.67 $4,150.41 $-12.18
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $4.05 1,023 $4,148.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:15am ET $3.89 1,023 $3,979.47 $3,981.62 $-168.79
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $3.80 1,047 $3,978.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:05pm ET $3.84 1,047 $4,020.48 $4,023.60 +$41.98
(+1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $3.70 1,087 $4,021.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:50am ET $3.67 1,087 $3,989.29 $3,990.99 $-32.61
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $3.61 1,105 $3,988.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:05am ET $3.59 1,105 $3,961.43 $3,964.25 $-26.74
(-0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:20am ET $3.62 1,095 $3,963.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $3.62 1,095 $3,963.90 $3,964.25 $0.00
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:00pm ET $3.67 1,080 $3,963.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:35pm ET $3.65 1,080 $3,947.40 $3,948.05 $-16.20
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:00am ET $3.70 1,065 $3,945.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $3.69 1,065 $3,929.85 $3,932.08 $-15.97
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1h held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 12:25pm ET $3.63 1,082 $3,930.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 2:10pm ET $3.62 1,082 $3,911.43 $3,913.36 $-18.72
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,913.36
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,086.64
Total Return: -60.87%
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