Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:24:03

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.6/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 30.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 30.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.0%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.2 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,605.82
Current Value
$11,975.65
Period P&L
$369.84
Max Drawdown
-6.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
9 / 19
Best Trade
+3.12%
Worst Trade
-0.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
14.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$667,304.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$369.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$369.84
Gross Return
+3.19%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,605.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:05pm ET $140.00 82 $11,480.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 12:40pm ET $141.40 82 $11,594.39 $11,720.19 +$114.39
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $136.60 85 $11,611.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $136.38 85 $11,592.30 $11,701.49 $-18.70
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $142.38 82 $11,675.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 11:35am ET $146.82 82 $12,039.24 $12,065.22 +$363.73
(+3.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $137.87 87 $11,994.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 12:50pm ET $137.58 87 $11,969.25 $12,039.78 $-25.44
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 12:50pm ET $138.66 86 $11,925.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $138.38 86 $11,900.68 $12,015.27 $-24.51
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:25am ET $136.04 88 $11,971.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 11:50am ET $135.98 88 $11,966.24 $12,009.99 $-5.28
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $136.95 87 $11,914.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET $136.62 87 $11,885.51 $11,980.85 $-29.14
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 10:00am ET $134.89 88 $11,870.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:05am ET $134.80 88 $11,862.40 $11,972.93 $-7.92
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 11:35am ET $135.29 88 $11,905.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $135.70 88 $11,941.60 $12,009.01 +$36.08
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $134.95 88 $11,875.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:35am ET $134.65 88 $11,848.76 $11,982.17 $-26.84
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $143.16 83 $11,882.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:35am ET $143.03 83 $11,871.49 $11,971.38 $-10.79
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $140.19 85 $11,916.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 12:30pm ET $139.46 85 $11,854.10 $11,909.23 $-62.15
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $138.75 85 $11,793.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:50am ET $138.20 85 $11,747.00 $11,862.48 $-46.75
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 12:20pm ET $138.22 85 $11,748.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $138.06 85 $11,735.10 $11,848.88 $-13.60
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 11:15am ET $137.57 86 $11,831.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 11:35am ET $139.63 86 $12,008.18 $12,026.04 +$177.16
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 2:10pm ET $138.21 87 $12,024.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 2:50pm ET $137.84 87 $11,991.65 $11,993.42 $-32.63
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $140.99 85 $11,984.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 3:50pm ET $142.57 85 $12,118.45 $12,127.72 +$134.30
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:20am ET $142.83 84 $11,997.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 11:30am ET $142.63 84 $11,980.92 $12,110.89 $-16.83
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:25am ET $142.15 85 $12,082.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $142.16 85 $12,083.60 $12,111.74 +$0.85
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:50am ET $140.56 86 $12,088.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:15am ET $140.48 86 $12,081.28 $12,104.86 $-6.88
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:40pm ET $140.30 86 $12,065.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:45pm ET $140.08 86 $12,046.88 $12,085.94 $-18.92
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:30am ET $139.70 86 $12,014.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $139.78 86 $12,021.08 $12,092.82 +$6.88
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:45am ET $138.00 87 $12,005.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $138.04 87 $12,009.48 $12,096.31 +$3.49
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:10am ET $137.17 88 $12,070.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $136.85 88 $12,042.36 $12,067.70 $-28.61
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:40pm ET $136.62 88 $12,022.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $135.60 88 $11,933.24 $11,978.82 $-88.88
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:25pm ET $135.22 88 $11,899.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $134.99 88 $11,878.92 $11,958.53 $-20.29
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $130.40 91 $11,866.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:25pm ET $130.76 91 $11,899.61 $11,991.75 +$33.22
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $129.88 92 $11,949.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 10:55am ET $129.71 92 $11,933.32 $11,975.65 $-16.10
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,975.65
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,975.65
Total Return: +19.76%
Back to Grace Crossover