Compendium › Grace Crossover › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-26 to present • 25 trades in period

-4.08%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,151.98
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$10,583.37
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-26 06:13:55

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
13
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.6
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.76
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 3.6
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
6.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 13.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 12.9

30-Day Momentum

24
+2.6%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 29.5 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-26 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,583.37
Current Value
$10,151.98
Period P&L
$-431.39
Max Drawdown
-30.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
8 / 17
Best Trade
+4.80%
Worst Trade
-4.08%
Avg Trade Return
-0.15%
Avg Hold Time
22.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$520,832.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-431.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$-431.39
Gross Return
-4.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,583.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:45am ET $169.44 62 $10,505.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 11:15am ET $166.93 62 $10,349.35 $10,427.44 $-155.93
(-1.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:40am ET $176.98 58 $10,264.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $176.70 58 $10,248.60 $10,411.20 $-16.24
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:55pm ET $181.68 57 $10,356.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $183.34 57 $10,450.10 $10,505.25 +$94.05
(+0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:35am ET $188.54 55 $10,369.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:50am ET $188.45 55 $10,364.48 $10,500.30 $-4.95
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:45pm ET $198.65 52 $10,330.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:55pm ET $198.33 52 $10,313.16 $10,483.40 $-16.90
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $201.05 52 $10,454.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $201.45 52 $10,475.40 $10,504.20 +$20.80
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $199.42 52 $10,369.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:15pm ET $209.00 52 $10,868.02 $11,002.38 +$498.18
(+4.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $210.88 52 $10,965.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $208.24 52 $10,828.64 $10,865.31 $-137.07
(-1.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $201.55 53 $10,682.15 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:50am ET $199.76 53 $10,587.53 $10,770.69 $-94.62
(-0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
15m held
10 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:25am ET $198.90 54 $10,740.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 12:55pm ET $197.49 54 $10,664.46 $10,694.55 $-76.14
(-0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
11 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $212.85 50 $10,642.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $212.08 50 $10,604.00 $10,656.05 $-38.50
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $215.52 49 $10,560.72 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:25am ET $220.20 49 $10,789.56 $10,884.88 +$228.83
(+2.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
13 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 2:15pm ET $227.23 47 $10,679.81 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $226.38 47 $10,639.63 $10,844.70 $-40.18
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
14 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $228.57 47 $10,742.79 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $219.25 47 $10,304.75 $10,406.66 $-438.04
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
15 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 2:50pm ET $222.96 46 $10,256.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 1:50pm ET $224.43 46 $10,323.77 $10,474.27 +$67.61
(+0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23h held
16 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $220.40 47 $10,359.03 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:45pm ET $216.86 47 $10,192.55 $10,307.78 $-166.49
(-1.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held
17 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 3:35pm ET $213.65 48 $10,255.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:35am ET $212.53 48 $10,201.44 $10,254.02 $-53.76
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18h held
18 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:05pm ET $215.68 47 $10,137.19 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $216.06 47 $10,154.82 $10,271.65 +$17.63
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 2:25pm ET $215.92 47 $10,148.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $215.68 47 $10,136.96 $10,260.18 $-11.47
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
50m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $210.11 48 $10,085.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $208.04 48 $9,985.92 $10,160.82 $-99.36
(-1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $204.01 49 $9,996.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:00am ET $205.26 49 $10,057.74 $10,221.82 +$61.00
(+0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $203.26 50 $10,163.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $211.48 50 $10,574.00 $10,632.82 +$411.00
(+4.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $207.63 51 $10,589.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $206.94 51 $10,553.94 $10,597.63 $-35.19
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
55m held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:25pm ET $210.29 50 $10,514.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 2:55pm ET $209.77 50 $10,488.75 $10,571.88 $-25.75
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:50am ET $201.21 52 $10,462.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $193.13 52 $10,043.02 $10,151.98 $-419.90
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,151.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$151.98
Total Return: +1.52%
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