Compendium › Grace Crossover › ORCL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ORCL
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 23 trades in period

+3.50%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,448.01
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$9,128.46
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:21:53

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.9

30-Day Momentum

6
-2.7%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,128.46
Current Value
$9,448.01
Period P&L
$319.53
Max Drawdown
-31.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
9 / 14
Best Trade
+4.53%
Worst Trade
-4.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
22.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$430,423.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$319.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$319.53
Gross Return
+3.50%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,128.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $142.20 64 $9,100.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $140.87 64 $9,015.36 $9,043.05 $-85.43
(-0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $158.69 56 $8,886.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $157.48 56 $8,818.60 $8,975.01 $-68.04
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
36m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 12:35pm ET $156.74 57 $8,934.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $156.14 57 $8,899.98 $8,940.81 $-34.20
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 1:45pm ET $154.49 57 $8,805.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 1:40pm ET $156.18 57 $8,902.54 $9,037.42 +$96.61
(+1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $140.04 64 $8,962.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $145.60 64 $9,318.40 $9,393.58 +$356.16
(+4.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET $150.85 62 $9,353.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET $148.05 62 $9,179.41 $9,219.98 $-173.60
(-1.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $143.62 64 $9,191.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $148.97 64 $9,534.08 $9,562.38 +$342.40
(+3.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 2:35pm ET $149.06 64 $9,539.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:05am ET $149.42 64 $9,562.88 $9,585.42 +$23.04
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 3:40pm ET $162.88 58 $9,447.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:20am ET $162.41 58 $9,419.78 $9,558.16 $-27.26
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 12:45pm ET $156.58 61 $9,551.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:50am ET $155.57 61 $9,489.77 $9,496.48 $-61.68
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 11:55am ET $153.40 61 $9,357.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 12:35pm ET $152.95 61 $9,329.94 $9,468.72 $-27.76
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
40m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 1:00pm ET $155.32 60 $9,319.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $151.85 60 $9,111.00 $9,260.52 $-208.20
(-2.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $151.43 61 $9,237.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $152.93 61 $9,328.73 $9,352.02 +$91.50
(+1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $149.10 62 $9,244.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:50am ET $148.11 62 $9,182.79 $9,290.61 $-61.41
(-0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 11:00am ET $139.90 66 $9,233.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:40pm ET $146.24 66 $9,652.17 $9,709.05 +$418.44
(+4.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $145.05 66 $9,573.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $143.90 66 $9,497.73 $9,633.48 $-75.57
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $139.81 68 $9,507.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:55pm ET $138.65 68 $9,428.32 $9,554.72 $-78.76
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $162.78 58 $9,441.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $169.57 58 $9,835.06 $9,948.54 +$393.82
(+4.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $178.06 55 $9,793.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:45am ET $174.99 55 $9,624.72 $9,779.96 $-168.58
(-1.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $183.88 53 $9,745.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $187.02 53 $9,912.06 $9,946.12 +$166.16
(+1.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $179.95 55 $9,897.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET $172.48 55 $9,486.40 $9,535.27 $-410.85
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:50am ET $172.15 55 $9,468.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $172.43 55 $9,483.65 $9,550.67 +$15.40
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $163.12 58 $9,460.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $161.35 58 $9,358.30 $9,448.01 $-102.66
(-1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,448.01
Net Profit/Loss: $-551.99
Total Return: -5.52%
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