ORCL Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 33 trades in period
-15.40%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,367.30
Current Value
27%
Win Rate
$9,890.85
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
4.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 4.8
30-Day Momentum
9
-8.1%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,890.85
Current Value
$8,367.30
Period P&L
$-1,523.58
Max Drawdown
-31.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
9 /
24
Best Trade
+8.29%
Worst Trade
-5.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.48%
Avg Hold Time
15.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$572,940.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,523.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,523.58
Gross Return
-15.40%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.40%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,890.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 2:25pm ET | $158.07 | 62 | $9,800.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $151.63 | 62 | $9,401.06 | $9,491.90 |
$-398.97 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 11:45am ET | $151.94 | 62 | $9,420.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 12:25pm ET | $150.90 | 62 | $9,355.80 | $9,427.42 |
$-64.48 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 1:15pm ET | $149.30 | 63 | $9,405.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $148.19 | 63 | $9,335.97 | $9,357.49 |
$-69.93 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 2:10pm ET | $146.62 | 63 | $9,236.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.24 | 63 | $9,087.12 | $9,207.87 |
$-149.63 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $145.92 | 63 | $9,192.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 10:25am ET | $138.31 | 63 | $8,713.53 | $8,728.44 |
$-479.43 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 1:30pm ET | $138.76 | 62 | $8,602.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 1:50pm ET | $138.25 | 62 | $8,571.50 | $8,697.13 |
$-31.31 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 12:20pm ET | $141.79 | 61 | $8,649.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 1:40pm ET | $141.57 | 61 | $8,636.07 | $8,684.01 |
$-13.12 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 12:35pm ET | $130.22 | 66 | $8,594.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $126.37 | 66 | $8,340.42 | $8,429.90 |
$-254.11 (-3.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $122.85 | 68 | $8,353.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $121.96 | 68 | $8,293.62 | $8,370.06 |
$-59.84 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 3:35pm ET | $126.58 | 66 | $8,354.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $126.61 | 66 | $8,356.26 | $8,371.71 |
+$1.65 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.43 | 68 | $8,325.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $116.76 | 68 | $7,939.68 | $7,986.15 |
$-385.56 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 12:30pm ET | $120.45 | 66 | $7,949.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 2:25pm ET | $119.96 | 66 | $7,917.03 | $7,953.48 |
$-32.67 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 12:50pm ET | $118.16 | 67 | $7,916.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 3:40pm ET | $118.51 | 67 | $7,940.17 | $7,977.12 |
+$23.64 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 12:00pm ET | $128.02 | 62 | $7,937.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $138.64 | 62 | $8,595.68 | $8,635.25 |
+$658.13 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $147.54 | 58 | $8,557.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $144.18 | 58 | $8,362.15 | $8,440.03 |
$-195.22 (-2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $144.44 | 58 | $8,377.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $143.01 | 58 | $8,294.87 | $8,357.38 |
$-82.65 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 1:55pm ET | $145.06 | 57 | $8,268.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 3:05pm ET | $152.16 | 57 | $8,673.12 | $8,761.87 |
+$404.49 (+4.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $148.25 | 59 | $8,746.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $147.88 | 59 | $8,724.92 | $8,740.04 |
$-21.83 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 11:00am ET | $142.23 | 61 | $8,676.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 1:30pm ET | $143.30 | 61 | $8,741.30 | $8,805.31 |
+$65.27 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $141.81 | 62 | $8,792.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 1:25pm ET | $146.84 | 62 | $9,104.08 | $9,117.17 |
+$311.86 (+3.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 2:15pm ET | $143.48 | 63 | $9,039.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 12:45pm ET | $144.87 | 63 | $9,126.81 | $9,204.74 |
+$87.57 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 1:15pm ET | $148.10 | 62 | $9,182.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 2:15pm ET | $147.64 | 62 | $9,153.68 | $9,175.91 |
$-28.83 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 2:05pm ET | $151.13 | 60 | $9,068.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 2:50pm ET | $150.74 | 60 | $9,044.70 | $9,152.51 |
$-23.40 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 3:25pm ET | $141.17 | 64 | $9,034.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.32 | 64 | $8,980.64 | $9,098.27 |
$-54.24 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.08 | 57 | $9,067.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 1:25pm ET | $157.64 | 57 | $8,985.48 | $9,016.19 |
$-82.08 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 11:00am ET | $162.24 | 55 | $8,923.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $163.00 | 55 | $8,965.00 | $9,057.99 |
+$41.80 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.72 | 55 | $9,004.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $156.15 | 55 | $8,588.25 | $8,641.64 |
$-416.35 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 2:40pm ET | $144.18 | 59 | $8,506.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $143.51 | 59 | $8,467.38 | $8,602.11 |
$-39.53 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $142.30 | 60 | $8,538.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $142.93 | 60 | $8,575.80 | $8,639.91 |
+$37.80 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $150.04 | 57 | $8,552.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $147.34 | 57 | $8,398.10 | $8,485.44 |
$-154.47 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $148.20 | 57 | $8,447.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $147.20 | 57 | $8,390.40 | $8,428.44 |
$-57.00 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $150.23 | 56 | $8,412.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 3:45pm ET | $149.36 | 56 | $8,364.16 | $8,380.00 |
$-48.44 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $138.27 | 60 | $8,296.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 2:05pm ET | $138.06 | 60 | $8,283.60 | $8,367.30 |
$-12.70 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,367.30
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,632.70
Total Return:
-16.33%