Compendium › Grace Crossover › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 29 trades in period

-5.84%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,954.72
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$10,571.88
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:56:00

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
2.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 7.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 7.5

30-Day Momentum

6
-3.4%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,571.88
Current Value
$9,954.72
Period P&L
$-617.16
Max Drawdown
-30.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
9 / 20
Best Trade
+4.13%
Worst Trade
-4.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.19%
Avg Hold Time
22.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$586,814.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-617.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-617.16
Gross Return
-5.84%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,571.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:50am ET $201.21 52 $10,462.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $193.13 52 $10,043.02 $10,151.98 $-419.90
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:50am ET $194.09 52 $10,092.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $193.84 52 $10,079.68 $10,138.98 $-13.00
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 11:30am ET $196.94 51 $10,043.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $197.71 51 $10,082.96 $10,177.99 +$39.01
(+0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 2:25pm ET $196.40 51 $10,016.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $195.67 51 $9,979.17 $10,140.76 $-37.23
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 11:35am ET $197.48 51 $10,071.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:40am ET $202.22 51 $10,313.22 $10,382.50 +$241.74
(+2.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $210.14 49 $10,296.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $209.18 49 $10,249.82 $10,335.46 $-47.04
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $207.48 49 $10,166.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:00am ET $211.62 49 $10,369.38 $10,538.32 +$202.86
(+2.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:25pm ET $207.30 50 $10,365.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $206.67 50 $10,333.71 $10,507.03 $-31.29
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
50m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $205.60 51 $10,485.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $204.37 51 $10,422.87 $10,444.30 $-62.73
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:10pm ET $208.80 50 $10,440.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET $200.09 50 $10,004.50 $10,008.80 $-435.50
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:05pm ET $197.50 50 $9,875.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $195.61 50 $9,780.50 $9,914.30 $-94.50
(-1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:55am ET $194.24 51 $9,906.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 11:20am ET $193.84 51 $9,885.59 $9,893.39 $-20.91
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 12:20pm ET $196.70 50 $9,835.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:10pm ET $198.32 50 $9,916.00 $9,974.40 +$81.01
(+0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $211.95 47 $9,961.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $220.71 47 $10,373.40 $10,386.15 +$411.75
(+4.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $222.17 46 $10,219.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:00am ET $221.92 46 $10,208.32 $10,374.65 $-11.50
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 3:20pm ET $217.63 47 $10,228.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 2:05pm ET $223.44 47 $10,501.68 $10,647.72 +$273.07
(+2.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $227.00 46 $10,442.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $225.22 46 $10,360.12 $10,565.84 $-81.88
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 12:55pm ET $220.31 47 $10,354.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:50am ET $218.85 47 $10,285.95 $10,497.25 $-68.59
(-0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.9h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:55pm ET $217.27 48 $10,428.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:55am ET $216.65 48 $10,399.20 $10,467.49 $-29.76
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $210.68 49 $10,323.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $210.24 49 $10,301.76 $10,445.69 $-21.80
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
15m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:45am ET $213.05 49 $10,439.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:55am ET $212.36 49 $10,405.65 $10,411.89 $-33.80
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
10m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $228.26 45 $10,271.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $218.73 45 $9,842.85 $9,983.03 $-428.86
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:05am ET $218.43 45 $9,829.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $218.48 45 $9,831.60 $9,985.28 +$2.25
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:15am ET $226.95 43 $9,758.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $227.13 43 $9,766.59 $9,993.23 +$7.95
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $230.72 43 $9,920.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:45am ET $229.77 43 $9,880.11 $9,952.38 $-40.85
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.7d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $224.38 44 $9,872.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $224.15 44 $9,862.60 $9,942.26 $-10.12
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $212.24 46 $9,763.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET $212.22 46 $9,762.12 $9,941.34 $-0.92
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $215.92 46 $9,932.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:40am ET $219.20 46 $10,083.20 $10,092.22 +$150.88
(+1.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $225.24 44 $9,910.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $222.12 44 $9,773.06 $9,954.72 $-137.50
(-1.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,954.72
Net Profit/Loss: $-45.28
Total Return: -0.45%
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