Compendium › Grace Crossover › ORCL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ORCL
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-20 to present • 24 trades in period

+7.80%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,945.75
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$9,226.30
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 15:58:09

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.0

30-Day Momentum

28
+3.8%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.5 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,226.30
Current Value
$9,945.75
Period P&L
$719.43
Max Drawdown
-31.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
10 / 14
Best Trade
+5.80%
Worst Trade
-4.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.24%
Avg Hold Time
22.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$462,302.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$719.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$719.43
Gross Return
+7.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,226.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 1:00pm ET $155.32 60 $9,319.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $151.85 60 $9,111.00 $9,260.52 $-208.20
(-2.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $151.43 61 $9,237.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $152.93 61 $9,328.73 $9,352.02 +$91.50
(+1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $149.10 62 $9,244.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:50am ET $148.11 62 $9,182.79 $9,290.61 $-61.41
(-0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 11:00am ET $139.90 66 $9,233.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:40pm ET $146.24 66 $9,652.17 $9,709.05 +$418.44
(+4.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $145.05 66 $9,573.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $143.90 66 $9,497.73 $9,633.48 $-75.57
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $139.81 68 $9,507.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:55pm ET $138.65 68 $9,428.32 $9,554.72 $-78.76
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $162.78 58 $9,441.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $169.57 58 $9,835.06 $9,948.54 +$393.82
(+4.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $178.06 55 $9,793.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:45am ET $174.99 55 $9,624.72 $9,779.96 $-168.58
(-1.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $183.88 53 $9,745.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $187.02 53 $9,912.06 $9,946.12 +$166.16
(+1.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $179.95 55 $9,897.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET $172.48 55 $9,486.40 $9,535.27 $-410.85
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:50am ET $172.15 55 $9,468.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $172.43 55 $9,483.65 $9,550.67 +$15.40
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $163.12 58 $9,460.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $161.35 58 $9,358.30 $9,448.01 $-102.66
(-1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $176.08 53 $9,332.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:50am ET $182.89 53 $9,693.17 $9,809.02 +$361.01
(+3.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2d held
14 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 10:10am ET $194.57 50 $9,728.25 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $195.46 50 $9,773.25 $9,854.02 +$45.00
(+0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
15 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 1:35pm ET $184.10 53 $9,757.30 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 11:55am ET $188.20 53 $9,974.60 $10,071.32 +$217.30
(+2.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
16 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 2:40pm ET $197.17 51 $10,055.42 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:35am ET $188.44 51 $9,610.49 $9,626.39 $-444.93
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
17 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:05pm ET $183.54 52 $9,544.08 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 1:55pm ET $182.75 52 $9,503.00 $9,585.31 $-41.08
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
50m held
18 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $192.62 49 $9,438.38 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $192.15 49 $9,415.59 $9,562.53 $-22.78
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
19 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 2:45pm ET $191.87 49 $9,401.63 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $202.99 49 $9,946.51 $10,107.41 +$544.88
(+5.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $243.60 41 $9,987.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 2:15pm ET $243.47 41 $9,982.27 $10,102.08 $-5.33
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:05am ET $232.77 43 $10,009.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $233.46 43 $10,038.78 $10,131.54 +$29.46
(+0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:35am ET $212.88 47 $10,005.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:20am ET $211.28 47 $9,930.16 $10,056.34 $-75.20
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:55am ET $182.86 54 $9,874.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $180.87 54 $9,766.71 $9,948.61 $-107.73
(-1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $189.57 52 $9,857.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $189.51 52 $9,854.52 $9,945.75 $-2.86
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,945.75
Net Profit/Loss: $-54.25
Total Return: -0.54%
Back to Grace Crossover